China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,339,533 Views | 21818 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by Krombopulos Michael
aginlakeway
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BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
What percentage are in NY? Thanks for info!
Mordred
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aggiehawg said:

aginlakeway said:

aggiehawg said:

Louisiana's numbers for today.

LINK

Not good.
239 dead. And 438 on ventilators.
As I said. Not good. And not boding well for next two weeks, given the lag time between testing and result. They will start to catch up with the testing time.
Anyone remember when Louisiana started restrictions/lockdowns?
PJYoung
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aginlakeway said:

BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
What percentage are in NY? Thanks for info!
43% and dropping
Mordred
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aginlakeway said:

BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
What percentage are in NY? Thanks for info!
CFR for NY is 2.0%. 1550 dead/75.7k cases.

US CFR minus NY is 1.9% so only a little bit behind NY.
techno-ag
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Mr.Infectious said:



That's not adding to the stress at all.....

Trump will fix it.
Zobel
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Going by the UW site, we'll probably see the US numbers go flat and pause as we pass NY, then probably increase again due to other epidemics peaking a bit later. NY will be in the next week, US as a whole a week later.
aggiehawg
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Mordred said:

aggiehawg said:

aginlakeway said:

aggiehawg said:

Louisiana's numbers for today.

LINK

Not good.
239 dead. And 438 on ventilators.
As I said. Not good. And not boding well for next two weeks, given the lag time between testing and result. They will start to catch up with the testing time.
Anyone remember when Louisiana started restrictions/lockdowns?
Quote:

Gov. John Bel Edwards issued a statewide stay-at-home order March 22 for nonessential workers and businesses. The order went into effect the next day. All public schools and many businesses, such as bars and gyms, were already closed by previous executive orders, but the order expanded the closures.On March 30, he extended the order through at least April 30.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/03/30/coronavirus-stay-home-shelter-in-place-orders-by-state/5092413002/
AgFan2015
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Just put it on the card......
maroonbeansnrice
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Mr.Infectious said:



Not good...
As compared to the E.U. telling you what you can or cannot do with your own borders and/or efforts to control the spread of Covid-19?
“It ain’t like it used to be.”
-Jimbo Fisher
PJYoung
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k2aggie07 said:

Going by the UW site, we'll probably see the US numbers go flat and pause as we pass NY, then probably increase again due to other epidemics peaking a bit later. NY will be in the next week, US as a whole a week later.

I think the US peak will last well over a month. Italy was 11 days.
maroonbeansnrice
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Mr.Infectious said:

Tamu_mgm said:

People in SF / Bay area are absolute morons


Only to be out done by the Mayor of Houston.



Who knew just asking criminals to stay home would work.....
Maybe he should just use The Force. I hear it is strong against the weak of mind.

THESE AREN'T THE CRIMES YOU'RE LOOKING FOR....
“It ain’t like it used to be.”
-Jimbo Fisher
Bobcat06
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aggiehawg said:

aginlakeway said:

aggiehawg said:

Louisiana's numbers for today.

LINK

Not good.
239 dead. And 438 on ventilators.
As I said. Not good. And not boding well for next two weeks, given the lag time between testing and result. They will start to catch up with the testing time.
Using worldometer, yesterday was 185 dead (+54 or 29% increase) and today's 5237 cases is +1212 or 30% increase from yesterday's 4025.

Yesterday's increases were 22% increase on deaths and 14% on new cases.

Louisiana is just getting started
aggiehawg
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Meanwhile, in New Jersey:

houag80
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He is a moron.
maroonbeansnrice
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aggiehawg said:

Meanwhile, in New Jersey:


I got gas at my Costco. I pumped my own gas wearing a glove. After I pumped my gas a Costco employee came by and Clorox wiped what I had touched. Duh.
“It ain’t like it used to be.”
-Jimbo Fisher
swimmerbabe11
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just playing devil's advocate, but it seems equally efficient for the Costco guy to do the whole thing himself.

the New Jersey thing limits number of people grabbing the pumps and protects those jobs. I mean, I think it's a dumb law in the first place that people cant pump their own gas.. but I dont think its terrible to minimize number of hands on the pumps?
McInnis80
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Every state has there scared cows. In New jersey it's not pumping your gas.
AgFan2015
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Quote:


The City of Austin's public health department just reported that 28 young adults who recently returned from a spring break trip to Cabo have all tested positive for COVID-19, a local TV news station reports.

These students were part of a group of roughly 70 mostly UT Austin students left for Cabo a week and a half ago. So far, nearly half of that group has tested positive, while the rest have been warned to remain in self-isolation. The university confirmed that it was mostly UT students.

It's just the latest example of how the virus uses healthy young people to spread.

"The virus often hides in the healthy and is given to those who are at grave risk of being hospitalized or dying," APH Interim Health Authority Dr. Mark Escott said.

"While younger people have less risk for complications, they are not immune from severe illness and death from COVID-19," he said.*

Every student who participated in the trip has been contacted, APH said, and all of them are waiting to be tested


https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/28-spring-breaker-covidiots-test-positive-texas-after-group-trip-cabo
Wildcat
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McInnis80 said:

Every state has there scared cows. In New jersey it's not pumping your gas.
Aegrescit medendo
Charpie
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aginlakeway
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POTD
aggiehawg
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McInnis80 said:

Every state has there scared cows. In New jersey it's not pumping your gas.
Who knew the gas station attendants were such a powerful union in New Jersey?

Or back in my day they were called grease monkeys because nearly every station had a repair garage attached. They would come out wiping the grease off of their hands to pump your gas, check your oil, check your tires, wash your windshield. Good times.
Zobel
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Not sure if this has been on this thread yet.

https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/national-coronavirus-response-a-road-map-to-reopening/
BoydCrowder13
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BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
Up to 3,773 (632 so far today) deaths in the US.

Most deaths worldwide today (4,200) with 5 hours to go before they start the count over.
aginlakeway
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BoydCrowder13 said:

BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
Up to 3,773 (632 so far today) deaths in the US.

Most deaths worldwide today (4,200) with 5 hours to go before they start the count over.


No more deaths from China? Or North Korea?
flakrat
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cone
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so asymptomatic #s might be as high as 40%?

we are so in the dark on this thing
ABATTBQ11
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aginlakeway said:

BoydCrowder13 said:

BoydCrowder13 said:

US deaths up to 3,573 (432 so far today).

Mortality rate for confirmed cases up to 2% in the US.
Up to 3,773 (632 so far today) deaths in the US.

Most deaths worldwide today (4,200) with 5 hours to go before they start the count over.


No more deaths from China? Or North Korea?


From coronavirus? No. Acute lead poisoning? Lots.
ABATTBQ11
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They don't know where that glove has been
30wedge
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aggiehawg said:

McInnis80 said:

Every state has there scared cows. In New jersey it's not pumping your gas.
Who knew the gas station attendants were such a powerful union in New Jersey?

Or back in my day they were called grease monkeys because nearly every station had a repair garage attached. They would come out wiping the grease off of their hands to pump your gas, check your oil, check your tires, wash your windshield. Good times.
And you got a free fork, spoon, or knife or at times a free washcloth or hand towel.
Zobel
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That's not how I read it.

Quote:

We surveyed a cohort of 164 close contacts and identified 4.3% (7/164) patients with occult infection which were missed by symptoms screening and nucleic acid test. Adding those identified by RT-PCR, the percentage of asymptomatic infection was as high as 6.1% in this cohort.
cone
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Quote:

We next used the serological test in a cluster of 164 close contacts identified by Chongqing CDC. A couple travelled back from Wuhan city, who were confirmed to be SARS-CoV-2 infection on Feb 4, 2020, were deemed as the 1st generation patients of this network. All other cases in this cohort were closely contacted (either directly or indirectly) with this couple during Jan 20 to Feb 6, 2020. A total of 16 out of 164 cases were confirmed by RT-PCR during Jan 31 to Feb 9, 2020, with 3 cases reporting no symptoms. The other 148 cases were no symptoms and negative in RT-PCR tests. On March 1, 2020, serum samples were collected from these 164 cases for antibody tests. The 16 RT-PCR confirmed cases were positive in IgG or/and IgM. Strikingly, 7 of the 148 cases who were excluded previously by negative nucleic acid results also showed positive results in IgG or/and IgM, indicating that 4.3% (7/162) of close contacts were missed by nucleic acid test. In addition, about 6.1% (10/164) of this cohort were asymptomatic infection.
PCR + 16 with 3 asymptomatic

serology + 23 with 10 asymptomatic (since 7 were part of the 148 declared originally negative and no symptoms)

so we went from 19% asymptomatic to 43% asymptomatic

feel free to check my math
aggiehawg
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Quote:

And you got a free fork, spoon, or knife or at times a free washcloth or hand towel.
I held out for the Sinclair Dinosaur.

Tx-Ag2010
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k2aggie07 said:

That's not how I read it.

Quote:

We surveyed a cohort of 164 close contacts and identified 4.3% (7/164) patients with occult infection which were missed by symptoms screening and nucleic acid test. Adding those identified by RT-PCR, the percentage of asymptomatic infection was as high as 6.1% in this cohort.



I stopped reading at

Quote:

serology study in China
Zobel
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Ah yes, you're right - in the close contact group. Right, 3/16 by PCR and 10/23 by PCR + serological.

Wonder what the age ranges of close contacts were.
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