***** OFFICIAL 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD *****

576,399 Views | 3194 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by JohnFootball2
FriscoKid
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TelcoAg said:

Why are my posts being deleted when they just link to the information being asked for?

This was the alt-right press conference. http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/09/the-alt-right-has-its-coming-out-party/

Nothing to do with Milo.


You are not going to make it if you keep questioning the moderation.
FireAg
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Kozmozag said:

Hillary up by 200,000 so far in florida.
Per what source?
FireAg
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Kozmozag said:

Hillary up 30,000 in iowa.
Again...per what source?
aginresearch
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These are the same numbers I've been posting just the raw vote counts produced by the Votecastr model. They can be found here: http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html
FireAg
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KOZMOAG...

WHERE are you getting this data from?
ThatOneAg
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Source?
VaultingChemist
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They are almost sure that Trump will win Florida. Those counties accounted for a huge portion of the difference in Obama winning the state, and it appears Trump is outperforming Romney by an amount large enough to win the state.
ThatOneAg
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Trolling. Flag him.
FireAg
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aginresearch said:

These are the same numbers I've been posting just the raw vote counts produced by the Votecastr model. They can be found here: http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html
Thank you...was trying to determine if these were actual tabulations or turnout plus models...

Bunk Moreland
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have a feeling Florida goes blue. Hope I'm wrong.
aginresearch
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The data is real however it is from a model. A very sophisticated model that presidential campaigns use to micro-target voters.

Actually what I am seeing indicates all the battleground states are going to be close. This is a positive development for Trump.

People need to keep in mind this is modeled data not actual vote counts. It is fascinating nonetheless.
ttu_85
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ThatOneAg said:

Trolling. Flag him.
How is he trolling wanting to know the sources of the data ?

Typical lib- dont question. To hell with that.
Philip J Fry
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http://www.11alive.com/mb/news/local/trump-takes-32-25-lead-in-new-hampshire-after-midnight-voting/349662501

Trump up 32-25 in NH. Isn't this the only true votes we know if so far?
aggiehawg
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VaultingChemist said:

They are almost sure that Trump will win Florida. Those counties accounted for a huge portion of the difference in Obama winning the state, and it appears Trump is outperforming Romney by an amount large enough to win the state.
Well, let's not get too far ahead of ourselves here. There is still a very large percentage of independents in Florida. It seems they would break for Trump, but no way to tell by how much.
BenFiasco14
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Philip J Fry said:

http://www.11alive.com/mb/news/local/trump-takes-32-25-lead-in-new-hampshire-after-midnight-voting/349662501

Trump up 32-25 in NH. Isn't this the only true votes we know if so far?


Yes
ttu_85
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Bunk Moreland said:

have a feeling Florida goes blue. Hope I'm wrong.
Its early and early results are useless. I hope you are wrong too but I do expect the hag to win this one. We will see how long she last when the eco falls to her feet 2008 or worse style.
VaultingChemist
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Quote:

#s looking good so far comparing turnout to voter registration:
Rs outvoting dems +5% in Hillsborough
Rs outvoting dems +3% in Duval
Rs outvoting dems +2% in Pinellas

3 of FL's 7 biggest counties.
Philip J Fry
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The question about those counties are the unaffiliated voters.
FireAg
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VaultingChemist said:

Quote:

#s looking good so far comparing turnout to voter registration:
Rs outvoting dems +5% in Hillsborough
Rs outvoting dems +3% in Duval
Rs outvoting dems +2% in Pinellas

3 of FL's 7 biggest counties.

I think it's been clear that Trump leads in enthusiasm...question is whether or not there is enough to swing the election to him...
FireAg
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According to this Votecstr site...HRC's vote lead has been cut to 170,000 from the previous report of +200,000...
FTAG 2000
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VaultingChemist said:

Quote:

#s looking good so far comparing turnout to voter registration:
Rs outvoting dems +5% in Hillsborough
Rs outvoting dems +3% in Duval
Rs outvoting dems +2% in Pinellas

3 of FL's 7 biggest counties.


The problem is, the setup for the voter fraud is all in Broward. Dem voter registrar sent out one million provisional ballots, they've got plenty of padding there to get their number.
BTHOB
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http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/08/hispanic-voters-trump-awakens-a-sleeping-giant-record-turnout-for-latinos.html

Big trouble for Trump in Florida
FireAg
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BTHOB said:

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/08/hispanic-voters-trump-awakens-a-sleeping-giant-record-turnout-for-latinos.html

Big trouble for Trump in Florida

Except that Hispanics have apparently been breaking toward Trump...which is surprising...but still...
Philip J Fry
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We'll see

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/voto-secreto-trump-most-hispanics-back-deportation-want-immigration-cap-cut-in-half/article/2606769
gibbs2016
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aginresearch said:

The data is real however it is from a model. A very sophisticated model that presidential campaigns use to micro-target voters.

Actually what I am seeing indicates all the battleground states are going to be close. This is a positive development for Trump.

People need to keep in mind this is modeled data not actual vote counts. It is fascinating nonetheless.
Is that data from Nevada including the early voting that had Clinton up huge? If so, Trump has gained on her significantly
aggiehawg
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Quote:

The problem is, the setup for the voter fraud is all in Broward. Dem voter registrar sent out one million provisional ballots, they've got plenty of padding there to get their number.
Don't forget Miami-Dade, too, for the fraud.
aginresearch
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I believe the data at the moment is purely from early voting. If true then the Democrats did not perform as well as they thought among registered Democrats! If the Hispanic data analysis is true then they under-performed there as well.

However this is all just a model. Real votes may break very differently.
RiverDog
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ThatOneAg
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ttu_85 said:

ThatOneAg said:

Trolling. Flag him.
How is he trolling wanting to know the sources of the data ?

Typical lib- dont question. To hell with that.
I was talking about the person not posting sources.
FTAG 2000
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BTHOB said:

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/08/hispanic-voters-trump-awakens-a-sleeping-giant-record-turnout-for-latinos.html

Big trouble for Trump in Florida


Not necessarily. Cubans despise Hillary. They are lumped in that number. Anecdotally, have some family down there and most of the hispanic friends and neighbors (blue collar, working class neighborhood) are going Trump.
BTHOB
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Stock market movers betting real big on a Clinton victory... what do they know? Broke to the upside in a big way about an hour ago.
Philip J Fry
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Is your task from the Clinton campaign to try to depress the mood around here? You realize this is texags and is a place immune to such tactics.
aggiehawg
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Pinellas County:



Trump's lead appears to be increasing there.



Duval County:



Still razor thin in Duval.
BTHOB
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I'll go ahead and state, for the record, that I strongly dislike Trump. But, I'll also state, for the record, that I think Hillary is about as evil as they come; and, I don't use the word evil lightly.

I'll further state, for the record, that I voted early and my vote was for Trump.

You keep on keepin' on - and I'll do the same.
JohnFootball2
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Just voted, no lines at all in Kentucky. Of course people are at work but still a surprise.
 
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