2020, 2021 & 2022 classes nationwide are very strong. A&M has gotten their fair share of commits, but that doesn't always transfer into wins. Jenna Wenaas flipping to Minnesota and the Woodward twins flipping to Howard are three top 150 players in the nation that never made it on campus. Jeter transferring and the other player transfers add up, but many schools are experiencing life in the transfer portal era.
Bird is well liked and well respected, but you have to be able to terminate and put balls down. For all the success of Hans doing just that, we also needed an an unbelievable libero digging balls to keep us in points. If you don't have strong middles and good blocking, and great liberos and defense scraping the floor, the great hitters on the other side will put it down. And for all the great hitters in 2020 and 2021, A&M didn't "out recruit" any of the bigger programs, and may have lost ground to some SEC schools that had successful signings. We need elite players, not just great players, and those are not easy to come by...
This has been a weird recruiting cycle due to Covid, and most expect lots of transfers and misses on the 2020's & 2021's. LSU lost (and gained) some strong hitters this year, as did OU and many other programs. The schools are all moving players around trying to find that right mix, and the players are all moving around trying to find that right program. The 2022 class is loaded nationally and we got a great one committed on the right side that we should be able to hold onto (Aggie legacy, great family, amazing athlete, terrific student). But many of the elite of 2022 were committed 2-3 years ago, so again, we didn't gain ground compared to some other SEC schools. A lot of programs offered very early a few years ago based on potential. You can't teach height, but many players don't develop or continue to grow. I'm always surprised at some of the commits I hear to certain schools, and you know they won't ever find the court at that program.
Watching Skylar Fields (tu) in high school/club, or the Skinner sisters (Kentucky) is a different level of athlete and player than the typical "great" player most casual fans think they have spotted when they hear about a recruit or see a high school match. My daughter has played at the highest level of club the last few years, and though she holds her own against the top players in the nation, she knows the difference between being great (her) and being elite (not her). Though she is a 2021 D1 signee to a California program, she was never considered by A&M, nor should she have been. A&M is trying for the elite players, but when we miss it is a problem. The fine line between great and elite is a difficult line to recruit because if you miss on the "elites", you better have the best of the "greats" lined up. We have had our fair share of "greats" but need to hold onto some "elites".