so...don't we have enough data on the vaccines?

2,983 Views | 19 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by WolfCall
Aggie95
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AG
Seems to me, Biden will continue (and likely increase) the vaccine push in his big speech tomorrow. I know annectdotal stories are just that but in looking at breakthrough cases on TexAgs plus the ones I know about in my circles....the overwhelming number of cases are those who got the Pfizer vaccine.
IF the gov't is going to urge vaccines and more than likely push for vaccine mandates...isn't there enough info to "push" the vaccines that are more effective?
coolerguy12
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AG
[url] https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/health-departments/breakthrough-cases.html[/url]

The official narrative is that breakthrough cases are expected and the CDC will only track breakthrough hospitalizations and breakthrough deaths.

In order to keep this post "official narrative approved" I will not opine on why they don't count breakthrough cases.
Aggie95
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AG
thanks. I know I posted his name, but my post has nothing to do with Biden specifically. Again, if we are going to push vaccines, we should push the ones with best results. In the beginning it was an availability issue. That is not as much of a factor anymore.
boomis
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My guess would be that it has something to do with occupied hospital beds and dead bodies being easier metrics to keep tabs on than people who simply feel bad for a day or two and never bother to get tested or see a doctor.
bay fan
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S
Which posters with break through cases have been hospitalized? Seems those in the hospital are those who have acknowledged being unvaccinated. The vaccine is keeping people out of the hospital in all it's forms but I am glad I got Moderna.
Harry Stone
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i find it humorous that people comment on breakthrough cases when everyone knows the vaccine isnt 100% effective. guess what, measles vaccine is less efficacious at 88% than the mRNA vaccine, as is mumps at 78%.

Im not forcing anyone to take a vaccine, but i laugh at people almost happy that there are breakthrough cases.
St Hedwig Aggie
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AG
[Wrong forum for political smears. - Staff]
cone
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I know someone who died of covid double vaxxed
Aggie95
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Harry Stone said:

i find it humorous that people comment on breakthrough cases when everyone knows the vaccine isnt 100% effective. guess what, measles vaccine is less efficacious at 88% than the mRNA vaccine, as is mumps at 78%.

Im not forcing anyone to take a vaccine, but i laugh at people almost happy that there are breakthrough cases.


Courtesy of ramblin...from another post

Quote:

The vaccine did exactly what was promised for covid alpha. It stops infection, spread, severe disease and death. There was no dishonesty in the advertising. It continues to do all of those things. However, covid delta is very different. With covid delta, the vaccine is only 60% or so against infection, but it is over 95% at preventing hospitalization and better than that at preventing death. That's still pretty impressive considering the vaccine was custom engineered to treat a related but different virus


Weird that you find breakthrough discussion humorous. The virus is changing and if Delta is dominant...why not use the vaccines most effective? It should be pretty clear at this point if any are superior or inferior. Public policy is still being shaped by case counts so we should be concerned about the lack of success of slowing spread of delta, etc.
coolerguy12
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AG
boomis said:

My guess would be that it has something to do with occupied hospital beds and dead bodies being easier metrics to keep tabs on than people who simply feel bad for a day or two and never bother to get tested or see a doctor.


Well if they don't bother to get tested you probably won't have any data on them. But for someone like my dad who is vaccinated and then got tested at a clinic it should be very easy to add him to a count. And it's pretty relevant information. So it's important to ask why they don't track it
aggierogue
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bay fan said:

Which posters with break through cases have been hospitalized? Seems those in the hospital are those who have acknowledged being unvaccinated. The vaccine is keeping people out of the hospital in all it's forms but I am glad I got Moderna.
Half of Israel's Hospitalized are Unvaccinated

Quote:

The bad news, doctors say, is that half of Israel's seriously ill patients who are currently hospitalized were fully vaccinated at least five months ago.

Quote:

Israel was the first country on Earth to fully vaccinate a majority of its citizens against COVID-19. Now it has one of the world's highest daily infection rates an average of nearly 7,500 confirmed cases a day, double what it was two weeks ago. Nearly one in every 150 people in Israel today has the virus.
boomis
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coolerguy12 said:

boomis said:

My guess would be that it has something to do with occupied hospital beds and dead bodies being easier metrics to keep tabs on than people who simply feel bad for a day or two and never bother to get tested or see a doctor.


Well if they don't bother to get tested you probably won't have any data on them. But for someone like my dad who is vaccinated and then got tested at a clinic it should be very easy to add him to a count. And it's pretty relevant information. So it's important to ask why they don't track it
I hope your dad made / is making it through okay.

Sure, it seems simple enough to keep a count of folks like your dad who decide to get tested, but how relevant is that count really? If we're wanting to know the percentage of vaxxed people who end up with a breakout case, not having a count for the "undocumented" breakouts doesn't leave us enough information to figure that out. If we're wanting to know the percentage of the vaxxed population who had a breakout of sufficient severity to motivate them to get tested, but not so severe as to result in hospitalization or death, we would be able to figure that out. I'll defer to those who know more than I as to how useful that metric might be, but the CDC doesn't appear to think it's particularly useful.
bay fan
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S
That's very sad. Do you know anyone who has died unvaxxed?
By the way, I also know an 80 year old vaccinated man who died. I wish he hadn't been exposed. He is the only vaccinated person I know to have passed as compared to 6 unvaccinated people.
Aston94
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AG
aggierogue said:

bay fan said:

Which posters with break through cases have been hospitalized? Seems those in the hospital are those who have acknowledged being unvaccinated. The vaccine is keeping people out of the hospital in all it's forms but I am glad I got Moderna.
Half of Israel's Hospitalized are Unvaccinated

Quote:

The bad news, doctors say, is that half of Israel's seriously ill patients who are currently hospitalized were fully vaccinated at least five months ago.

Quote:

Israel was the first country on Earth to fully vaccinate a majority of its citizens against COVID-19. Now it has one of the world's highest daily infection rates an average of nearly 7,500 confirmed cases a day, double what it was two weeks ago. Nearly one in every 150 people in Israel today has the virus.



I would recommend you go look more into the Covid outbreak in Israel. Because of high vaccination rate their hospitals are not overcrowded and though there are positive tests, most are avoiding serious cases.

It's like what we expect the virus to be when we stop counting casss because our hospitals won't be overrun.

In the US, 30% of adults (unvaccinated) make up 95-96% of our hospitalizations. Vaccine works, arguing otherwise is silly.

Gordo14
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aggierogue said:

bay fan said:

Which posters with break through cases have been hospitalized? Seems those in the hospital are those who have acknowledged being unvaccinated. The vaccine is keeping people out of the hospital in all it's forms but I am glad I got Moderna.
Half of Israel's Hospitalized are Unvaccinated

Quote:

The bad news, doctors say, is that half of Israel's seriously ill patients who are currently hospitalized were fully vaccinated at least five months ago.

Quote:

Israel was the first country on Earth to fully vaccinate a majority of its citizens against COVID-19. Now it has one of the world's highest daily infection rates an average of nearly 7,500 confirmed cases a day, double what it was two weeks ago. Nearly one in every 150 people in Israel today has the virus.



Did you know that if 100% of the population was vaccinated, that 100% of hospitalizations from COVID would be vaccinated individuals. Clearly the vaccine wouldn't be working if that were the case.
cone
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AG
absolutely
aggierogue
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AG
Did you know that overweight people are having a harder time with Covid?
Clown_World
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The fact that the government and so many people want to mandate a vaccine, but they have absolutely no ability to tell you which one or really any discernable difference between the 3, tells you all you need to know.
CNN is the enemy of the state and should be treated as such.
Nosmo
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aggierogue said:

bay fan said:

Which posters with break through cases have been hospitalized? Seems those in the hospital are those who have acknowledged being unvaccinated. The vaccine is keeping people out of the hospital in all it's forms but I am glad I got Moderna.
Half of Israel's Hospitalized are Unvaccinated

Quote:

The bad news, doctors say, is that half of Israel's seriously ill patients who are currently hospitalized were fully vaccinated at least five months ago.

Quote:

Israel was the first country on Earth to fully vaccinate a majority of its citizens against COVID-19. Now it has one of the world's highest daily infection rates an average of nearly 7,500 confirmed cases a day, double what it was two weeks ago. Nearly one in every 150 people in Israel today has the virus.



This is from the article you referenced;

Quote:

The good news is that among Israel's serious infections on Thursday of this week, according to Health Ministry data, the rate of serious cases among unvaccinated people over age 60 (178.7 per 100,000) was nine times more than the rate among fully vaccinated people of the same age category, and the rate of serious cases among unvaccinated people in the under-60 crowd (3.2 per 100,000) was a little more than double the rate among vaccinated people in that age bracket.

The bad news, doctors say, is that half of Israel's seriously ill patients who are currently hospitalized were fully vaccinated at least five months ago. Most of them are over 60 years old and have comorbidities. The seriously ill patients who are unvaccinated are mostly young, healthy people whose condition deteriorated quickly.


https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-efficacy-vs-severe-disease-be-strong-when-60-of-hospitalized-are-vaccinated

The Israel hospitalization and vaccination situation has been referenced many times on many threads. This article actually shows detailed data. I don't post screen images, so I am summarizing one of the tables below. The numbers look quite different when you adjust the groups "per 100K".
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It's a short read and the author even gives several caveats about the quality of the data. I would encourage anyone to at least open the link and look at the tables. They are not that big and can be easily displayed on a cell phone. One table is broken down by more detailed age groups.

The vaccine is not perfect, but it most certainly is keeping people out of the hospital.

A quote from the author:
Quote:

I have seen this statistic of "nearly 60% of Israeli hospitalized COVID-19 patients are fully vaccinated" mentioned in numerous media reports and social media posts, for example see here.

From many, I have seen this statistic used as evidence to support a narrative suggesting vaccines don't work or have lost their effectiveness vs. severe disease, and I have seen other articles quote this type of figure as further evidence for the reduction of effectiveness of the vaccines in trying to justify 3rd shot boosters.

However, while these numbers are true, to quote them as evidence for low vaccine effectiveness is wrong and misleading. Sometimes, with observational data there is confounding of multiple factors that can make it easy to misinterpret simple percentages like this, and the current vaccination situation in Israel brings a perfect storm of confounding factors that lead to confusion if not thought through carefully.

And a 30,000ft view for the TL;DR crowd.

Hospitalizations:

All ages:
Not Vax : 214
Full Vax: 301
Not Vax per 100K: 16.4
Full Vax per 100K: 5.3

<50 yr old:
Not Vax: 43
Full Vax: 11
Not Vax per 100K: 3.9
Full Vax per 100K: 0.3

>50 yr old:
Not Vax: 171
Full Vax: 290
Not Vax per 100K: 91.9
Full Vax per 100K: 13.6


traxter
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WolfCall
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AG
I have a few citations for recent journal articles I obtained from a PubMed (National Library of Medicine) search using the following search terms phrase: Covid Vaccine AND Heart.

Some of you may be confronted with the decision about whether or not to vaccinate your children......

Citations follow with title of journal article in bold text and abbreviated journal name italicized.
Quote:

Quote:
Items 1-29 of 29 (Display the 29 citations in PubMed)

1: Sivakumaran P, Sunny J, Tsagkridi A, Khanji MY. Myopericarditis following SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine: the role of cardiac biomarkers and multimodality imaging. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2021 Sep 6:jeab183. doi: 10.1093/ehjci/jeab183. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34487161.

2: McFadyen JD, Peter K. The known knowns and known unknowns of vaccine-induced thrombotic thrombocytopaenia. Cardiovasc Res. 2021 Sep 2:cvab275. doi: 10.1093/cvr/cvab275. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34472568.

3: Tate C, Demashkieh L, Hakmeh W. Isolated Tachycardia Presenting After Pfizer- BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccination. Cureus. 2021 Jul 28;13(7):e16706. doi: 10.7759/cureus.16706. PMID: 34466331; PMCID: PMC8397831.

4: Lee E, Chew NWS, Ng P, Yeo TJ. Reply to "Letter to the editor: Myocarditis should be considered in those with a troponin rise and unobstructed coronary arteries following PfizerBioNTech COVID-19 vaccination". QJM. 2021 Aug 31:hcab232. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcab232. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34463770.

5: Ford GA, Hargroves D, Lowe D, Hicks N, Lip GYH, Rooney G, Oatley H. Targeted atrial fibrillation (AF) detection in COVID-19 vaccination clinics. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. 2021 Aug 27:qcab061. doi: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcab061. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34448836.

6: Shazley O, Alshazley M. A COVID-Positive 52-Year-Old Man Presented With Venous Thromboembolism and Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation Following Johnson & Johnson Vaccination: A Case-Study. Cureus. 2021 Jul 14;13(7):e16383. doi: 10.7759/cureus.16383. PMID: 34408937; PMCID: PMC8362796.

7: Li C, Chen Y, Zhao Y, Lung DC, Ye Z, Song W, Liu FF, Cai JP, Wong WM, Yip CC, Chan JF, To KK, Sridhar S, Hung IF, Chu H, Kok KH, Jin DY, Zhang AJ, Yuen KY. Intravenous injection of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine can induce acute myopericarditis in mouse model. Clin Infect Dis. 2021 Aug 18:ciab707. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciab707. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34406358.

8: Kim IC, Kim H, Lee HJ, Kim JY, Kim JY. Cardiac Imaging of Acute Myocarditis Following COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination. J Korean Med Sci. 2021 Aug 16;36(32):e229. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2021.36.e229. PMID: 34402228; PMCID: PMC8369314.

9: King WW, Petersen MR, Matar RM, Budweg JB, Cuervo Pardo L, Petersen JW. Myocarditis following mRNA vaccination against SARS-CoV-2, a case series. Am Heart J Plus. 2021 Aug;8:100042. doi: 10.1016/j.ahjo.2021.100042. Epub 2021 Aug 9. PMID: 34396358; PMCID: PMC8349733.

10: Jain SS, Steele JM, Fonseca B, Huang S, Shah S, Maskatia SA, Buddhe S, Misra N, Ramachandran P, Gaur L, Eshtehardi P, Anwar S, Kaushik N, Han F, Chaudhuri NR, Grosse-Wortmann L. COVID-19 Vaccination-Associated Myocarditis in Adolescents. Pediatrics. 2021 Aug 13:e2021053427. doi: 10.1542/peds.2021-053427. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34389692.

11: Sung JG, Sobieszczyk PS, Bhatt DL. Acute Myocardial Infarction Within 24 Hours After COVID-19 Vaccination. Am J Cardiol. 2021 Oct 1;156:129-131. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2021.06.047. Epub 2021 Jul 12. PMID: 34364657; PMCID: PMC8272970.

12: Park JY, Kim JH, Lee IJ, Kim HI, Park S, Hwang YI, Jang SH, Jung KS. COVID-19 vaccine-related interstitial lung disease: a case study. Thorax. 2021 Aug 6:thoraxjnl-2021-217609. doi: 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2021-217609. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34362838.

13: Das BB, Moskowitz WB, Taylor MB, Palmer A. Myocarditis and Pericarditis Following mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination: What Do We Know So Far? Children (Basel). 2021 Jul 18;8(7):607. doi: 10.3390/children8070607. PMID: 34356586; PMCID: PMC8305058.

14: Fanni D, Saba L, Demontis R, Gerosa C, Chighine A, Nioi M, Suri JS, Ravarino A, Cau F, Barcellona D, Botta MC, Porcu M, Scano A, Coghe F, Orr G, Van Eyken P, Gibo Y, La Nasa G, D'aloja E, Marongiu F, Faa G. Vaccine-induced severe thrombotic thrombocytopenia following COVID-19 vaccination: a report of an autoptic case and review of the literature. Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2021 Aug;25(15):5063-5069. doi: 10.26355/eurrev_202108_26464. PMID: 34355379.

15: Andraska EA, Kulkarni R, Chaudhary M, Sachdev U. Three cases of acute venous thromboembolism in females following vaccination for COVID-19. J Vasc Surg Venous Lymphat Disord. 2021 Aug 2:S2213-333X(21)00392-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jvsv.2021.07.009. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34352418; PMCID: PMC8327605.

16: Pepe S, Gregory AT, Denniss AR. Myocarditis, Pericarditis and Cardiomyopathy After COVID-19 Vaccination. Heart Lung Circ. 2021 Oct;30(10):1425-1429. doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2021.07.011. Epub 2021 Jul 31. PMID: 34340927; PMCID: PMC8324414.

17: Das BB, Kohli U, Ramachandran P, Nguyen HH, Greil G, Hussain T, Tandon A, Kane C, Avula S, Duru C, Hede S, Sharma K, Chowdhury D, Patel S, Mercer C, Chaudhuri NR, Patel B, Khan D, Ang JY, Asmar B, Sanchez J, Bobosky KA, Cochran CD, Gebara BM, Gonzalez Rangel IE, Krasan G, Siddiqui O, Waqas M, El-Wiher N, Freij BJ. Myopericarditis following mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination in Adolescents 12 through 18 Years of Age. J Pediatr. 2021 Jul 30:S0022-3476(21)00736-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2021.07.044. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34339728; PMCID: PMC8321962.

18: Sokolska JM, Kurcz J, Kosmala W. Every rose has its thorns - acute myocarditis following COVID-19 vaccination. Kardiol Pol. 2021 Jul 31. doi: 10.33963/KP.a2021.0075. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34331307.

19: Boscolo Berto M, Spano G, Wagner B, Bernhard B, Hner J, Huber AT, Grni C. Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy After mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination. Heart Lung Circ. 2021 Jul 15:S1443-9506(21)01133-1. doi: 10.1016/j.hlc.2021.06.521. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34330629; PMCID: PMC8279960.

20: Tano E, San Martin S, Girgis S, Martinez-Fernandez Y, Sanchez Vegas C. Perimyocarditis in Adolescents After Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine. J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc. 2021 Jul 28:piab060. doi: 10.1093/jpids/piab060. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34319393; PMCID: PMC8344528.

21: Williams CB, Choi JI, Hosseini F, Roberts J, Ramanathan K, Ong K. Acute Myocarditis Following mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination. CJC Open. 2021 Jul 14. doi: 10.1016/j.cjco.2021.07.008. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34308326; PMCID: PMC8278869.

22: Bozkurt B, Kamat I, Hotez PJ. Myocarditis With COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines. Circulation. 2021 Aug 10;144(6):471-484. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.056135. Epub 2021 Jul 20. PMID: 34281357; PMCID: PMC8340726.

23: Singh B, Kaur P, Cedeno L, Brahimi T, Patel P, Virk H, Shamoon F, Bikkina M. COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine and Myocarditis. Eur J Case Rep Intern Med. 2021 Jun 14;8(7):002681. doi: 10.12890/2021_002681. PMID: 34268277; PMCID: PMC8276934.

24: Shaw KE, Cavalcante JL, Han BK, Gössl M. Possible Association Between COVID-19 Vaccine and Myocarditis: Clinical and CMR Findings. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2021 Sep;14(9):1856-1861. doi: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2021.06.002. Epub 2021 Jun 16. PMID: 34246586; PMCID: PMC8245050.

25: Al-Ahmad M, Al-Rasheed M, Shalaby NAB. Acquired thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura with possible association with AstraZeneca-Oxford COVID-19 vaccine. EJHaem. 2021 May 18:10.1002/jha2.219. doi: 10.1002/jha2.219. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34226899; PMCID: PMC8242544.

26: Deb A, Abdelmalek J, Iwuji K, Nugent K. Acute Myocardial Injury Following COVID-19 Vaccination: A Case Report and Review of Current Evidence from Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System Database. J Prim Care Community Health. 2021 Jan-Dec;12:21501327211029230. doi: 10.1177/21501327211029230. PMID: 34219532; PMCID: PMC8255555.

27: Lee E, Chew NW, Ng P, Yeo TJ. A spectrum of cardiac manifestations post Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccination. QJM. 2021 Jun 30:hcab177. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcab177. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34191024.

28: Habib MB, Hamamyh T, Elyas A, Altermanini M, Elhassan M. Acute myocarditis following administration of BNT162b2 vaccine. IDCases. 2021 Jun 16;25:e01197. doi: 10.1016/j.idcr.2021.e01197. PMID: 34189042; PMCID: PMC8220234.

29: Kim HW, Jenista ER, Wendell DC, Azevedo CF, Campbell MJ, Darty SN, Parker MA, Kim RJ. Patients With Acute Myocarditis Following mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination. JAMA Cardiol. 2021 Jun 29:e212828. doi: 10.1001/jamacardio.2021.2828. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34185046; PMCID: PMC8243258.
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