Natural infection vs vaccination

4,509 Views | 36 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by TarponChaser
thirdcoast
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AG
BlackGoldAg2011 said:

Here's a study done one international travelers arriving in Qatar Feb-April of this year where everyone was quarantined and tested. The article and figures have some good data, but the TLDR is that it looks like immunity from natural infection is roughly 8% less than immunity from vaccination during that time period. So maybe slightly lower, but still very good based on the data.


https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2781112


That is a PCR study where presumably many naturally immune people made it into the "vaccinated, no prior infection" group. Antibody testing studies are much more reliable as they can identify those with both natural nucleocapsid protein and vaccine spike protein.
BlackGoldAg2011
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thirdcoast said:

BlackGoldAg2011 said:

Here's a study done one international travelers arriving in Qatar Feb-April of this year where everyone was quarantined and tested. The article and figures have some good data, but the TLDR is that it looks like immunity from natural infection is roughly 8% less than immunity from vaccination during that time period. So maybe slightly lower, but still very good based on the data.


https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2781112


That is a PCR study where presumably many naturally immune people made it into the "vaccinated, no prior infection" group. Antibody testing studies are much more reliable as they can identify those with both natural nucleocapsid protein and vaccine spike protein.
agreed, it's not perfect, but it's the only study i've seen that actually did any forward looking testing to compare natural immunity to vaccine immunity from an efficacy standpoint.

While I am probably a bit more on the "concerned" end of the spectrum when it comes to COVID than much of the TexAgs posting base, I whole heartedly agree that not thoroughly investigating and accounting for natural immunity is a huge mistake and disservice to the public.

I posted a plot on the "daily charts" thread that I made for Harris county, and depending on the assumptions you make, natural immunity likely accounts for 1/4-1/3 of the total immunity in the county. Maybe as much as half if you also include the "vaccinated, with prior infection" group. That's a big deal from the public health implications.
TarponChaser
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SoupNazi2001 said:

cone said:

mostly just seeing people my age (40) get really sick from this thing

know a guy who rode the vent, survived, lost 65 lbs doing so


I know at least 10 people in their 40s who got it and it was mild to all of them.


Same. Probably 30-35 people between 35-50. All at least relatively healthy who got it and it was extremely mild. Same for me and I haz the fats. But good BP (130'ish/70'ish consistently), no diabeetus, and stay active.

The two people I've known who died:
-50'ish, fat, diabetic, smoker
-45, healthy, outdoor job as a fishing guide. But he was also a dumbass and didn't go to the doctor until he'd had severe symptoms for almost 2 weeks.
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