looking at the UK at 50% first doses, but only 12% 2nd doses, now reading through Monica Ghandi's twitter and seeing this:
Hopefully we are soon behind this. I do wonder if we should have fast tracked about 50% of first dose before moving on to 2nd doses as much(other than the most extremely at risk). I guess now it's too late to worry, but I wonder if we are better off using all 3 million doses / resources towards first doses until we get to 60% or so, then getting the 2nd dose in 6 weeks or so. I mean, afterall, first doses after 2 weeks may only be 80% effective at spread/getting the virus, but it still keeps people out of hospitals and practically eliminates deaths.
I think once first doses get to 50% or so, this thing trends downward hard. I'd readjust if possible, but I guess it doesn't necessarily matter. We could be at 55% 1st doses by now, if that many people are/were willing.
Hopefully we are soon behind this. I do wonder if we should have fast tracked about 50% of first dose before moving on to 2nd doses as much(other than the most extremely at risk). I guess now it's too late to worry, but I wonder if we are better off using all 3 million doses / resources towards first doses until we get to 60% or so, then getting the 2nd dose in 6 weeks or so. I mean, afterall, first doses after 2 weeks may only be 80% effective at spread/getting the virus, but it still keeps people out of hospitals and practically eliminates deaths.
I think once first doses get to 50% or so, this thing trends downward hard. I'd readjust if possible, but I guess it doesn't necessarily matter. We could be at 55% 1st doses by now, if that many people are/were willing.