**Official Harvey Thread** Updated Staff Warning on OP 1:50 p.m. 8/27

578,229 Views | 5047 Replies | Last: 6 yr ago by Patentmike
Clavell
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Latest model shows about same: Should start turning back toward coast in next few hours, come close to coast by late Monday (may or may not touch Gulf) and then had north and be west of Houston on Wednesday, and around Waco by Friday.

Rain fcst same: 3-6 inches per day through Tuesday. Locally 8-10 inches of rainfall could fall in a day. Rainfall totals through the middle of next week could approach to surpass 20 inches.
VaultingChemist
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gigemJTH12 said:

BMX Bandit said:

Since Thursday they said Late Saturday through early Monday would be the worst time

Fascinating people think this is over or a dud


Well the storm path has changed considerably since then
Not by much....if you are hoping to dodge flooding. Five days of rain.

LostInLA07
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Is Tampa, FL really the best point of reference?
Very Tolerant Nice Guy
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LostInLA07 said:

Is Tampa, FL really the best point of reference?


7400 miles west of Ulan Bataar, Mongolia
wichoAggie06
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Here in Copperfield has been very calm. I hope it continues like this.
Ragoo
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wichoAggie06 said:

Here in Copperfield has been very calm. I hope it continues like this.
also in Copperfield. Wish the pool at the Y was open. Would have been nice to swim in some cool rain water.
cone
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We're north of Bellaire Blvd but if the bayou goes so does our hood
cone
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band after band after band
HtownAg92
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I'm close to bayou as well. Gauge has it dropping about a foot an hour with this lull in rain. Radar still has us between the bands so hoping it continues to drop for a while.
Milwaukees Best Light
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BMX Bandit said:

Since Thursday they said Late Saturday through early Monday would be the worst time

Fascinating people think this is over or a dud
I do. But, I don't give a crap about Katy or Oak Forest.
Anti-taxxer
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Let's say I wanted to drive from huntsville to pearland tomorrow. Would that be possible?
E
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smango05 said:

Let's say I wanted to drive from huntsville to pearland tomorrow. Would that be possible?
sts7049
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Waffledynamics
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I don't think this is going to be as severe as people are thinking. This thing was supposed to continue pounding Houston today, and it's not really doing much of anything for a lot of the town.
bjork
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VaultingChemist said:

gigemJTH12 said:

BMX Bandit said:

Since Thursday they said Late Saturday through early Monday would be the worst time

Fascinating people think this is over or a dud


Well the storm path has changed considerably since then
Not by much....if you are hoping to dodge flooding. Five days of rain.


The latest models:


We could luck out and it dies in the west.
cone
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Me too

Drain baby drain

We're getting penetrated overnight
Waffledynamics
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gigemJTH12 said:

cone said:

if you haven't satisfied your bad weather bloodlust, then wait until tonight

it's going to get bad. first round primed the pump.


Where?
This is the best question. ITL hasn't seen rain in hours.
digging tunnels
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thankful here in cottage grove it has been very calm
cone
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regardless of west or east it's still conveyor belting moisture likely through Monday
LostInLA07
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Has anyone seen more than an hour or two of heavy rain all day?
bjork
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cone said:

regardless of west or east it's still conveyor belting moisture likely through Monday
I hear that. Regardless of which model ends up correct, the 24 & 48 hrs. of each still show it virtually stationary.
sts7049
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https://i.imgur.com/Wh87DS7.mp4
Swan Song
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In Friendswood about 2.5 hours into a period of no rain.

Drain baby drain (esp Chigger Creek)
Ramrod
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Waffledynamics said:

I don't think this is going to be as severe as people are thinking. This thing was supposed to continue pounding Houston today, and it's not really doing much of anything for a lot of the town.

Still projecting double digit rains in most of the Houston area and more rain further west and north west as this thing moves out, that water has to flow downstream still. It's looking better and the relief today is giving the bayous a good break.
E
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For those of you saying its not going to be that bad, watch the mp4 that sts posted
RVAg02
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sts7049 said:

https://i.imgur.com/Wh87DS7.mp4
Waffledynamics
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sts7049 said:

https://i.imgur.com/Wh87DS7.mp4
It should be noted that this is just one model. We don't know that this will happen this way yet.
RVAg02
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cone said:

We're north of Bellaire Blvd but if the bayou goes so does our hood
We are 4 blocks south of Bellaire ITL off Newcastle. House was built in 87 before they made you build up.
E
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Waffledynamics said:

sts7049 said:

https://i.imgur.com/Wh87DS7.mp4
It should be noted that this is just one model. We don't know that this will happen this way yet.
That is the model til tomorrow morning, not the models til tuesday that are all over the place...

and the weather channel just reported the same thing
AlaskanAg99
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Hwy 6 & Clay is getting drenched.
tamuags08
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Started raining hard again in cypress. Another inch of rain in the past hour or so based on the rain gauge of the flood district.
claym711
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This the new disaster for houston plan? It has hardly rained. Maybe we get enough for memorial to flood, which definitely isn't fun, but hardly worth all the manufactured hysteria over multiple landfalls and 30" of rain.
Cromagnum
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Oh Four Five
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They're forecasting the Brazos River in Richmond to potentially top the Memorial Day flood levels. Thankfully, it's been incredibly quiet in Sugar Land today.
Very Tolerant Nice Guy
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Tornadic storm in Katy heading NNW
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