From what I understand the 10PM guidance was released in advance of the EURO model and before it was upgraded to a tropical storm again. Next 12-18 hours should be interesting.
**Official Harvey Thread** Updated Staff Warning on OP 1:50 p.m. 8/27
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Last: 6 yr ago by Patentmike
I am currently in Germany and my flight back doesnt get back til 1:45 on friday. I am an Oak Forest area resident, not in flood plain but without flood insurance. Should I start my gofundme now???
E said:
I am currently in Germany and my flight back doesnt get back til 1:45 on friday. I am an Oak Forest area resident, not in flood plain but without flood insurance. Should I start my gofundme now???
Some of my family members have a flight back from Frankfurt scheduled to land at 5:30 on Sunday...they might as well start finding local hotels now right?
I'm scheduled to land at IAH on Saturday at 1:45pm. Looking to rent a flat bottom boat to get home in Meyerland.
Some airlines are waiving change fees for people already. You could change your flight.
i would change your flight. if its flooded here or raining youll probably get diverted anyway
Whats the project daily schedule of the storm:
Friday: hits Houston in the afternoon
Saturday & Sunday: Katrina 2.0
???
Friday: hits Houston in the afternoon
Saturday & Sunday: Katrina 2.0
???
Looking bad for Corpus and points just NE. Current thinking is this strengthens to a major hurricane before it hits. It looks pretty mean this morning compared to yesterday.
so what does this mean?
also so when is **** gonna get bad here? Sunday?
Can you move to one of the other campuses if they won't let him out in time? #honestlyhavenoideazap said:I appreciate your comment.Texaggie7nine said:Sorry to hear man. Hope all is well.zap said:
My kid is currently hospitalized at Texas Children's. I hope I get him out prior to any flooding.
All is well. He is recovering from surgery. They are talking about a Friday/Saturday discharge, hence my pucker with this storm looming.
Hell of a difference in appearance from last night.
Pressures already dropped to 985Mb which puts it in Cat 1 range already.
Pressures already dropped to 985Mb which puts it in Cat 1 range already. 
Are you that mid-30s dude who shares everything you find funny on facebook?
cone said:
also so when is **** gonna get bad here? Sunday?
They are saying it's literally going to go in the coast as a hurricane, then back up and reverse the same spot it made landfall in 2 days later as a tropical storm ?
If this happens it could rain all the way til next Thursday in Houston
Of course I am in Budapest trying to get back to San Antonio through IAH on Saturday.
Everyone should just read sciguy for updates and not focus on the false precision of these forecast maps.
Things actually look way better this morning for Houston than yesterday morning when Allison part 2 was looking possible. In the Q&A on spacecityweather someone asked sciguy this:
- 75% chance we get a lot of rain (10-20 inches) between late Saturday/early Sunday and Wednesday
- 25% chance we get very little rain
Things actually look way better this morning for Houston than yesterday morning when Allison part 2 was looking possible. In the Q&A on spacecityweather someone asked sciguy this:
His response:Quote:
At this stage, (and I don't want to be apocalyptic, but I do want to emphasize the seriousness) do you agree that this has a reasonably high potential to be the worst widespread flooding event (not more isolated to certain sections of the city) in Houston's history?
https://spacecityweather.com/likely-a-hurricane-at-landfall-harvey-approaches-a-wary-texas/#more-4907Quote:
No.
There are worse places to be stuck. Just stay in Budapest for a few extra days.AggieBusDriver said:
Of course I am in Budapest trying to get back to San Antonio through IAH on Saturday.
I would if it wasn't my son's birthday on Sunday.RPM said:There are worse places to be stuck. Just stay in Budapest for a few extra days.AggieBusDriver said:
Of course I am in Budapest trying to get back to San Antonio through IAH on Saturday.
Yeah...taking Friday off to get your house prepared is a stupid thing to do, especially when landfall is going to be late Friday or early Saturday. Stupid I say!rhoswen said:
That's pretty stupid when Monday would make more sense.
I'm going to join the stupid people - buttoning up at work today, then I'm going to be a selfish ******* and spend Friday making sure my house is in order so I don't have to go native on Sat, Sun or Mon to find supplies or what not.
Relax, bro.
Friday's normally off FTW!
Though, it seems I always end up working some.
Though, it seems I always end up working some.
Only it's a real cyclone.Quote:
the green one looks like the Texas Cyclone at Astroworld
I don't think that's an option. He's not too mobile right now. Best case is a Friday discharge.
If anyone can suggest a route (that avoids flood prone roads) from the med center to Cypress, I would appreciate it.
If anyone can suggest a route (that avoids flood prone roads) from the med center to Cypress, I would appreciate it.
Here's a good list of flood prone roads.
http://abc13.com/traffic/list-of-flood-prone-roads-in-houston/1315561/
http://abc13.com/traffic/list-of-flood-prone-roads-in-houston/1315561/
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Quote:
Changes this morning:
Hurricane Warning & Storm Surge Warning for Corpus, Tropical Storm Warning for Houston.
Harvey has intensified and organized overnight, and is now a threat to strengthen continuously up to landfall tomorrow night.
I've upgraded the intensity forecast and shifted the track just a tiny bit further south.
Hurricane impacts are now expected at the CCL site tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night.
Rainfall forecast beyond landfall looks troublesome for most of SE Texas, but there may be a slight shift south in highest totals.
An Act II of Harvey looks more plausible next Tuesday or Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible from Houston through Lake Charles.
Quick summary: Harvey has organized itself much faster and better than expected even 12 hours ago. A rapid intensification cycle of Harvey up through landfall is possible, leading to Harvey coming ashore just north of Port Aransas as at least a strong Cat 1 hurricane, possibly even a Cat 2. Any further shift south in track will result in slightly worse impacts in the Corpus area. In Houston, a tropical storm warning is in effect, but tropical storm force winds only extend out 115 miles from the center right now, so I would expect only occasional potential tropical storm force gusts in Houston. Same story at Sabine, with even less wind risk for now. Rainfall remains the big story beyond tomorrow, and 10-20" of rain is likely between Corpus and Houston through Wednesday, with higher amounts possible. In Houston itself, 4-8" north, 8-12" south on average, with 15-20" possible depending on exactly how things unfold. Keep in mind, this will be spread out over multiple days, so multiple rounds of flooding are possible in multiple locations. Harvey will finally pull away from Texas Tuesday into Wednesday, possibly re-emerging over the Gulf as it does so, bringing a short-term tropical storm risk to Sabine early next week.
Folks in Corpus should have preparations completed by late this evening, and any travel out of Corpus should be completed by 4-6 AM Friday. Travel between Corpus and Houston is likely to be difficult to near-impossible this weekend and early next week.
zap said:
If anyone can suggest a route (that avoids flood prone roads) from the med center to Cypress, I would appreciate it.
Eh, you're pretty much effed getting out of the Med-Center. If you can somehow make it to 610, you should be be able to take the highway all the way to Cypress. It's the surface streets around the Med that are problematic.
And 288 and 59S and I-10.CDUB98 said:zap said:
If anyone can suggest a route (that avoids flood prone roads) from the med center to Cypress, I would appreciate it.
Eh, you're pretty much effed getting out of the Med-Center. If you can somehow make it to 610, you should be be able to take the highway all the way to Cypress. It's the surface streets around the Med that are problematic.
HumbleAg said:
And 288 and 59S and I-10.
Why would he need to get on any of those to go to Cypress?
if you get to 610, you would probably be ok to go around to 290, or maybe hardy to the beltway. I'd stay off 45n for sure since that always is a disaster. with all the 290 construction it could be worse than usual too.
The new 290 is a higher elevation than before. Never goes below grade like those other highways.