College Baseball Selection Commitee | Key Metrics?

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AggiesinNC
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AG
Incredible series win by the Ags this weekend against Mississippi State!

I agree with many others on this board that a Top 8 seed comes down to a comparison between the Aggies, Florida State, Alabama, and Florida for seed lines 7-10. I believe that UCLA, Georgia Tech, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas, and Auburn are locked into 1-6.

What are the key metrics that the committee will look at?

Texas A&M - RPI: 11, ELO: 7, DSR: 7, KPI: 10
Florida State - RPI: 7, ELO: 11, DSR: 8, KPI: 9
Alabama - RPI: 6, ELO: 13, DSR: 13, KPI: 8
Florida - RPI: 9, ELO: 9, DSR: 10, KPI: 6

How would you currently seed 1-10?
ensign_beedrill
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AG
The key metrics change from year to year, committee to committee. The only thing certain is if you're on the edge of something, like hosting or being in the tournament, and your AD is on the committee, you will end up on the favorable side of the edge.

Unless you're A&M.
CapCityAg89
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I think you're just letting your BAS show through. Ags are a national seed lock. Nobody else has the metrics to beat out an 18 win SEC schedule. Anyone else in the league has our numbers and you'd say they're a lock too.

The competition is for 8.
AgRyan04
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They'll use whatever metrics they need to in order to make the hosts as geographically equitable as they can
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Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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all things being pretty equal you ahve to look at heqd to head and conference standings if it comes down to teams from the sec.
tamc93
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AG
I doubt they would ever let 5 SEC teams have national seeds and the first 6 looked locked in..

Florida State gets in

AM and Alabama fighting for #8…no head to head to compare, so sec standings and tournament could decide.

Florida out
ensign_beedrill
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CapCityAg89 said:

I think you're just letting your BAS show through. Ags are a national seed lock. Nobody else has the metrics to beat out an 18 win SEC schedule. Anyone else in the league has our numbers and you'd say they're a lock too.

The competition is for 8.

3rd place team in the SEC? I'd say that's more than enough. 3rd place team typically gets a top 8 seed.
ensign_beedrill
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AG
Of course, you know the committee. They are salivating at the chance to pair us with t.u., so they might just make them an 8 and us a 9.
Luigi Vampa
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The Florida AD is the only SEC affiliated rep on the Division I Baseball Oversight Committee Roster. Food for thought.

FSU is also represented.
EKG1996
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AG
Guessing they put Bama and us at #8 and #9.
chap
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tamc93 said:

I doubt they would ever let 5 SEC teams have national seeds and the first 6 looked locked in..

Florida State gets in

AM and Alabama fighting for #8…no head to head to compare, so sec standings and tournament could decide.

Florida out

Except last year? 6 of 8
HeyAbbott
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AG
Alabama is a lock for a top 8 seed
Luigi Vampa
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HeyAbbott said:

Alabama is a lock for a top 8 seed

Huh??? No they're definitely not a lock.
HeyAbbott
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Brauny said Bama is a lock for a top 8 seed based on their metrics
HeyAbbott
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It is down to the final spot for that # 8 national seed as UCLA, GT, Georgia, tu, UNC, Auburn and Alabama are basically locks for the top 7 currently.
phatty26
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We should be 6-8 seeding with uga, GT, ucla, UNC, ahead of us oh wait ut is #1
phatty26
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If it was anyone else they give favor to injuries.
Agryan00
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CapCityAg89 said:

I think you're just letting your BAS show through. Ags are a national seed lock. Nobody else has the metrics to beat out an 18 win SEC schedule. Anyone else in the league has our numbers and you'd say they're a lock too.

The competition is for 8.

Yep its BAS! Hyman wasn't on committee when TCU was wrongly awarded over us. It wasn't him with the TCU shirt on in the stands when he was still our AD. RC was never the same again after that year.

Also, Bama doesn't have 18 wins. Someone just wrote down on the SEC standings page wrong.

C'mon. I know your Aggie fan but try to add a little bit of reality to the picture. Spots 6-8 are up for grabs and the hardcore baseball fans know it. We have a good shot as we were never swept and all series were competitive. But post season tourny will likely have some influence. Just hope FSU, BAMA, and Nebraska all exit early.

HoustonAg2106
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HeyAbbott said:

Brauny said Bama is a lock for a top 8 seed based on their metrics


Oh well why didn't say that Brauny said it, then it must be true!
MagnumLoad
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tamc93 said:

I doubt they would ever let 5 SEC teams have national seeds and the first 6 looked locked in..

Florida State gets in

AM and Alabama fighting for #8…no head to head to compare, so sec standings and tournament could decide.

Florida out

6 of the top 8 last year were sec
I hate tu. It's in my blood.
W
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AG
Florida State went 0-4 vs. the SEC...including 0-3 vs. Florida

so the 'noles are out for a top 8 -- cannot be seeded above Florida

Florida went 1-5 vs. A&M and Bama

that's a major disadvantage for the Gators in a 3-way comparison with A&M and Bama

UF has an SoS advantage over A&M, but the Ags winning 2 of 3 in Gainesville should negate that
W
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AG
and one small thing when comparing A&M vs. Bama vs. Florida...

the Ags played both Georgia (1st) and t.u. (2nd)

Bama did not play Georgia

Florida did not play t.u.

(all 3 played Auburn)
Sean98
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AG
One key metric should be, "do you play on natural grass?". ...case in point.

https://www.instagram.com/p/DYc1R1BkQhk/?img_index=1&igsh=MTNvZWptaHV6NGxzZw==
ensign_beedrill
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AG
Sean98 said:

One key metric should be, "do you play on natural grass?". ...case in point.

https://www.instagram.com/p/DYc1R1BkQhk/?img_index=1&igsh=MTNvZWptaHV6NGxzZw==

I like that! No post season games on fake fields!
dermdoc
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ensign_beedrill said:

Sean98 said:

One key metric should be, "do you play on natural grass?". ...case in point.

https://www.instagram.com/p/DYc1R1BkQhk/?img_index=1&igsh=MTNvZWptaHV6NGxzZw==

I like that! No post season games on fake fields!

Takes out the sips!

BTHO the SEC tourney!
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AggieBB
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How TF would the sips be a lock but not us? We have identical records and we absolutely drug our nuts across their faces.
W
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Luigi Vampa said:

The Florida AD is the only SEC affiliated rep on the Division I Baseball Oversight Committee Roster. Food for thought.

FSU is also represented.

so the compromise is neither gets top 8

and they are seeded #9 and #10 to guarantee they won't meet in the SR round
W
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AG
that's another thing working in A&M's favor

if the committee is high on the horns...they have to be high on A&M as well

the sips could not be the #4 and the Ags somehow the #10

the two resumes are not that far apart -- especially with the head-to-head results
CapCityAg89
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AG
Agryan00 said:

CapCityAg89 said:

I think you're just letting your BAS show through. Ags are a national seed lock. Nobody else has the metrics to beat out an 18 win SEC schedule. Anyone else in the league has our numbers and you'd say they're a lock too.

The competition is for 8.

Yep its BAS! Hyman wasn't on committee when TCU was wrongly awarded over us. It wasn't him with the TCU shirt on in the stands when he was still our AD. RC was never the same again after that year.

Also, Bama doesn't have 18 wins. Someone just wrote down on the SEC standings page wrong.

C'mon. I know your Aggie fan but try to add a little bit of reality to the picture. Spots 6-8 are up for grabs and the hardcore baseball fans know it. We have a good shot as we were never swept and all series were competitive. But post season tourny will likely have some influence. Just hope FSU, BAMA, and Nebraska all exit early.



Bringing up one time when the committee screwed the Ags from 10 years ago is the very definition of BAS.
MaroonStain
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AG
One of the '14 or '15 should have been in Omaha but didn't then a weaker team made it in '17. Yes, BAS for some
HoustonAg2106
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MaroonStain said:

One of the '14 or '15 should have been in Omaha but didn't then a weaker team made it in '17. Yes, BAS for some


I'm sure you mean '15 and '16.
AggiesinNC
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The D1 Baseball Nerdcast has the following (and also mentioned that DSR was used heavily by the softball committee):

1 - UCLA
2 - Georgia Tech
3 - Georgia
4 - UNC
5 - Texas
6 - Alabama
7 - Auburn

Then considerable discussion about Texas A&M and Southern Miss...

8 - Texas A&M
9 - Southern MIss
10 - Florida
11 - Florida State

12 - West Virginia
13 - Nebraska
14 - Mississipi State
15 - Kansas
16 - Oregon

Agryan00
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BAS is we always choke or the committe does not like us. Not a scandal. Notice Hyman was quickly fired and it was swept under the rug.
CapCityAg89
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Fair enough. Either way - has nothing to do with 2026.
twk
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What metrics does the committee use? Whichever one backs up,what they were already inclined to do.

I think we are in good shape. If they leave us out of the top 8, they are going to have to do a lot of mental gymnastics. Still, led like to win one in Hoove just to make sure.

I personally don't think we could go lower than nine, and if we do fall to 9, I think it would be unlikely to be at the expense of another SEC team that we finished ahead of in the standings, or even beat straight up. More likely it would be someone from another conference, in which case we'd just go to their place and win a road super, which could be fun.
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