Just thought I would see what the board thinks we need to get a Top 8 seed.

I think we need to get to 19-11 We currently sit at 3-3, so we need to go 16-8 the rest of the way. My path to getting there:

HOME Get 3 of 3 from Auburn (Check)
ROAD Get 2 of 3 from USC (Check)
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Vandy (Check + 1)
ROAD Get 2 of 3 from Bama (Check)
HOME Get 2 of 3 from UGa (Check)
ROAD Get 1 of 3 from LSU (Check)
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Ole Miss (-1)
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Ark (Check)

Looking at the competition we face, that looks like a pretty tough task though. I think if we go 17-13, that is still pretty impressive considering the competition.

It will be interesting to see how the committee views the SEC when it comes to seeding. You are going to have some really good teams that are gong to be around 0.500 and even the top end teams are probably going to have 8 losses or more.

This might be the best baseball conference ever. 10 teams ranked and 6 in the top 10. I think 17-13 will get us a Top 8 and 15-15 will get us to host a regional.

Multiple factors, especially how other top teams do, but I think 17-13 gets us a national seed.

If in doubt…win the rest???

Let's just win 'em all to be safe.

The back end of our SEC schedule is tough. Vandy, LSU, and Arky. Will be an intersting watch going forward.

Well I guess there's only one thing left to do……..win the whole ******* thing.

StinkyPinky said:

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Tuve said:

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This might be the best baseball conference ever. 10 teams ranked and 6 in the top 10. I think 17-13 will get us a Top 8 and 15-15 will get us to host a regional.

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I was talking with my LSU buddy last night and we were marveling at the fact SEC has 6 of the top 10. Pretty damn impressive! Talent rich conference.

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12 teams in the Baseball America Top 25. SEC is ridiculous.

Look at it this way, the top 3-4 teams in the SEC will get national seed consideration. I think if we finish in first or second place in the West we should be top 8

I think 17-13 might be good enough...with a series win over Arkansas

19+ is the generic start of the season answer of what you probably need to get a top 8 seed. It isn't a guarantee (South Carolina wasn't top 8 and had 20 wins back in 2016, Vanderbilt with 20 in 2015, Ole Miss with 19 in 2014), but 19 wins generally gets SEC teams a top 8 seed and that has been especially true more recently.

18 has gotten SEC teams a top 8 seed before (Georgia, Ole Miss, Arkansas all in 2018), but it usually doesn't.

LSU got one in 2014 going 17-11-1 and then winning the SEC tournament. That is the only time 17 has happened since we joined the conference.


SEC is really strong this year (and so far we have done good in non-conferences), so 18 likely gets it done for us this year I think. I'm not sure about 17 yet as most likely I think we end up with too many SEC teams ahead of us in the SEC standings if we only get 17 (but it is possible depending on how everything shakes out). Too early for me to think 17 will be enough though.

Auburn will be tough to sweep.

Yes, they were swept at Vandy, but they just lost two 1-run games to Arkansas.

just win series after series and don't get swept. in big boy baseball you cannot afford to get swept and you can't afford to lose a series at home.

aginlakeway said:

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Auburn will be tough to sweep.

Yes, they were swept at Vandy, but they just lost two 1-run games to Arkansas.

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I never predict a sweep in the SEC, just win 7-8 series and don't get swept in the ones you lose.

Everyone we play in the SEC this year will be tough to sweep.

As good as the SEC has been in the past, this may be the deepest it's ever been 1 through the team just ahead of Mizzou. Might be wrong but that's the way it looks to me.

quick look at last season:

Florida.......20-10
Arkansas...20-10
Vanderbilt....19-11
LSU...19-10

were top 8 seeds

so maybe 17-13 won't be enough

then the SEC had 4 additional regional hosts:

Kentucky....16-14
Auburn....17-13
Alabama....16-14
South Carolina...16-13

I think HoustonAg nailed it though: seems like a reasonably safe assumption that at a minimum the top 3-4 teams in the SEC will be in the conversation, regardless of record. Any team with 19 should be feeling pretty good. 20+ is damn near a lock.

Just 2 years ago, a SEC team finished 14-16 in conference, got bounced after the first round in Hoover, was a 3 seed in the Miami regional....then won a CWS title. Always makes me chuckle.

What an absolute gauntlet SEC baseball is

ChemEng94 said:

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Just thought I would see what the board thinks we need to get a Top 8 seed.

I think we need to get to 19-11 We currently sit at 3-3, so we need to go 16-8 the rest of the way. My path to getting there:

HOME Get 3 of 3 from Auburn
ROAD Get 2 of 3 from USC
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Vandy
ROAD Get 2 of 3 from Bama
HOME Get 2 of 3 from UGa
ROAD Get 1 of 3 from LSU
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Ole Miss
HOME Get 2 of 3 from Ark

Looking at the competition we face, that looks like a pretty tough task though. I think if we go 17-13, that is still pretty impressive considering the competition.

It will be interesting to see how the committee views the SEC when it comes to seeding. You are going to have some really good teams that are gong to be around 0.500 and even the top end teams are probably going to have 8 losses or more.

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I didn't realize we don't play Missouri. That sucks.

cr06gis said:

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Just 2 years ago, a SEC team finished 14-16 in conference, got bounced after the first round in Hoover, was a 3 seed in the Miami regional....then won a CWS title. Always makes me chuckle.

What an absolute gauntlet SEC baseball is

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And became the 2nd national champ in a row from the SEC to not make the conference tournament the next season.

OKCAGS said:

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Agreed . There could be a team that does not make it to Hoover ….. yet still gets in NCAA Tourney.

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While not impossible, highly unlikely. There is basically an unwritten rule that to earn a spot in NCAAs a team needs to make its own conference tournament. This is why, along with the expansion from 48 to 64 teams in the NCAAs, most league tourneys have become unwieldy in that conferences want to limit the number of reasons to leave out a team. In 2011 LSU had a overall good record and solid RPI but failed to get an invite because they did not make to Hoover. This is why the SEC tournament is the way it is and will expand to all teams in a single elimination format when t.u. and OU join the league.

jkag89 said:

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OKCAGS said:

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Agreed . There could be a team that does not make it to Hoover ….. yet still gets in NCAA Tourney.

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While not impossible, highly unlikely. There is basically an unwritten rule that to earn a spot in NCAAs a team needs to make its own conference tournament. This is why, along with the expansion from 48 to 64 teams in the NCAAs, most league tourneys have become unwieldy in that conferences want to limit the number of reasons to leave out a team. In 2011 LSU had a overall good record and solid RPI but failed to get an invite because they did not make to Hoover. This is why the SEC tournament is the way it is and will expand to all teams in a single elimination format when t.u. and OU join the league.

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This. You can also add the 1990 Aggies to this, as they were ranked 25 at the end of season (if I recall correctly), but missed out on the SWC tournament (only four teams) in part because Rice had a home game against t.u. rained out (Rice likely would have lost). Of course, it was only a 48 team field back then, but it's still unlikely that a team that doesn't make Hoover will get an at large bid.