The Committee has been meeting all week to indoctrinate the new members, go over the protocol and as part of the process, seeds the top 4 seed lines. They then release the top 16 teams (in order), and what region they fall in today.
We have been told they have taken into account all games through Friday night for their rankings.
11:30 Central - on CBS (Yes, it is during the A&M game)
My projections of what i think it is
1 Seeds
1) Auburn clear #1 with an insane 13 quad 1 wins (no one else has more than 8)
2) Alabama 6-1 in quad 1A games and a pretty clear #2
3) Duke outstanding predictive numbers
4) Florida Lacked the non conf SOS and high-end elite wins that the rest of the SEC had, until the last week winning at Auburn and at Mississippi State to for now claim the 4th
2 Seeds
5) Tennessee
6) Texas A&M (Lock) Outstanding resume numbers (better than even Duke) but lagging predictive numbers (for a 2 seed). Ultimately it feels like A&M will get rewarded for going out of conference and racking up several high end wins on a neutral court (Purdue, Texas Tech, Creighton).
7) Houston (Lock) Predictive metrics darling (#2, #1, #3), it will be interesting to see where the committee has them during the sneak peak reveal on Saturday morning. There are 38 teams that have at least 2 quad 1A wins this season. Houston is not one of those teams. Their lone Q1A is at Kansas which is great but beyond that…they have built their resume on pounding bad teams
8) Purdue (Lock) Very similar overall profile as A&M, A&M has a bit better on the resume numbers, Purdue has better predictives. I am glad A&M owns the head to head on a neutral (Indy) court.
3 Seeds
9) Iowa State (Lock) 7-4 vs quad 1, 9th in SOR, solid overall resume but still behind the top 8, the last team that feels currently in the same league as A&M if this was selection Sunday
10) Michigan (Lock) - rocketing up the seed list particularly after knocking off Purdue,
predictive numbers wont give them consideration for anything more than a 3 seed right now
11) Kentucky (Lock) 7 quad 1A wins ties Auburn for the most in the country. That number alone hides a lot of warts with this resume which otherwise would be a few spots lower.
12) Kansas (Lock) Better predictive numbers (avg 10.7) than resume (avg 16) . Elite wins to start the year vs. Duke and Michigan State. Also picked up a win over Iowa State. The home loss to West Virginia and the sheer number of losses knock them down to a 3 at best.
4 Seeds
13) Arizona (Lock) great predictives, subpar resume #s, didn't do much in non conference but has been elite in the Big 12
14) Wisconsin (Lock) - #9 in SOR with a win over Arizona in non conference and winning the games they are supposed to in conference.
15) Texas Tech (Lock) Didn't do much in the non conference but they have done great work in the Big 12 knocking off Arizona and also winning at Houston. Much better predictive numbers (avg 10) than resume (avg 19).
16) St. John's The loss to Villanova on Wednesday knocks them down a full seed line and they only have 1 quad 1 game left on the schedule. Holding off on lock status given the weak SOS down the stretch until they get 1 more win.
We have been told they have taken into account all games through Friday night for their rankings.
11:30 Central - on CBS (Yes, it is during the A&M game)
My projections of what i think it is
1 Seeds
1) Auburn clear #1 with an insane 13 quad 1 wins (no one else has more than 8)
2) Alabama 6-1 in quad 1A games and a pretty clear #2
3) Duke outstanding predictive numbers
4) Florida Lacked the non conf SOS and high-end elite wins that the rest of the SEC had, until the last week winning at Auburn and at Mississippi State to for now claim the 4th
2 Seeds
5) Tennessee
6) Texas A&M (Lock) Outstanding resume numbers (better than even Duke) but lagging predictive numbers (for a 2 seed). Ultimately it feels like A&M will get rewarded for going out of conference and racking up several high end wins on a neutral court (Purdue, Texas Tech, Creighton).
7) Houston (Lock) Predictive metrics darling (#2, #1, #3), it will be interesting to see where the committee has them during the sneak peak reveal on Saturday morning. There are 38 teams that have at least 2 quad 1A wins this season. Houston is not one of those teams. Their lone Q1A is at Kansas which is great but beyond that…they have built their resume on pounding bad teams
8) Purdue (Lock) Very similar overall profile as A&M, A&M has a bit better on the resume numbers, Purdue has better predictives. I am glad A&M owns the head to head on a neutral (Indy) court.
3 Seeds
9) Iowa State (Lock) 7-4 vs quad 1, 9th in SOR, solid overall resume but still behind the top 8, the last team that feels currently in the same league as A&M if this was selection Sunday
10) Michigan (Lock) - rocketing up the seed list particularly after knocking off Purdue,
predictive numbers wont give them consideration for anything more than a 3 seed right now
11) Kentucky (Lock) 7 quad 1A wins ties Auburn for the most in the country. That number alone hides a lot of warts with this resume which otherwise would be a few spots lower.
12) Kansas (Lock) Better predictive numbers (avg 10.7) than resume (avg 16) . Elite wins to start the year vs. Duke and Michigan State. Also picked up a win over Iowa State. The home loss to West Virginia and the sheer number of losses knock them down to a 3 at best.
4 Seeds
13) Arizona (Lock) great predictives, subpar resume #s, didn't do much in non conference but has been elite in the Big 12
14) Wisconsin (Lock) - #9 in SOR with a win over Arizona in non conference and winning the games they are supposed to in conference.
15) Texas Tech (Lock) Didn't do much in the non conference but they have done great work in the Big 12 knocking off Arizona and also winning at Houston. Much better predictive numbers (avg 10) than resume (avg 19).
16) St. John's The loss to Villanova on Wednesday knocks them down a full seed line and they only have 1 quad 1 game left on the schedule. Holding off on lock status given the weak SOS down the stretch until they get 1 more win.