Texasteasipper said:
stick93 said:
Texasteasipper said:
DatTallArchitect said:
Your Friend said:
Last years schedule was brutal. This year a lot of those veteran qbs are gone and big dick Sam is a year older. I can't wait for September
I don't think that means what you think it means. Three of your opponents went 1-11, and two of those played each other. Let that sink in, then remember that most of the others weren't much better.
Except you do realize Texas had a more difficult SOS than aggie last year right?
http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
Except you do realize that you and a few other people are the only ones that have talked theirselves into believing that right?
Lol. Talked myself into it? I know "real" football doesn't exist for you outside your SEC bubble but they do play football around the rest of the country you know this right? Of course you are going to claim Sagarin (who went to MIT) ratings are bunk as it would go against THE narrative around here that is posted 50 times a day. But most (not all) rankings and predictions from last year will show the same. But keep talking yourself into that these rankings/ratings are virtually impossible as you point at the arrogance of others.
https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other
https://athlonsports.com/college-football/ranking-college-footballs-top-25-toughest-schedules-2017
You clearly have never taken a statistics course or you would know that there is no such thing as a perfect model.
Sagarin's SOS models pays him through clicks, so it is actually advantageous to him to have some room for error as this drives conversations like these and makes him money. It's also why there are so many different SOS measures out there that are so different. There is also no harm in being wrong, AKA he won't be fired from making SOS rankings just like a meteorologist isn't fired when the model is wrong.
A much better measure of SOS (although it takes time) would be looking at how many players are drafted to NFL from a team's opponents. This is not perfect either (no model is), but at least it has its basis in the evaluation of NFL scouts whose job is on the line to make the right choices.
I'll leave that analysis to you...