They broke up an entire conference so they could have a network dedicated to snake-handling, taco-tasting and women's transgender discus.
quote:For you, sure. (FYI if you click the image it should expand)
Bad eyes and I keep getting a malware alert when I try to read the shag, for some reason*. Could you cut and paste Randy's quote, please and thank you?
*Some threats of doing that to lurkers were made by the owner of that site before. Targeting IP addresses. Maybe I made the "hit parade"? Weird.
quote:Let's be honest:
They broke up an entire conference so they could have a network dedicated to snake-handling, taco-tasting and women's transgender discus.
quote:I was going to say the same thing. His $44M number for gross revenue doesn't make sense. To be profitable based on historical data, the break even number is closer to $40M even.
Ol Randy is not good at the maths.
quote:Translation:
"Since you are pulling numbers out of your ass, why not claim IMG gets 125% of the LHN license fee?
IMG is the entity that manages ad sales for all UT athletics. They sell ads for LHN as well as digital properties and radio broadcasts. They also manage corporate sponsorships and licensing agreements. In exchange for their efforts, they receive 17% of gross revenue.
It amazes me how people think IMG just sits back and collects checks for doing nothing.
Here are the LHN numbers. Supposedly, through the 2015 operating year, LHN has generated losses of $48 million, which means it has generated $150 million, or an average of $30 million a year. 2016 is supposed to be the first profitable year, which means LHN is now generating more than $44 million in annual revenue. With revenue growth like that, ESPN is unquestionably keeping LHN going. Disney's gross revenues are $52B. Its market cap is $160B. At $44 million in gross revenue, LHN contributes $132 million in market cap to Disney. They aren't dropping LHN."
This little prediction is from March.
quote:In some circles, that's the kiss of death.
"We have a 20-year contract with Texas that we plan on honoring," Blackburn said. "We have a long-term rights agreement with them. We're fully committed to Longhorn Network for that 20-year relationship."
quote:UT has ALL of the leverage. They're getting paid regardless of what ESPN says. The financial terms of this arrangement were absolutely genius for Texas, as they made sure the contract was iron clad. Even if ESPN pays them 15M per year, they can still double dip and get another part of the third tier rights contract that would come through a big 12 network or whatever new conference network. It's like being cut from a team in the NBA with 6 years left on your contract. You still getting paid a settlement, and you can go find new work that would compliment that incomequote:
If ESiPN pays them $125 mil to not have a network that's a huge win for the sips.
If they do settle for that much, it'll be over the rest of the life of the LHN contract (14 years left now?). It won't be a lump sum settlement. IMG will still likely get a cut of that money along with academics getting a share.
You're looking at ESPN maybe paying the sip athletics department around $5 million a year and ESPN probably keeping one or two sip home football games as part of the deal.
UT isn't holding all of the cards here. ESPN could decide to can the whole thing and blackout these same events while paying UT the minimum for the next 14 years which would be detrimental to nearly every sport. You would essentially have Longhorn sports radio silence for over a decade except for 10 football games a year, a handful of basketball games and even smaller handful of baseball games.
That isn't worth the 30-40% cut UT athletics gets after IMG and the academic side get their cut of the "15 million/year"
quote:There were parts of the agreement that aren't public knowledge because they were redacted. So it's likely that it doesn't operate like this.quote:UT has ALL of the leverage. They're getting paid regardless of what ESPN says. The financial terms of this arrangement were absolutely genius for Texas, as they made sure the contract was iron clad. Even if ESPN pays them 15M per year, they can still double dip and get another part of the third tier rights contract that would come through a big 12 network or whatever new conference network. It's like being cut from a team in the NBA with 6 years left on your contract. You still getting paid a settlement, and you can go find new work that would compliment that incomequote:
If ESiPN pays them $125 mil to not have a network that's a huge win for the sips.
If they do settle for that much, it'll be over the rest of the life of the LHN contract (14 years left now?). It won't be a lump sum settlement. IMG will still likely get a cut of that money along with academics getting a share.
You're looking at ESPN maybe paying the sip athletics department around $5 million a year and ESPN probably keeping one or two sip home football games as part of the deal.
UT isn't holding all of the cards here. ESPN could decide to can the whole thing and blackout these same events while paying UT the minimum for the next 14 years which would be detrimental to nearly every sport. You would essentially have Longhorn sports radio silence for over a decade except for 10 football games a year, a handful of basketball games and even smaller handful of baseball games.
That isn't worth the 30-40% cut UT athletics gets after IMG and the academic side get their cut of the "15 million/year"
quote:If you click on the image it is expanded.
Bad eyes and I keep getting a malware alert when I try to read the shag, for some reason*. Could you cut and paste Randy's quote, please and thank you?
*Some threats of doing that to lurkers were made by the owner of that site before. Targeting IP addresses. Maybe I made the "hit parade"? Weird.
quote:Yep! It's like the AD saying they support the coach 100%.quote:In some circles, that's the kiss of death.
"We have a 20-year contract with Texas that we plan on honoring," Blackburn said. "We have a long-term rights agreement with them. We're fully committed to Longhorn Network for that 20-year relationship."
quote:So you think ESPN signed a $300MM contract that didn't have an out clause in it at all?quote:UT has ALL of the leverage. They're getting paid regardless of what ESPN says. The financial terms of this arrangement were absolutely genius for Texas, as they made sure the contract was iron clad. Even if ESPN pays them 15M per year, they can still double dip and get another part of the third tier rights contract that would come through a big 12 network or whatever new conference network. It's like being cut from a team in the NBA with 6 years left on your contract. You still getting paid a settlement, and you can go find new work that would compliment that incomequote:
If ESiPN pays them $125 mil to not have a network that's a huge win for the sips.
If they do settle for that much, it'll be over the rest of the life of the LHN contract (14 years left now?). It won't be a lump sum settlement. IMG will still likely get a cut of that money along with academics getting a share.
You're looking at ESPN maybe paying the sip athletics department around $5 million a year and ESPN probably keeping one or two sip home football games as part of the deal.
UT isn't holding all of the cards here. ESPN could decide to can the whole thing and blackout these same events while paying UT the minimum for the next 14 years which would be detrimental to nearly every sport. You would essentially have Longhorn sports radio silence for over a decade except for 10 football games a year, a handful of basketball games and even smaller handful of baseball games.
That isn't worth the 30-40% cut UT athletics gets after IMG and the academic side get their cut of the "15 million/year"
quote:I love how you didn't even pretend to understand what I said so you could throw some dumbass insult. I guess it's hard when you're trying to police six message boards from momma's basementquote:So you think ESPN signed a $300MM contract that didn't have an out clause in it at all?quote:UT has ALL of the leverage. They're getting paid regardless of what ESPN says. The financial terms of this arrangement were absolutely genius for Texas, as they made sure the contract was iron clad. Even if ESPN pays them 15M per year, they can still double dip and get another part of the third tier rights contract that would come through a big 12 network or whatever new conference network. It's like being cut from a team in the NBA with 6 years left on your contract. You still getting paid a settlement, and you can go find new work that would compliment that incomequote:
If ESiPN pays them $125 mil to not have a network that's a huge win for the sips.
If they do settle for that much, it'll be over the rest of the life of the LHN contract (14 years left now?). It won't be a lump sum settlement. IMG will still likely get a cut of that money along with academics getting a share.
You're looking at ESPN maybe paying the sip athletics department around $5 million a year and ESPN probably keeping one or two sip home football games as part of the deal.
UT isn't holding all of the cards here. ESPN could decide to can the whole thing and blackout these same events while paying UT the minimum for the next 14 years which would be detrimental to nearly every sport. You would essentially have Longhorn sports radio silence for over a decade except for 10 football games a year, a handful of basketball games and even smaller handful of baseball games.
That isn't worth the 30-40% cut UT athletics gets after IMG and the academic side get their cut of the "15 million/year"
I'm sure the guy that sold/leased you your Prius had a great break room story after you walked out of the dealership.
quote:And it was an undervalued deal. Kansas gets 15 million just for their basketball content ( although it is arguable that they have much else anyone watches.)
It can't be a secret that the University of Texas is dissatisfied with the LHN. All public pronouncements aside, it limits their exposure - causes a lot of headaches for their coaches - pisses off their alums - and handcuffs the schools ability to control it's own destiny - and all for a network no one watches.
Sure, there's money - but even the most gilded cage is a cage.
quote:
In other words, sips are delusional, again, part 3,852.
quote:It would have to be way more than twice, wouldn't it? If the end dollars to the sips was 15 million for Tier III in a 14 or 16 team league??
The same thing will happen unless there is a settlement. And since there is a 90% chance that ESPN will have to pay for the future home of the sips, meaning if they move to the B1G or ACC or wherever, there is zero incentive for ESPN to settle. Why would they pay twice?
quote:This an interesting thought, would a settlement include "brokering" the sip's third tier rights to a conference of ESPN's choosing so they in effect retain those rights and increase the value of other properties to which they have broadcast rights.Classic "bolt-on" M&A approach.
The sipfans still have that quintessential character trait....hubris. To borrow one of my favorite Reagan quotes, "It isn't that tsips aren't ignorant, it is that they know so much that isn't so."
If ESPN decides to pay out the life of the contract, which they won't, but lets just assume it to be so for fu[ks sake, then ESPN will still own the licensing rights to the tier 3 content. And any deal that Texas makes to sell those tier 3 rights, the money will go to ESPN to offset the cost. It is the same exact thing that happens to a fired coach. When you fire him, but decide to just pay out his contract, if that coach takes another job, his paycheck at the new job just offsets the old payment.
When you fire Charlie Strong, you will pay him $5.4 Million in 2017 and $5.5 Million in 2018, if you don't reach a settlement. When he takes the University of Miami DC job, and gets paid $900,000 to do so, the sips will have to pay him $4.5 Million in 2017 and $4.6 Million in 2018. Net effect to Charlie Strong does not change.
The same thing will happen unless there is a settlement. And since there is a 90% chance that ESPN will have to pay for the future home of the sips, meaning if they move to the B1G or ACC or wherever, there is zero incentive for ESPN to settle. Why would they pay twice?
In other words, sips are delusional, again, part 3,852.
quote:Any and all ways to offset the cost would be discussed, negotiated, brokered, etc. Especially if ESPN owns the tier 3 rights of wherever they land. An even more hilarious discussion is if the sips try to go B1G, and ESPN retains the tier 3 rights, whereas the B1G would want them for their network portfolio.....which is 51% owned by Fox Sports.quote:
This an interesting thought, would a settlement include "brokering" the sip's third tier rights to a conference of ESPN's choosing so they in effect retain those rights and increase the value of other properties to which they have broadcast rights.Classic "bolt-on" M&A approach.
quote:4 minute response time.quote:I love how you didn't even pretend to understand what I said so you could throw some dumbass insult. I guess it's hard when you're trying to police six message boards from momma's basementquote:So you think ESPN signed a $300MM contract that didn't have an out clause in it at all?quote:UT has ALL of the leverage. They're getting paid regardless of what ESPN says. The financial terms of this arrangement were absolutely genius for Texas, as they made sure the contract was iron clad. Even if ESPN pays them 15M per year, they can still double dip and get another part of the third tier rights contract that would come through a big 12 network or whatever new conference network. It's like being cut from a team in the NBA with 6 years left on your contract. You still getting paid a settlement, and you can go find new work that would compliment that incomequote:
If ESiPN pays them $125 mil to not have a network that's a huge win for the sips.
If they do settle for that much, it'll be over the rest of the life of the LHN contract (14 years left now?). It won't be a lump sum settlement. IMG will still likely get a cut of that money along with academics getting a share.
You're looking at ESPN maybe paying the sip athletics department around $5 million a year and ESPN probably keeping one or two sip home football games as part of the deal.
UT isn't holding all of the cards here. ESPN could decide to can the whole thing and blackout these same events while paying UT the minimum for the next 14 years which would be detrimental to nearly every sport. You would essentially have Longhorn sports radio silence for over a decade except for 10 football games a year, a handful of basketball games and even smaller handful of baseball games.
That isn't worth the 30-40% cut UT athletics gets after IMG and the academic side get their cut of the "15 million/year"
I'm sure the guy that sold/leased you your Prius had a great break room story after you walked out of the dealership.
quote:
ESPN does receive internal metrics to give network officials an idea how programming is doing. "Longhorn Extra" has long been a low-rated program, if it scored any ratings at all. However, the nightly 30-minute show was a terrific platform for UT's Olympic sports, coaches and athletes who may not get attention otherwise. LHN still plans on airing a weekly magazine-styled show to feature those sports.
quote:Has to be the PAC or ACC (less likely).
Any and all ways to offset the cost would be discussed, negotiated, brokered, etc. Especially if ESPN owns the tier 3 rights of wherever they land. An even more hilarious discussion is if the sips try to go B1G, and ESPN retains the tier 3 rights, whereas the B1G would want them for their network portfolio.....which is 51% owned by Fox Sports.
quote:Who is going to play them? In all sports? Besides Baylor, tech, TCU, UofH, Rice, UTEP, UTSA and OU in football?
The sips will go independent. It follows with their current line of thinking as it is the most irrational option they could take based a a burnt orange worldview not backed by any facts. Thus it is the most likely path they will take. Don't let a crappy program or a dying network get in the way of hubris. Ever.
quote:And no one will play them because of the LHN.
There is another option, of course - independence. ESPN can try to force the sips to go independent. They have tier I, II and III rights of that happens. LHN has all sip home games.