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How is the war in Iran going to effect the stock markets?

20,728 Views | 144 Replies | Last: 13 days ago by YouBet
YouBet
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AG
Milwaukees Best Light said:

Seems like the orange guy tells all his homies, then goes and announces some breakthrough on the war. The market goes crazy and goes up 4000 points. Every day after the market drops a couple hundred until we are almost back down to where we were, then the orange guy repeats the whole thing. I guess he will keep doing this until it stops working. I think we are still over there just so he can keep milking it.


If we weren't over there the market likely wouldn't be a yo yo like it has been. Oil goes up. Market goes down. Trump issues statement that "we are close to a deal!" Market stabilizes.

Probably looking at a steady climb up if not for Iran. Earnings are kicking ass, last jobs report was better than expected, etc. All good for market psychology.
Sapper Redux
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YouBet said:

Milwaukees Best Light said:

Seems like the orange guy tells all his homies, then goes and announces some breakthrough on the war. The market goes crazy and goes up 4000 points. Every day after the market drops a couple hundred until we are almost back down to where we were, then the orange guy repeats the whole thing. I guess he will keep doing this until it stops working. I think we are still over there just so he can keep milking it.


If we weren't over there the market likely wouldn't be a yo yo like it has been. Oil goes up. Market goes down. Trump issues statement that "we are close to a deal!" Market stabilizes.

Probably looking at a steady climb up if not for Iran. Earnings are kicking ass, last jobs report was better than expected, etc. All good for market psychology.


Markets are untethered from the economy. Inflation is still an issue and cost of living is not getting better. Iran is turbocharging the anxiety.
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Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Milwaukees Best Light said:

Seems like the orange guy tells all his homies, then goes and announces some breakthrough on the war. The market goes crazy and goes up 4000 points. Every day after the market drops a couple hundred until we are almost back down to where we were, then the orange guy repeats the whole thing. I guess he will keep doing this until it stops working. I think we are still over there just so he can keep milking it.


If we weren't over there the market likely wouldn't be a yo yo like it has been. Oil goes up. Market goes down. Trump issues statement that "we are close to a deal!" Market stabilizes.

Probably looking at a steady climb up if not for Iran. Earnings are kicking ass, last jobs report was better than expected, etc. All good for market psychology.


Markets are untethered from the economy. Inflation is still an issue and cost of living is not getting better. Iran is turbocharging the anxiety.


Yes, I largely agree on bold. It's never been more disconnected than it is now.

Inflation: having a 2% inflation goal is a pipe dream. New normal is 3-4% where we are right now if you believe the numbers. Problem is that inflation stacks and we've had years of inflation now. Prices won't go back down unless demand collapses for a product or service.

I agree that Iran adds to the anxiety of economic conditions here primarily seen through energy costs.
Sapper Redux
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YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Captain Winky said:

YouBet said:

Actually, you should be applauding him right now if you are one of the ones who don't want us to be there. It's looking more and more like he's just going to declare victory and walk away which I said he might do earlier in thread.

I guess my hands and arms don't work because I haven't applauded once.

How many times has he declared victory now?


No idea. At this point, I guess he's just going to lay an economic siege against them. At least our people aren't getting killed.

18 have been killed so far, hundreds wounded. And we're still trading bombs. So what's the end game now?


Yes, was referring to present operations on deaths, obviously.

End game has been what it's always been. That hasn't changed. The strategy to get there has changed as it always does in war, work, and life.

Again, I'm good with us packing up and coming home right now. Just pointing out reality is all.


Seriously, what's the end game? What does it even look like at this point? Just leaving doesn't fix any of the problems this blunder has caused.


Seriously, same as it's always been. I don't understand why this keeps getting asked. It's never changed.

The strategy to get there certainly has. I think many confuse goals/objectives with strategy and tactics. They are different.


Goals before a conflict begins and end game are not the same thing.You keep saying "same as it's always been" with zero evidence on the ground that any objective is met or will be met. They certainly won't be met by just leaving. Can you admit this whole thing has been a monumental **** up?


What? Yes they are unless we've changed all of our goals. Some goals have been met and some clearly haven't. There is plenty of evidence. You are just refusing to acknowledge this has been a mixed bag of a deal.

If you weren't so frightened to post about this on F16, you would have seen that I've said this has been a mess many times over there.


Goals and endgame are not the same. Especially when you can't meet your goals. Name one goal of this war that's actually been met. Oh, and you've confused "frightened" with "waste of my ****ing time." I also don't post on Democratic Socialist forums or Stormfront but it has nothing to do with fear.
YouBet
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AG
Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Sapper Redux said:

YouBet said:

Captain Winky said:

YouBet said:

Actually, you should be applauding him right now if you are one of the ones who don't want us to be there. It's looking more and more like he's just going to declare victory and walk away which I said he might do earlier in thread.

I guess my hands and arms don't work because I haven't applauded once.

How many times has he declared victory now?


No idea. At this point, I guess he's just going to lay an economic siege against them. At least our people aren't getting killed.

18 have been killed so far, hundreds wounded. And we're still trading bombs. So what's the end game now?


Yes, was referring to present operations on deaths, obviously.

End game has been what it's always been. That hasn't changed. The strategy to get there has changed as it always does in war, work, and life.

Again, I'm good with us packing up and coming home right now. Just pointing out reality is all.


Seriously, what's the end game? What does it even look like at this point? Just leaving doesn't fix any of the problems this blunder has caused.


Seriously, same as it's always been. I don't understand why this keeps getting asked. It's never changed.

The strategy to get there certainly has. I think many confuse goals/objectives with strategy and tactics. They are different.


Goals before a conflict begins and end game are not the same thing.You keep saying "same as it's always been" with zero evidence on the ground that any objective is met or will be met. They certainly won't be met by just leaving. Can you admit this whole thing has been a monumental **** up?


What? Yes they are unless we've changed all of our goals. Some goals have been met and some clearly haven't. There is plenty of evidence. You are just refusing to acknowledge this has been a mixed bag of a deal.

If you weren't so frightened to post about this on F16, you would have seen that I've said this has been a mess many times over there.


Goals and endgame are not the same. Especially when you can't meet your goals. Name one goal of this war that's actually been met. Oh, and you've confused "frightened" with "waste of my ****ing time." I also don't post on Democratic Socialist forums or Stormfront but it has nothing to do with fear.


But you will have political conversations here? On the Business and Investment forum? This is your safe space to discuss topics where you won't get as much pushback.

Goals are the endgame. Otherwise, they wouldn't be goals.

If we want to discuss the politics of this war, then let's take it to the dedicated Iran Political thread on F16 where you will find a myriad of opinions on this including many that side with you. Contrary to what you think you know, that thread has a highly diverse set of opinions on this conflict.
 
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