Farmer1906 said:
Marvin said:
Just realized Oakland is in town. Why do I feel like the odds are better that the Astros lose this series than sweep it?
Because it's baseball and losing 1-2 is more likely in general than going 3-0. Plus Oakland has been playing decent baseball for an extended stretch.
Mathguy can check me on this, but the Astros are -190 money line favorites, which equates to a 65% probability of winning. Assuming those numbers hold for all three games, the series probabilities for the Astros would then be:
Win 3: 28%
Win 2: 44%
Win 1: 24%
Win 0: 4%
So, the odds are close but favor a sweep over only winning one. The biggest probability is 2 wins, but that wasn't in my premise.
Your comment would be valid for two equally matched teams. Maybe they are given their recent play, not to mention the emotional factor of betting lines, but the probabilities indicate a sweep is more likely.
How about the Astros just win so BadAggie can post celebratory TOFA. Speaking of that, whatever happened to YPOFA? I enjoyed those...
I love Texas Aggie sports, but I love Texas A&M more.