Probably time to revisit life without Monty. Still hope he joins the Rangers, but now that P&C have reported, it is time look at SP and see what happens in Spring Training. This will help with whom to follow and compare if 2023 was just everyone having a career year, or if 2023 is more indicative of what to expect.
Much of the Rangers success in 2023 was about keeping the SP healthy, filling in sufficiently when injuries happened, and then adding Scherzer and Monty after the trade-deadline. For me, it is that simple.Current projected rotation for 2024 with 2023 #sGray (31): 29GS, 4.12 ERA, 157.1 IP, 142 SO, 1.29 WHIP
- Career: 204GS 4.45 ERA. Spent 7yrs in Colorado: 151GS, 4.59 ERA.
- '22 Tex: 24GS, 3.96 ERA, 127.1 IP, 134 SO, 1.131 WHIP
- Career at Coors: 74GS, 4.54 ERA
You could argue Gray had a down year in '23, based on his '22 numbers.
Heaney (32): 28GS, 4.15 ERA, 147.1 IP, 151 SO, 1.38 WHIP, 34G
- Career: 154 GS, 4.49 ERA
Dunning (28): 26GS, 3.70 ERA, 172.2 IP, 140 SO, 1.26 WHIP, 35G
- Career: 87GS, 4.16 ERA
- Rookie: 7GS, 3.97 ERA (CWS)
Eovaldi (33): 25GS, 3.63 ERA, 144.0 IP, 132 SO, 1.14 WHIP
- Career: 246GS, 4.10 ERA
- '20-22: 61GS, 3.79 ERA
Bradford (25): 8GS, 5.30 ERA, 56.0 IP, 51 SO, 1.21 WHIP, 20G
Barring any stunning developments, I think that is where we are.
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Players from 2023 that will be availableScherzer (38): 8GS, 3.20 ERA, 45.0 IP, 53 SO, 0.96 WHIP
deGrom (35): 6GS, 2.67 ERA, 30.1 IP, 45 SO, 0.76 WHIP
Yerry (25): 1GS, 7.90 ERA, 13.2 IP, 15 SO, 1.90 WHIP
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Lost from 2023Perez: 20GS, 4.45 ERA, 141.2 IP, 93 SO, 1.40 WHIP, 35G
Monty: 11GS, 2.79 ERA, 67.2 IP, 58 SO, 1.09 WHIP
Let's say the 2024 projected rotation repeats in 2024 what they did in 2023.
Will Scherzer and deGrom return to combine for 14 GS in the 2H?
Monty is the only real puzzle piece we need to account for, IMO.
So what?!If much of the Rangers success in 2023 was about keeping the SP healthy, filling in sufficiently when injuries happen, and then adding pieces after the trade-deadline... will that be a working formula for '24?!
We don't need to be perfectly healthy. Losing deGrom to a season-ender could have been catastrophic. Where would we have been
with him?
Having said that, we have to have Bradford step up. There is concern and uncertainty, for sure. Reality is, we only need enough SP to get to the Playoffs. We need him to be a full-season MLB-caliber SP. Eat innings at a minimum. Keep us in games.
We have Mahle, Scherzer, and deGrom slated to return this summer presumably as trade-deadline additions. We need them healthy. Adding 3 SPs like that mid-season would be huge. Someone in the Opening Day roster will miss game, loving the idea of adding 3.
A playoff rotation that features:deGrom: 215GS, 2.53 Career ERA in 10 years.
Scherzer: 448GS, 3.15 Career ERA in 16 years.
Eovaldi: 246GS, 4.10 Career ERA in 16 years.
Will match up with anyone. Would Monty be lovely?! Sure.
Rookies to consider? This was from a post where I projected MiLB SPs:
Quote:
I could see our AAA rotation:
White (24-MLB) #8: 24GS, 4.22 ERA (AA/AAA)
Winn (24-MLB) #28 : 13GS, 7.22 (AAA)
Leiter (23-AAA-2024) #5: 20GS, 5.19 ERA (AA/AAA)
Acker (24-AA) : 18GS, 2.54 ERA (A+/AA)
We need one from above to land for 2025. I'd like to see each get some GS in 2024 like Bradford got and see what we get. Bradford plus one of these are your 2. even if two #5s would be fine by me.
Our possible AA rotation:
Stephan (22-AA-2025) #15: 12GS, 2.30 ERA (A+/AA)
Teodo (22-A+-2025) #22: 14GS, 4.52 (A+)
Bratt (20-A+-2025) #17: 16GS, 3.54 (A+)
Corniell (20-MLB-2026) #23: 17GS, 2.75 (A/A+)
As we say on the farm... "It's nut cuttin' time."
I need to see all the SPs that were invited to ST. If you have it, I'd love to see it. I think there are 2-3 retreads/hopefuls that will likely get plugged in on the Farm if necessary. You'll notice I only have 4 on each AAA/AA team.
The Bullpen is where I think the most improvement will come and why people projecting us to lose more games in 2024 will be wrong.
Blown Saves in '23:
5: Smith, Leclerc
4: Anderson, Hernandez, Sborz
3: Chapman
2: Burke
1: Heaney, Kennedy, King, Yerry, Speas, Straton
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30 Saves out of 63 Chances
33 Blown Saves