***Official Houston Astros 2023-24 Offseason Thread*** [Staff Warning - OP]

1,023,080 Views | 11245 Replies | Last: 10 mo ago by Lonestar_Ag09
stoneca
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MaxPower said:

I asked about him a few days ago but yes has upside. Think you try him as a starter with a floor of a power bullpen arm. He has 4 pitches but control is what will determine whether he can start. Might be best in the pen to start 2024 then play with him as a starter in 2025 after he knocks off the rust.
have you heard anything about potentially going after Jung Hoo Lee?
wangus12
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AG
scd88 said:

Just poking a little fun at our new WS champion neighbors courtesy of esd19...


The fan turnout on the parade route today looked really bad from the live shots I say. Maybe it was just light at those points
MaxPower
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I have 0 inside knowledge but we have almost no track record of going after guys from the Asian market under this regime.
All I do is Nguyen
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Rent. Free.

No matter what!
Epstein didn't do, you know, the thing...
I'm the rare Astros/Cowboys/Spurs fan. We do exist
irish pete ag06
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All I do is Nguyen said:

Rent. Free.




I get that that is a clap back at bregman. But it really makes no sense for them to say that, considering they have literally never won a World Series in their life.

When Bregman said it, Astros had won the previous 2 and 5 out of the last 6 AL West titles
Farmer1906
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It's gone from Rangers, As, Mariners, to Rangers. Maybe this one will stick for a while. Having a rival is a good thing. The Yankees were in the mix all along too. Maybe missing the WS and having someone in the division win it will light a fire under these guys. Especially, when they beat us at the juice box and semi-mocked up at their parade. It won't hurt that this is a contract year for Breggy.
mwm
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something, something, BLIND SQUIRRELS, something, something.
irish pete ag06
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MaxPower said:

I have 0 inside knowledge but we have almost no track record of going after guys from the Asian market under this regime.


On that note, are there any Cuban defectors who can make an instant impact?
gambochaman
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Literally nobody was wondering that but nice try i guess
cone
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this is sad
cone
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seriously

they had that one on a tee and completely stepped on their dick with that line
Farmer1906
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let's play... DO YOU EXTEND ALEX BREGMAN?!!?

Matt Chapman vs Alex Bregman

Last 3 Seasons:
WAR 12.0 vs 11.7
wRC+: 127 vs 110
FRV: 3 vs 15
HR: 60 vs 71
GP: 407 vs 446

This compares Bregman's age 27-29 seasons vs Chapman's 28-30. It's not quite an apples-to-apple comparison yet, but I think he's a good comp to Bregman. They'll hit FA at the same age, same position, similar #s. Breggy is better offensive while Chapman is better defensively.

Right now the projections for Chapman are:
Athletic #1 5/95 (19)
Athletic #2 6/127 (21.2)
Spotrac 6/103 (17.2)
Somewhere in the middle is 6/114

Bregman is owed 28.5 M for 2024. What would you be willing to tack on?

Assume Bregman gets ~10% more and an extra year.

Would you give him 7/147? [8/175.5]

Or 15% more, same years

Would you sign him for 6/132? [7/160.5]

If not these, what # would you feel comfortable giving him?
Chrundle the Great
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wangus12 said:

scd88 said:

Just poking a little fun at our new WS champion neighbors courtesy of esd19...


The fan turnout on the parade route today looked really bad from the live shots I say. Maybe it was just light at those points

Can you blame them for not coming? The route was a boring circle around the stadium and cowboy parking lots.
cone
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that video clip is going to be memory holed
Prosperdick
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mwm said:

something, something, BLIND SQUIRRELS, something, something.
I would not be surprised if they become the next 2016 Cubs.
Prosperdick
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All I do is Nguyen said:

Rent. Free.


I know some here have said it's fine for them to talk smack but I would be f***ing embarrassed if any Astros talked s*** after we won the World Series. It looks petty and weak.

Like Marcus Allen said when asked why he always handed the football to the referee after scoring a touchdown "Act like you've been there before."
cone
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they have every right to talk ****

they earned it

but whoever wrote that line ****ed it up bigly
htxag09
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Well not many other options in Arlington
irish pete ag06
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Farmer1906 said:

let's play... DO YOU EXTEND ALEX BREGMAN?!!?

Matt Chapman vs Alex Bregman

Last 3 Seasons:
WAR 12.0 vs 11.7
wRC+: 127 vs 110
FRV: 3 vs 15
HR: 60 vs 71
GP: 407 vs 446

This compares Bregman's age 27-29 seasons vs Chapman's 28-30. It's not quite an apples-to-apple comparison yet, but I think he's a good comp to Bregman. They'll hit FA at the same age, same position, similar #s. Breggy is better offensive while Chapman is better defensively.

Right now the projections for Chapman are:
Athletic #1 5/95 (19)
Athletic #2 6/127 (21.2)
Spotrac 6/103 (17.2)
Somewhere in the middle is 6/114

Bregman is owed 28.5 M for 2024. What would you be willing to tack on?

Assume Bregman gets ~10% more and an extra year.

Would you give him 7/147? [8/175.5]

Or 15% more, same years

Would you sign him for 6/132? [7/160.5]

If not these, what # would you feel comfortable giving him?


This is a tough one. It really is. And would depend heavily on the market for 3rd basemen… etc.
Ag_07
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Yeah...But they haven't been there before.
stoneca
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Can't remember from years past, but when does free agency and trading really start to pick up and deals start getting made? TIA
texasaggie2015
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MaxPower said:

I have 0 inside knowledge but we have almost no track record of going after guys from the Asian market under this regime.


Well I'm nominating you as the "supposed insider" since I've retired from that title
Mathguy64
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Those Ohtani contracts are paying him like he's a #1 pitcher and #1 DH. I'm not sure he pitches again. He certainly won't pitch until 2025. He's on his second TJ. It's not a stretch to say he's not going to pitch. And may not bat much this year. I don't care what Harper did. I wouldn't bet on it.

Paying him that amount is crazy.
Ag_07
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MaxPower said:

I have 0 inside knowledge but we have almost no track record of going after guys from the Asian market under this regime.


IIRC we tried to pitch Ohtani when he was hitting the market but I don't think we even got a chance.
Beau Holder
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cone said:

that video clip is going to be memory holed

A sparsely populated parade in a concrete jungle suburb after the least watched World Series ever, they have to enjoy it somehow.

Flags fly forever, so they get to have it. Just like no one can erase 2017 though they desperately wish so. But you're right, this year's playoffs will be remembered about as much as 2015 or 2007, and that line painfully doesn't land coming from a franchise that made its third WS in 60-something years and won its first.
FrioAg 00
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They are the 2019 Nationals. A barely wild card that got hot at the right time, and faced an Astros dynasty that temporarily got the yips at home.

And just like the Nats, they'll go back to being irrelevant quickly and nobody will really talk much about they time they win.
MaxPower
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I will play. I'd do that first number average of 6 and $110-115. Not going to 7 years and that's based on the assumption Tucker has basically told you to eff off since I don't see how we could extend both.
Prosperdick
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Beau Holder said:

cone said:

that video clip is going to be memory holed

A sparsely populated parade in a concrete jungle suburb after the least watched World Series ever, they have to enjoy it somehow.

Flags fly forever, so they get to have it. Just like no one can erase 2017 though they desperately wish so. But you're right, this year's playoffs will be remembered about as much as 2015 or 2007, and that line painfully doesn't land coming from a franchise that made its third WS in 60-something years and won its first.
Don't forget beating an 84 win team for the title.
tjack16
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MaxPower
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Ag_07 said:

MaxPower said:

I have 0 inside knowledge but we have almost no track record of going after guys from the Asian market under this regime.


IIRC we tried to pitch Ohtani when he was hitting the market but I don't think we even got a chance.
I'd say that was a different scenario. Ohtani was a near can't miss AND he only cost $20M because that was the max posting fee. It's different when you have to guesstimate their actual market value because you need a lot of scouting due diligence. Truly incredible the Angels managed to suck so much with that gift.
cone
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the line doesn't land

it lands if it's directed at Bregman and the Astros specifically

but the way it's presented is just a reminder of the franchise's relative ineptitude. stepped on their dick.
htxag09
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Rangers fans take everything really weirdly personally.

Saw a thread on Facebook today with a bunch of rangers fans complaining about how the mlb and diamondbacks suck and hate them because security guards were blocking access to let them celebrate in the pool.
SpaceCityAg05
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I wouldn't go 6 years - period - unless there is a MAJOR discount.

I honestly don't think home town extentions past original FA need more then 3-5 years at a time.

I have concerns about how his body will hold up long term that would keep me from going 6+ for him.
iBrad
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Living in DFW, I have friends that attended the parade today that I didn't even know were Rangers fans. I know we had our fair share of bandwagon fans, too, but it's crazy seeing them pour out of the woodworks these past few days with all the look at me celebrating my team's championship Facebook posts.

When we won in 2017, I popped a bottle of champagne and had sex with the wife, neither of which was posted on Facebook.
tjack16
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Farmer1906 said:

let's play... DO YOU EXTEND ALEX BREGMAN?!!?

Matt Chapman vs Alex Bregman

Last 3 Seasons:
WAR 12.0 vs 11.7
wRC+: 127 vs 110
FRV: 3 vs 15
HR: 60 vs 71
GP: 407 vs 446

This compares Bregman's age 27-29 seasons vs Chapman's 28-30. It's not quite an apples-to-apple comparison yet, but I think he's a good comp to Bregman. They'll hit FA at the same age, same position, similar #s. Breggy is better offensive while Chapman is better defensively.

Right now the projections for Chapman are:
Athletic #1 5/95 (19)
Athletic #2 6/127 (21.2)
Spotrac 6/103 (17.2)
Somewhere in the middle is 6/114

Bregman is owed 28.5 M for 2024. What would you be willing to tack on?

Assume Bregman gets ~10% more and an extra year.

Would you give him 7/147? [8/175.5]

Or 15% more, same years

Would you sign him for 6/132? [7/160.5]

If not these, what # would you feel comfortable giving him?


I'd offer Alex 5 years/120MM as a start. Then negotiate from there as my starting point.

Wouldn't go above 6 years or more than 30M for AAV.
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