More surprised that Chandler had a somewhat positive tweetAg_07 said:
Upward regression has to be there.
He's not that bad of a hitter.
***** Official 2022 Houston Astros Season Thread *****
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83072 Replies |
Last: 2 yr ago by Harry Dunne
This had better be the last time this year I see another team celebrate in the juice box
Better be the last time we see that terrible of a performance at the plate
Lance McCullers Jr: "I’m confident in myself and I feel like as long as I can come out of my rehab healthy, I knew I was going to throw the ball well. Seems like a lot of other people are surprised."
— Chandler Rome (@Chandler_Rome) October 4, 2022
The Angels officially are now tied with the Tigers for the longest playoff drought (8 years) since the Phillies just clinched for their first playoffs since 2011.
— Sam Blum (@SamBlum3) October 4, 2022
"Close to the Astros," - Joe Madden, probably.
But…but…have you seen what Trout and Ohtani are doing?!?!?
Thiswangus12 said:
Better be the last time we see that terrible of a performance at the plate
What is our record wearing the Space City jerseys? We always seem to lose in them.
I'm guessing like 2-5 or something like that
Chasing #s
Altuve - .300
Batting .297 currently. He needs 4 or more hits in 8 or fewer ABs.
Alavrez & Bregman - 100/100
Yordan needs 7 runs and 4 RBI
Alex needs 8 runs and 8 RBI
I would guess only Yordan's 100 RBI is in range
Tucker - 30/30
Needs 1 HR and 5 SB.
Only the HR one is in range.
Mancini - More HRs than Yuli as an Astro
Both have 8 this year. Boom boom needs likely 1.
Verlander - 1.74 (lowest AL ERA since Pedro in 2000)
5-2/3 IP, 0 ER
Altuve - .300
Batting .297 currently. He needs 4 or more hits in 8 or fewer ABs.
Alavrez & Bregman - 100/100
Yordan needs 7 runs and 4 RBI
Alex needs 8 runs and 8 RBI
I would guess only Yordan's 100 RBI is in range
Tucker - 30/30
Needs 1 HR and 5 SB.
Only the HR one is in range.
Mancini - More HRs than Yuli as an Astro
Both have 8 this year. Boom boom needs likely 1.
Verlander - 1.74 (lowest AL ERA since Pedro in 2000)
5-2/3 IP, 0 ER
Farmer1906 said:
101 from the left side with movement.
Jose Alvarado, Disgusting 101mph Sinker Movement. 🤮 pic.twitter.com/ppptldu32V
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 4, 2022
Wish I had known that term in the 90s. Could have told my parents that any semester now my GPA would have an upward regression.Ag_07 said:
Upward regression has to be there.
He's not that bad of a hitter.
Farmer1906 said:Farmer1906 said:
101 from the left side with movement.Jose Alvarado, Disgusting 101mph Sinker Movement. 🤮 pic.twitter.com/ppptldu32V
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 4, 2022
I saw that and was like "DAMN, where did that come from?!!!!"
I would have to agree. But we're running out of time to see it.Ag_07 said:
Upward regression has to be there.
He's not that bad of a hitter.
As an Astro
Mancini
112 balls put in play
89.6 EV (In line and very solid)
15.0 LA (pretty damn ideal)
8.9% Barrel (down but still good)
36.6% Hart hit (way down)
10.6 BB%
26.0 K%
Both are a little up from his "normal" #s, but fine. His ratio is about the same.
His rate of hitting infield fly balls are at 15% of batted balls. Entirely too high and way up for him. His FB% is up too, but that's not always a bad thing.
He has a .198 BABIP. Even if he's doing a few things not as well in Houston (like the pop ups), this # is not sustainable. The lowest he's had in his career is .286 his rookie year.
Even as bad as he's been his wRC+ is 83. Yuli's in that time has been 63.
Bad Mancini > the corpse of Gurriel
Tuesday pic.twitter.com/Hl2lIs0fZ0
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) October 4, 2022
I thought it was funny that Blum mentioned if the Mariners make the playoffs and play the WC series in Toronto and lose they will not even have a playoff home game.
After the long wait for that fan base to finally make it but not have a home game is comical.
F Scott Servais
After the long wait for that fan base to finally make it but not have a home game is comical.
F Scott Servais
Braves likely locked up the division with the sweep over the Mets, but Odo is getting another start today. A loss here and 2 Mets wins (DH) and things get interesting again.
I must reiterate as we come to the end of the season, that if we play the Mets in the World Series, Mike Scott better throw at the first pitch at the first home game. I could watch Hernandez and Carter flail at these pitches all day long.
Read my latest: “Space City Baseball - Astros Lose to Phillies 3-0 Monday Night” https://t.co/jVi05DD2H7
— Space City Baseball (@DanOShedd) October 4, 2022
2019: 29 players with .900+ OPS, 9 pitchers with sub-3 ERA
— MLB Metrics (@MLBMetrics) October 4, 2022
2022: 5 players with .900+ OPS, 18 pitchers with sub-3 ERA
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - Framber (He's a stud. Road home WGAS...Give him the ball as early as possible)
Gm 3 - LMJ
Gm 4 - Javier
Gm 5 - JV again
Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
My Breakdown of the Astros' Pitching Staff/Postseason preview for @MLBONFOX
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 3, 2022
👇👇https://t.co/I9eXMgpPnr
I know we're all at different points in our baseball "analytics" journey so I wanted to share a good follow on youtube. He does great videos explaining things, but lately he's switched up to shorts. 60 seconds instead of 10 min.
WAR
Expected Stats
BA Sucks
WAR
Expected Stats
BA Sucks
Ag_07 said:
I thought it was funny that Blum mentioned if the Mariners make the playoffs and play the WC series in Toronto and lose they will not even have a playoff home game.
After the long wait for that fan base to finally make it but not have a home game is comical.
F Scott Servais
I'd love to play them in the ALCS and win it on their home field.
At this point, we have clinched our last three pennants at home. I'd love to do it on the road and make the opposing fans exit sadly. Celebrating a pennant at Yankee stadium or in Seattle would be incredible
wonder if the Mariners would keep throwing at Altuve...even in the playoffs
I dont disagree but we have the pitching so I dont see why not use it.Farmer1906 said:Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
1: JV
2: McC (Relief: Brown/Garcia/Urquidy)
3: Framber (Relief: Next best that didnt pitch the day before)
4: JV (Next man Up and possible G2 reliever if necessary)
5: Javier (McC in relief if needed)
The Astros’ player development department has named RHP Hunter Brown as the 2022 team’s Minor League Pitcher of the Year, and C Yainer Diaz as the 2022 Minor League Player of the Year.
— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) October 4, 2022
We have 5 very good to elite arms in Neris, Abreu, Stanek, Montero, & Pressly. Unless a starter falls flat on their face, you're not going to need Garcia & Uriquidy. I doubt both will even make the roster. There is no reason to bring back the game 2 starter on super short rest for game 4.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I dont disagree but we have the pitching so I dont see why not use it.Farmer1906 said:Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
1: JV
2: McC (Relief: Brown/Garcia/Urquidy)
3: Framber (Relief: Next best that didnt pitch the day before)
4: JV (Next man Up and possible G2 reliever if necessary)
5: Javier (McC in relief if needed)
I didn't say G2 starter....I said whoever you used in relief.Farmer1906 said:We have 5 very good to elite arms in Neris, Abreu, Stanek, Montero, & Pressly. Unless a starter falls flat on their face, you're not going to need Garcia & Uriquidy. I doubt both will even make the roster. There is no reason to bring back the game 2 starter on super short rest for game 4.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I dont disagree but we have the pitching so I dont see why not use it.Farmer1906 said:Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
1: JV
2: McC (Relief: Brown/Garcia/Urquidy)
3: Framber (Relief: Next best that didnt pitch the day before)
4: JV (Next man Up and possible G2 reliever if necessary)
5: Javier (McC in relief if needed)
I don't want those 4 relievers in every game therefore I use guys who have been SP throughout the year as the first arm out of the pen, unless the starter goes 7 or 8
And I can almost guarantee you we will carry 13 arms
You're right, I read that wrong.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I didn't say G2 starter....I said whoever you used in relief.Farmer1906 said:We have 5 very good to elite arms in Neris, Abreu, Stanek, Montero, & Pressly. Unless a starter falls flat on their face, you're not going to need Garcia & Uriquidy. I doubt both will even make the roster. There is no reason to bring back the game 2 starter on super short rest for game 4.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I dont disagree but we have the pitching so I dont see why not use it.Farmer1906 said:Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
1: JV
2: McC (Relief: Brown/Garcia/Urquidy)
3: Framber (Relief: Next best that didnt pitch the day before)
4: JV (Next man Up and possible G2 reliever if necessary)
5: Javier (McC in relief if needed)
I don't want those 4 relievers in every game therefore I use guys who have been SP throughout the year as the first arm out of the pen, unless the starter goes 7 or 8
And I can almost guarantee you we will carry 13 arms
I listed 5. And if you used them every game that's 4 IP a game for the starter. They're obviously going to go longer than that. You'd be using 2-4 a game. With the off days between games 1 and 2 / 2 and 3, you're going to need to go 12 or 13 deep regardless if what is carried on the roster.
Do you trust Garcia or Urquidy over Maton? Abreu? Stanek? Brown? I think those are your main candidates for 6th or 7th inning.
Dusty on the radio said he will keep the starters in as long as JV is in to try to get him the ERA title and his 18th win
My Roster PredictionFarmer1906 said:You're right, I read that wrong.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I didn't say G2 starter....I said whoever you used in relief.Farmer1906 said:We have 5 very good to elite arms in Neris, Abreu, Stanek, Montero, & Pressly. Unless a starter falls flat on their face, you're not going to need Garcia & Uriquidy. I doubt both will even make the roster. There is no reason to bring back the game 2 starter on super short rest for game 4.Lonestar_Ag09 said:I dont disagree but we have the pitching so I dont see why not use it.Farmer1906 said:Big Al 1992 said:
So 5 game series what do we want the rotation to look like
Gm 1 - JV
Gm 2 - LMJ (better at home)
Gm 3 - Framber (better in the road)
Gm 4 - Garcia/Urquidy
Gm 5 - let's hope it doesn't come to this but JV
Game 1 JV
Game 2 Framber (I think this is what they'll do incase he's needed for game 5)
Game 3 LMJ
Game 4 JV (normal rest)
Game 5 Framber (4 day rest with Javier in reserve)
1: JV
2: McC (Relief: Brown/Garcia/Urquidy)
3: Framber (Relief: Next best that didnt pitch the day before)
4: JV (Next man Up and possible G2 reliever if necessary)
5: Javier (McC in relief if needed)
I don't want those 4 relievers in every game therefore I use guys who have been SP throughout the year as the first arm out of the pen, unless the starter goes 7 or 8
And I can almost guarantee you we will carry 13 arms
I listed 5. And if you used them every game that's 4 IP a game for the starter. They're obviously going to go longer than that. You'd be using 2-4 a game. With the off days between games 1 and 2 / 2 and 3, you're going to need to go 12 or 13 deep regardless if what is carried on the roster.
Do you trust Garcia or Urquidy over Maton? Abreu? Stanek? Brown? I think those are your main candidates for 6th or 7th inning.
Pitchers
1. JV -SP
2. Framber -SP
3. McC -SP
4. Javier -SP
5. Garcia -Long Relief
6. Urquidy -Middle Relief (6-7th inning)
7. Brown -Middle Relief
8. Abreau -Middle Relief
9. Maton -Need an arm quick only
10. Neris -Set Up
11. Stanek -Set Up
12. Montero -SetUp, Closer if necessary
13. Pressley -Closer
Fielders:
1. Bregman (every 3B inning)
2. Pena (Every SS)
3. Altuve (Every 2B)
4. Yuli (Most every 1B)
5. Alvarez (LF/DH)
6. Chaz (CF/Late Defensive replacement in LF)
7. Ted (Every RF)
8. Mancini (Late PH for Yuli)
9. Diaz (Late PH for anyone)
10. Maldonado (Start every game at C)
11. Vasquez (Late sub for Maldy for a PH or after PR)
12. Dubon (Left-Out)
13. Meyers (Some CF, Late Def replacement, PR)
Appreciate you posting those, because I don't think much of them and don't understand them. But, what makes up the formula for WAR - who is making the determination of what all the averages are and adjustments and such?Farmer1906 said:
I know we're all at different points in our baseball "analytics" journey so I wanted to share a good follow on youtube. He does great videos explaining things, but lately he's switched up to shorts. 60 seconds instead of 10 min.
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BA Sucks
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