Pot bangers post your bets.

Hard to tell how much we actually improved because Arky is terrible. That said, Reed was running a lot more which should ALWAYS be the game plan. He still missed a few wide open targets! Run the dang ball!

I need to hear from more sunshine pumpers first.

Anyone thinking this is easy money should tread carefully. Vegas isn't dumb. When it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

RoadkillBBQ said:

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Anyone thinking this is easy money should tread carefully. Vegas isn't dumb. When it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

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They missed both Florida and Alabama/miss st line pretty badly

I'd guess something like 45-23 Mizzou for the final. We're going to get our asses kicked.

tandy miller said:

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RoadkillBBQ said:

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Anyone thinking this is easy money should tread carefully. Vegas isn't dumb. When it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

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They missed both Florida and Alabama/miss st line pretty badly

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Sure, they miss lines every week. But they still win the majority of the time. I guess you are planning to double the size of the family farm on this line?

Well they expanded their HS stadium from 4a to 5a so there's that.

RoadkillBBQ said:

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tandy miller said:

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RoadkillBBQ said:

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Anyone thinking this is easy money should tread carefully. Vegas isn't dumb. When it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

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They missed both Florida and Alabama/miss st line pretty badly

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Sure, they miss lines every week. But they still win the majority of the time. I guess you are planning to double the size of the family farm on this line?

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My religion doesnt allow me to bet or I would have octupled the family farm on Kentucky

lol. Missouri triples that

RoadkillBBQ said:

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Anyone thinking this is easy money should tread carefully. Vegas isn't dumb. When it seems too good to be true, it usually is.

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Vegas missed Bama, Florida and our game pretty badly.

Maroon Dawn said:

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They must have forgotten the zero because this is going to be an LSU style 30 point ass whipping

Mizzou is a terrible match up for this team

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Tell us where we don't matchup well

Offensively, we are going to have to continue running the ball like we started doing against Arkansas. Mizzou just held Florida, and Baugh, to 42 rushing yards. If Marcel doesn't continue to improve passing and they shut down our run it could get ugly.

Defensively, we aren't a good pass rushing team right now. Mizzou lit up Florida's secondary. The Ags secondary can't keep up with the kind of production. Saka and Jones have to hit Simmons. Also we need to win the turnover battle.

fightintxaggie10 said:

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Maroon Dawn said:

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They must have forgotten the zero because this is going to be an LSU style 30 point ass whipping

Mizzou is a terrible match up for this team

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Tell us where we don't matchup well

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^^^ beat me to it but read this above post

Mizzou is good at stopping the run which the only thing we're good at right now

Our Defense can't stop their passing game because our secondaries aren't good and we wont get any pressure on their QB

Boogie2988Ag said:

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MrWonderful said:

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For the millionth time Vegas doesn't set the odds to predict the actual outcome. They set the line to get even money on both sides. They don't "miss", house always wins!

That said mizzou -3 seems like easy money. But so did arky +16.5…

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none of this true. Books will definitely take unequal money on a line...Year after this board shows it doesn't understand sports lines and how they are set.

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This.

They're desperate to get some money on the A&M side of the betting line because right now no one is stupid enough to bet A&M on this extremely bad matchup for us.

W said:

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here's the deal...

Mizzou played its best game yesterday vs. Florida

but like most teams...Mizzou doesn't play its best game every week

Vegas thinks the Tigers will regress to their norm

3 points seems low however

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I concur with your assessment.

I will add that Mizzou was a bad matchup for Florida from the standpoint that Florida's glaring weakness is at corner and they killed Florida with the pass.

Florida had also been THE hot team going into that game and then they came back to the norm as well.

I fully expect Mizzou to have a bit of a letdown after how they destroyed Florida.

I just don't trust our defense to be able to stop the run well enough or for Marcel to make enough plays in the passing game for us to win and 3 points is not very much.

The only thing giving me any hope is we have kind of had their number in recent years.

Ugly said:

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AozorAg said:

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I'd guess something like 45-23 Mizzou for the final. We're going to get our asses kicked.

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Just like just like LSU was going to kick Ole Miss's ass, then Ole Miss was going to kick Florida's ass, then Florida was going to kick Mizzou's ass?

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No, more like LSU was going to kick our ass, which they did.

Bill Superman said:

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If you have a family farm, now is the time to turn it into two family farms.

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Add a hate barn for hate baler storage.

MrWonderful said:

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For the millionth time Vegas doesn't set the odds to predict the actual outcome. They set the line to get even money on both sides. They don't "miss", house always wins!

That said mizzou -3 seems like easy money. But so did arky +16.5…

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...and lsu at -5.5

MrWonderful said:

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For the millionth time Vegas doesn't set the odds to predict the actual outcome. They set the line to get even money on both sides. They don't "miss", house always wins!

That said mizzou -3 seems like easy money. But so did arky +16.5…

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And for the 1,000,001 time, that theory is false. Getting 50% of the bets on each side would be an impossible task and its very rare that any given game there is split action like that (excluding massive games like CFP Championship or Super Bowl, etc.)

The books try to set a "50/50 proposition" so that over the course of time (all games over the whole season will work out where the favorite covers half of the time. That is how they ensure a (at least) 5% profit.

On some games house wins. Missouri/Florida game yesterday was a massive win for them as everyone was on Florida. It was nowhere near a 50% split on bets.

On some games they lose. Ohio State/Iowa, everyone was on Ohio State.

But again, that does not matter. Its that over time, they just about always win.

Panama Red said:

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Quote:

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They're desperate to get some money on the A&M side of the betting line because right now no one is stupid enough to bet A&M on this extremely bad matchup for us.

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They are desperate for A&M money, so they put a low number? Sense, that makes none. You proved the poster you quoted's point.

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100% this.

Making a line close will not encourage bets on A&M - just the opposite.

The line is set and moves primarily based on which way the pro gamblers are betting. They are the heavy, smart bettors. It's not set or moving to try to ensure even money.

A respected pro bettor putting $25,000 on the underdog will move the line, even if hundreds of small bets are put on the favorite equaling that amount.