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Why no one is picking us to beat Miami (Right or Wrong):

12,901 Views | 97 Replies | Last: 1 mo ago by terata
Onionman
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Kind of weird....does anyone remember the 2022 playoffs.

They only picked 4 playoff teams and yet 2 of them were coming off of losses (TCU & OSU).

This year we lose and drop a ton.
cmillion20
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Post season forums are causing me to lose brain cells. First with "is moss going to play" and now this.
Gaius Rufus
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Onionman said:

I quit reading when I saw OP say no one is picking A&M.

Everything I have seen is close to 50-50. And more importantly Vegas is favoring the Ags at home.




Plus, ESPN has the Ags at a 54% chance to win. I believe they had Texas as a 51% chance to win against the Ags.
TyperWoods
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My bad, I thought it might be because we rarely win these type games.
MosesHallRAB04
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Bag said:

  • I have seen several national media members picking us
  • We are slight favorites to win
  • Having this game at home means a whole lot
  • Beck is a good passer but a statue
  • We are the best team they have faced all year



He might be a statue but he hasn't been sacked all that much has he?
Gaius Rufus
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TyperWoods said:

My bad, I thought it might be because we rarely win these type games.


Other than Notre Dame and LSU this year…right?
merch
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We have part time OC too. That is huge.
Onionman
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On Offense, we need Reed to use his legs and run much more often. He is best as a dual threat NOT as a pocket passer.

On defense we must get turnovers. When Miami lost it was due to Beck turning the ball over. I don't want to see us drop easy interceptions.
borrego29
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This has more to do with the fact that while Miami has 2 losses against lesser opponents, those came earlier in the year. The perception is that they ended the season strong, while we dropped a rivalry match to end the season; thus, perceived as on a low.
Coaches need to work through this with the team, as Miami is no slouch.
Gaius Rufus
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borrego29 said:

This has more to do with the fact that while Miami has 2 losses against lesser opponents, those came earlier in the year. The perception is that they ended the season strong, while we dropped a rivalry match to end the season; thus, perceived as on a low.
Coaches need to work through this with the team, as Miami is no slouch.


The fact is, the national media called A&M's schedule weak.

If it is weak, then Miami's is full of cupcakes.

They haven't played a top 15 Sagarin team since August. They haven't beat a top 25 team since August.

They went 2-2 against top 30 teams (ND and Pitt)

3 of their final 4 opponents were ranked 75th or worse.

Any team with a pulse better beat the teams on Miami's schedule, yet Miami lost 2 games to teams ranked 20 and 27.

In the final 3 games of the season (not counting Samford), the Ags played teams ranked 12th, 19th, and 29th.

Miami has been feasting on low ranked teams yet nobody seems to say a thing about that.
Cibalo
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Interesting stst that might be playing a factor into the wimmer selection is this.

The Aggies have allowed more explosive plays of 20-plus yards than any team in the CFP, tying for 93rd nationally.
Tramp96
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I posted this in the matchup thread, but I think you all will beat Miami comfortably. Not comfortably in scoring margin per se, but I just think it will be a relatively smooth victory.

I don't think Miami is quite ready for the Kyle Field experience, and like I said in the matchup thread, I was very underwhelmed with their play at SMU.
davinhalcyon
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Can someone help me understand what it means for our team to have "peaked too early"? What does that mean? Every game is an opportunity for Reed to continue to improve his game and for our team as a whole to play better together. Plus, we're going to be pretty healthy as a team, including getting Moss back. What's the evidence that we won't be at the peak of our game when we host Miami?
Buzzkill
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Aggies have struggles against mobile QBs and no one else. Beck has concrete shoes.
Bag
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

Bag said:

  • I have seen several national media members picking us
  • We are slight favorites to win
  • Having this game at home means a whole lot
  • Beck is a good passer but a statue
  • We are the best team they have faced all year



He might be a statue but he hasn't been sacked all that much has he?

yes, but at least it eliminates him going all Taylon Green on us
cevans_40
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King of the Dairy Queen said:

we looked really poor in the 2nd half of our last showing.

FIFY
Tex117
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Whelp. Guess the Ags should forfeit.

Gawd Yall follow this sheet way to closely

Today's winner for the General Board Burrito Lottery is:

Tex117
aeon-ag
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SouthCollegeStation said:


Agree - No one in the media and most of the college football analyst say we lose.

They see the following from the 30,000 foot level (right or wrong):

We lost our last game against t.u. and had to overcome a 30 to 3 score at half against SC.
Marcel Reed throws interceptions and is not a consistently accurate passing QB.
The media believes that Moss will not play at running back.
That both Miami's Offensive and Defensive lines are better than the Aggies.
That the Miami's secondary can handle KC, Craver, Bussey & Ashton BR.
That, if this is a close game that our FG kicker is not accurate.
Lastly, that aggie fans are selling their tickets to make money and the crowd
will only be about 80% true diehard aggie fans and not the normal 108,000.

This will be the hardest game that we will play in this season.
No one is picking us - We are the underdog and must Fight Like Hell to WIN...

I posted this in an earlier post.

Didn't we lose to an inferior tu team? That should answer your question.
Gaius Rufus
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Texas hasn't lost at home all season.

ESPN showed Texas had a 51% chance to win that game.

Kalshi is pricing an A&M win:

62% to 38%

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafgame/college-football-game/kxncaafgame-25dec20miatxam

What do they know about the Aggies that people on Texags don't?

TxAg76
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TXAG 05 said:

SouthCollegeStation said:


Agree - No one in the media and most of the college football analyst say we lose.

They see the following from the 30,000 foot level (right or wrong):

We lost our last game against t.u. and had to overcome a 30 to 3 score at half against SC.
Marcel Reed throws interceptions and is not a consistently accurate passing QB.
The media believes that Moss will not play at running back.
That both Miami's Offensive and Defensive lines are better than the Aggies.
That the Miami's secondary can handle KC, Craver, Bussey & Ashton BR.
That, if this is a close game that our FG kicker is not accurate.
Lastly, that aggie fans are selling their tickets to make money and the crowd
will only be about 80% true diehard aggie fans and not the normal 108,000.

This will be the hardest game that we will play in this season.
No one is picking us - We are the underdog and must Fight Like Hell to WIN...

I posted this in an earlier post.

You know that Vegas has us favored to win right?


Sounds like OP should bet everything he owns on Miami to cover, no?
TexAgs91
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SouthCollegeStation said:


Agree - No one in the media and most of the college football analyst say we lose.

They see the following from the 30,000 foot level (right or wrong):

We lost our last game against t.u. and had to overcome a 30 to 3 score at half against SC.
Marcel Reed throws interceptions and is not a consistently accurate passing QB.
The media believes that Moss will not play at running back.
That both Miami's Offensive and Defensive lines are better than the Aggies.
That the Miami's secondary can handle KC, Craver, Bussey & Ashton BR.
That, if this is a close game that our FG kicker is not accurate.
Lastly, that aggie fans are selling their tickets to make money and the crowd
will only be about 80% true diehard aggie fans and not the normal 108,000.

This will be the hardest game that we will play in this season.
No one is picking us - We are the underdog and must Fight Like Hell to WIN...

I posted this in an earlier post.


Is this a Raptor thread?
No, I don't care what CNN or Miss NOW said this time
Ad Lunam
LHirsch
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Think maybe our letdown in this season happened as soon as Moss went down. It happened last year, same thing only we lost all the close games at the end of the season. This year he went down and we had enough backups to weather the storm and win the close games. That being said, we get Moss back and we go back to controlling the game and win.
Bernd Hirsch
StinkyPinky
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TXAG 05 said:

SouthCollegeStation said:


Agree - No one in the media and most of the college football analyst say we lose.

They see the following from the 30,000 foot level (right or wrong):

We lost our last game against t.u. and had to overcome a 30 to 3 score at half against SC.
Marcel Reed throws interceptions and is not a consistently accurate passing QB.
The media believes that Moss will not play at running back.
That both Miami's Offensive and Defensive lines are better than the Aggies.
That the Miami's secondary can handle KC, Craver, Bussey & Ashton BR.
That, if this is a close game that our FG kicker is not accurate.
Lastly, that aggie fans are selling their tickets to make money and the crowd
will only be about 80% true diehard aggie fans and not the normal 108,000.

This will be the hardest game that we will play in this season.
No one is picking us - We are the underdog and must Fight Like Hell to WIN...

I posted this in an earlier post.

You know that Vegas has us favored to win right?
Vegas knows ball.

They say "book it"
BTKAG97
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Have yet to see anyone not oick A&M but then I haven't watched ESPN this weak.
Iraq2xVeteran
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Miami has won 4 consecutive games and all of them by 17+ points each, including road wins at Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh. In contrast, we have struggled in our last two SEC games. We trailed South Carolina 30-3 at halftime before waking up to beat South Carolina 31-30. We led Texas 10-3 at halftime before losing 27-17. We lost the turnover margin by a combined 6-2 in those two games. We cannot afford to lose the turnover margin again. We will need to have at least an even turnover margin to have a good chance of beating Miami.
aggiedad7
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Cibalo said:

SouthCollegeStation said:

Appreciate the feedback: Thoughts:

QUESTION:
1. Is the Texas loss an Exposed Weakness / Wound or is it A Texas A&M Reset Point...
2. Which QB can go play at the Highest Level (Mistake Free) to deliver the Win.

Georgia exposed Texas and either Texas fixed it or A&M couldn't capitalize. Either way tu looked like a different team. Maybe it was they were playing at home?
I expect the holes to be fixed, a game plan to be tailored A&M strengths on offense and the defense to have crazy blitz packages, and the players to be angry and focused after getting embarrassed.

Think I heard the sips were 20 points better at home. Some of that is playing 3 cup cakes. Some because all season they've been much better at home. So them winning was not a huge surprise, Also it was 10 points. We had a FG blocked and threw a pic at the 2 yd line. That right there was the difference.

Biggest thing that came out of that game was our rushing D. That absolutely has to be fixed to win. Rest can take care of itself. Oh and don't throw 2 pics in the 4th quarter.
DFCURT
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I wouldn't pick A&M to beat anyone after the texas game either. Too much to fix in too little time.
terata
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Some inconsistent performances don't help much. BTHO miami.
 
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