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The three paths to Atlanta:

7,738 Views | 53 Replies | Last: 4 mo ago by MD20/20
HJack20
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1. We defeat t.u. We'd be the only 8-0 team. We would play Alabama if they win the Iron Bowl and Georgia if they lose it.

2. We lose to t.u., but Alabama loses to Auburn AND Ole Miss loses to Mississippi State. We'd be one of two 7-1 teams, the other being Georgia, and thus would play them.

3. This one is a maybe. We lose to t.u., Alabama loses to Auburn, Ole Miss beats Mississippi State, and EVERY other SEC game (with the exception of Tennessee vs Vandy) for the next two weeks falls a specific way: Florida beats Tennessee, Missouri beats Oklahoma, Texas beats Arkansas, Vandy beats Kentucky, Missouri beats Arkansas, LSU beats Oklahoma. Tennessee vs Vandy does not matter. If ALL that happens, Georgia, A&M, and Ole Miss will all be 7-1. Georgia owns the tiebreaker of best opponents' record, and Ole Miss and A&M will have a tied opponents' record. If one game above falls the other way, Ole Miss owns the this tiebreaker over us. The next tiebreaker is "Capped Relative Scoring Margin", which is a complex calculation that I haven't done. We'd have to win that over Ole Miss to own the tiebreaker and take the second spot in Atlanta. That math basically depends on how your team scored and got scored on (I think), so it will factor in future games. Like I said, I haven't done the math yet, but I may sometime soon.

I prefer option 1.
DE4D
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THERE IS ONLY ONE PATH TO ATLANTA
Sid Farkas
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I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.
cecil77
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The bye in the first round is huge
Madagascar
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Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.


I wouldn't be upset with this either. There's no guarantee we would win the SEC championship and if we did lose, we would likely still need a bye in game and would have had to put our guys through one more game of stress than they needed to have.

With the playoff now, the conference should really consider getting rid of the championship game. The playoff is the real decider of whose best and the game is only another opportunity to get injured.
HJack20
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Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.


I go back in forth but I'm leaning towards thinking it's better to play in Atlanta and get a shot at the bye. Downside being if we lose it, we're probably in the 5-8 range and have to play an extra game.
TxAg76
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Thought there was gonna be some Google Maps and alternate travel paths shown
pilgrimshadow
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Y'all are way overcomplicating this. Just take your most convenient route to I-20, and go east. You can't miss it.
C2 Ag 93
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This hurts my head. Just win out Ags.
amercer
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In theory an extra week of rest and keeping everyone healthy sounds good.

But it's been 14 years since we've beaten tu and 27 years since we've won a conference championship
Guy12
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Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.


I hate that attitude. I remember thinking last year how embarrassing it would be for the sips to win their first SEC title in year one when we had never been in more than a decade.

I want an SEC championship almost as much as I want a natty. Hell, I want it more right now, but that's just because the opportunity comes sooner.
OKC~Ag
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Agree one path only

beat them in Austin and beat bama @ ATL

we stand 13-0 and on to 16-0

last one standing
DallasAg 94
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Let's beat Samford.
fightingfarmer09
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If you lose the last game you do not want to play in a conference championship game. Because if you drop that one you will likely be left out due to momentum of back to back losses.

So win out and go for the SEC Championship.
AggieJ2002
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The only way I want to get to Atlanta is by beating tu. If we lose, still have a shot at a bye and definitely a shot at 5 or 6, which is a home game against a bottom feeder
HarryRocket
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The fact that it's even a question if the SEC game is worth it (which it is a legit question) makes the SEC championship less important. Is what it is. Playoffs killed conference championship importance

No one gives a **** who won the AL Central in baseball.

Welcome to what many of you wanted
aggiehawg
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Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.

It is tempting. I had seen someone ask this question a few weeks ago and I don't have an answer, yet.

Can a team opt out of the SEC CCG?
cecil77
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aggiehawg said:

Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.

It is tempting. I had seen someone ask this question a few weeks ago and I don't have an answer, yet.

Giving up a guaranteed win to play that game at home is lunacy.

Can a team opt out of the SEC CCG?
fc2112
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DE4D said:

THERE IS ONLY ONE PATH TO ATLANTA

I-20
Wabs
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If we make the SEC CG then great, go try to win it.

So be it if not, less chance for someone to get injured.
aggiehawg
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HarryRocket said:

The fact that it's even a question if the SEC game is worth it (which it is a legit question) makes the SEC championship less important. Is what it is. Playoffs killed conference championship importance

No one gives a **** who won the AL Central in baseball.

Welcome to what many of you wanted

Main reason I was against expanding the playoffs and certainly against adding Sooners and sips, doing away with divisions in the process. The value of a CCG has been diminished greatly and when the playoffs expand again, it will be the death knell for them. No value in them and that weekend will be needed for other playoff games.
TX_Aggie37
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Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.

We haven't been to Atlanta since joining the conference. I want to watch us in that game as a fan.
aggiehawg
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TX_Aggie37 said:

Sid Farkas said:

I'm still trying to decide if I like skipping the SEC championship game and getting a home game to start the playoffs.

We haven't been to Atlanta since joining the conference. I want to watch us in that game as a fan.

We haven't been in the playoff either.

ETA: Nor do I trust the CFP Committee not to hold a CCG loss against a team. They are all over the place this year as to what matters to them and what does not. And those "reasons" even contradict themselves week over week.
greg.w.h
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Run the table…
Bag
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cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?

maroon man
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DE4D said:

THERE IS ONLY ONE PATH TO ATLANTA


This.
ATL Aggie
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I-75, I-85, and I-20.
cecil77
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Bag said:

cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?




Yes, it's a guaranteed win. Why play a game you don't have to?
Gnome Sayin
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Bag said:

cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?



No bye probably preferred. Most teams with a bye would have played a conference championship game. Do we want the SEC head to head with the 2nd best conference team or one of the 9th-12th ranked teams?
Miles Finch
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cecil77 said:

Bag said:

cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?




Yes, it's a guaranteed win. Why play a game you don't have to?

Every team with a first round bye last year lost their first game. 0-4.
ATL Aggie
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Miles Finch said:

cecil77 said:

Bag said:

cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?




Yes, it's a guaranteed win. Why play a game you don't have to?

Every team with a first round bye last year lost their first game. 0-4.


Last year the byes went to conference champs, not the best teams. And, what does last years results have anything to do with this year?
aggiehawg
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ATL Aggie said:

Miles Finch said:

cecil77 said:

Bag said:

cecil77 said:

The bye in the first round is huge


Is it?




Yes, it's a guaranteed win. Why play a game you don't have to?

Every team with a first round bye last year lost their first game. 0-4.


Last year the byes went to conference champs, not the best teams. And, what does last years results have anything to do with this year?


Yeah, the rules were changed for P4 but few people know that. Why a few weeks ago it looked like if Duke won the ACC, they would still not be in the playoffs.
EliteZags
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HJack20 said:



3. This one is a maybe. We lose to t.u., Alabama loses to Auburn, Ole Miss beats Mississippi State, and EVERY other SEC game (with the exception of Tennessee vs Vandy) for the next two weeks falls a specific way: Florida beats Tennessee, Missouri beats Oklahoma, Texas beats Arkansas, Vandy beats Kentucky, Missouri beats Arkansas, LSU beats Oklahoma. Tennessee vs Vandy does not matter. If ALL that happens, Georgia, A&M, and Ole Miss will all be 7-1. Georgia owns the tiebreaker of best opponents' record, and Ole Miss and A&M will have a tied opponents' record. If one game above falls the other way, Ole Miss owns the this tiebreaker over us. The next tiebreaker is "Capped Relative Scoring Margin", which is a complex calculation that I haven't done. We'd have to win that over Ole Miss to own the tiebreaker and take the second spot in Atlanta. That math basically depends on how your team scored and got scored on (I think), so it will factor in future games. Like I said, I haven't done the math yet, but I may sometime soon.




A Net Full of Jello
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amercer said:

In theory an extra week of rest and keeping everyone healthy sounds good.

But it's been 14 years since we've beaten tu and 27 years since we've won a conference championship

Or, we can look at it this way: we have only lost to the sips once since 2012.
12thMan9
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The top 4 get 3 weeks off.

Please call those coaches & find out what they think. We anxiously await your results.
Ronnie '88
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