1. We defeat t.u. We'd be the only 8-0 team. We would play Alabama if they win the Iron Bowl and Georgia if they lose it.
2. We lose to t.u., but Alabama loses to Auburn AND Ole Miss loses to Mississippi State. We'd be one of two 7-1 teams, the other being Georgia, and thus would play them.
3. This one is a maybe. We lose to t.u., Alabama loses to Auburn, Ole Miss beats Mississippi State, and EVERY other SEC game (with the exception of Tennessee vs Vandy) for the next two weeks falls a specific way: Florida beats Tennessee, Missouri beats Oklahoma, Texas beats Arkansas, Vandy beats Kentucky, Missouri beats Arkansas, LSU beats Oklahoma. Tennessee vs Vandy does not matter. If ALL that happens, Georgia, A&M, and Ole Miss will all be 7-1. Georgia owns the tiebreaker of best opponents' record, and Ole Miss and A&M will have a tied opponents' record. If one game above falls the other way, Ole Miss owns the this tiebreaker over us. The next tiebreaker is "Capped Relative Scoring Margin", which is a complex calculation that I haven't done. We'd have to win that over Ole Miss to own the tiebreaker and take the second spot in Atlanta. That math basically depends on how your team scored and got scored on (I think), so it will factor in future games. Like I said, I haven't done the math yet, but I may sometime soon.
I prefer option 1.
2. We lose to t.u., but Alabama loses to Auburn AND Ole Miss loses to Mississippi State. We'd be one of two 7-1 teams, the other being Georgia, and thus would play them.
3. This one is a maybe. We lose to t.u., Alabama loses to Auburn, Ole Miss beats Mississippi State, and EVERY other SEC game (with the exception of Tennessee vs Vandy) for the next two weeks falls a specific way: Florida beats Tennessee, Missouri beats Oklahoma, Texas beats Arkansas, Vandy beats Kentucky, Missouri beats Arkansas, LSU beats Oklahoma. Tennessee vs Vandy does not matter. If ALL that happens, Georgia, A&M, and Ole Miss will all be 7-1. Georgia owns the tiebreaker of best opponents' record, and Ole Miss and A&M will have a tied opponents' record. If one game above falls the other way, Ole Miss owns the this tiebreaker over us. The next tiebreaker is "Capped Relative Scoring Margin", which is a complex calculation that I haven't done. We'd have to win that over Ole Miss to own the tiebreaker and take the second spot in Atlanta. That math basically depends on how your team scored and got scored on (I think), so it will factor in future games. Like I said, I haven't done the math yet, but I may sometime soon.
I prefer option 1.