TX_Aggie37 said:

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NoahAg said:

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UTSA - W
USU - W
ND - L
Auburn - L
MSU - W
Florida - L
Arkansas - L
LSU - L
Mizzou - L
SC - W
Samford - W
t.u. - L

5-7

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Arkansas and Mizzou feel like wins to me. So does Auburn. Just because we lost that game in that fashion last year doesn't mean anything for this season.

I am very much "wait and see" on Florida. They are riding a ton of momentum after finishing the year on 4 wins with Lagway being the second coming. But I'm not sure they're the threat everyone perceives them to be. Not to mention Lagway didn't throw a football in the spring. Curious how healthy he'll be over the course of the fall.

LSU, ND, and Texas will be the real challenges. I actually think ND will be the most winnable of those.

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I agree that Arkansas and Missouri feel like road wins to me, and Auburn feels like a home win to me. We beat Auburn at home in 2021 and 2023 by 17+ points each. Also, we are coming off a bye week, and Auburn will be coming off a tough road game at Oklahoma. That means we will have home field and rest advantages over Auburn.

I think Florida is a likely home win. Florida ended last season with 4 consecutive wins, but that consisted of 2 home wins over LSU and Ole Miss, one road win over a 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State team, and a bowl win over Tulane. People perceive Florida to be a threat, but they do not realize that Florida has struggled in road games since Dan Mullen's final season in 2021.

Florida is 4-13 (3-11 SEC) in true Power 4 road games since 2021, 0-4 (0-4 SEC) in Dan Mullen's final season and 4-9 (3-7 SEC) under Billy Napier. Billy Napier is good for exactly one SEC road win each year; 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Texas A&M in 2022, 5-7 (3-5 SEC) South Carolina in 2023, and 2-10 (0-8 SEC) Mississippi State in 2024. His only other road win came against 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State in 2024. None of those 4 teams finished better than 5-7.

We will be playing our 3rd straight home game and should be coming off an easy win over Mississippi State. In contrast, Florida will be coming off a tough home game against Texas and playing the last game of a brutal 4-game stretch against LSU (away), Miami (away), bye week, Texas (home), and Texas A&M (away) in a span of 5 weeks. That means we will have home field and strength advantages over Florida.

I agree that road games against top 10 teams Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas will be the real challenges, and I think Notre Dame is the most winnable of those 3 road games.

annie88 said:

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11-1

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Now this, my friends, is how you off season.

annie88 said:

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11-1

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Gotta account for the post season.



Regular Season:

UTSA - W
Utah State - W
Notre Dame - L
Auburn - W
Miss St - W
Florida - W
Arkansas - W
LSU - W
Mizzou - W
South Carolina - L
Samford - W
Texas - W


Playoffs:

Iowa St - W
Clemson - W
Ohio State - W
Texas - W



Record 14-2
2025 National Champions
Dogs and Cats live together
Mass hysteria

Go big or go **** yourself

Iraq2xVeteran said:

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TX_Aggie37 said:

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NoahAg said:

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UTSA - W
USU - W
ND - L
Auburn - L
MSU - W
Florida - L
Arkansas - L
LSU - L
Mizzou - L
SC - W
Samford - W
t.u. - L

5-7

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Arkansas and Mizzou feel like wins to me. So does Auburn. Just because we lost that game in that fashion last year doesn't mean anything for this season.

I am very much "wait and see" on Florida. They are riding a ton of momentum after finishing the year on 4 wins with Lagway being the second coming. But I'm not sure they're the threat everyone perceives them to be. Not to mention Lagway didn't throw a football in the spring. Curious how healthy he'll be over the course of the fall.

LSU, ND, and Texas will be the real challenges. I actually think ND will be the most winnable of those.

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I agree that Arkansas and Missouri feel like road wins to me, and Auburn feels like a home win to me. We beat Auburn at home in 2021 and 2023 by 17+ points each. Also, we are coming off a bye week, and Auburn will be coming off a tough road game at Oklahoma. That means we will have home field and rest advantages over Auburn.

I think Florida is a likely home win. Florida ended last season with 4 consecutive wins, but that consisted of 2 home wins over LSU and Ole Miss, one road win at over a 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State team, and a bowl win over Tulane. People perceive Florida to be a threat, but they have struggled in road games since Dan Mullen's final season in 2021.

Florida is 4-13 (3-11 SEC) in true Power 4 road games since 2021, 0-4 (0-4 SEC) in Dan Mullen's final season and 4-9 (3-7 SEC) under Billy Napier. Billy Napier is good for exactly one SEC road win each year; 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Texas A&M in 2022, 5-7 (3-5 SEC) South Carolina in 2023, and 2-10 (0-8 SEC) Mississippi State in 2024. His only other road win came against 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State in 2024. None of those 4 teams finished better than 5-7.

We will be playing our 3rd straight home game and should be coming off an easy win over Mississippi State. In contrast, Florida will be coming off a tough home game against Texas and playing the last game of a brutal 4-game stretch against LSU (away), Miami (away), bye week, Texas (home), and Texas A&M (away) in a span of 5 weeks. That means we will have home field and strength advantages over Florida.

I agree that road games against top 10 teams Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas will be the real challenges, and I think Notre Dame is the most winnable of those 3 road games.

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Yes, exactly this and if the Aggies win against Notre Dame the path is set for them to make the playoffs for the first time ever. It's certainly possible. They have top end talent, depth and most importantly depth and talent at the offensive line. This will be the strongest offensive line since Johnny's final year at A&M. While the top end talent isn't on par with that offensive line class, there are definitely NFL players on the roster and they are backed by depth. As we all know, skill positions are only as good as the time given to them to get open as the offensive line provides.

This will be a surprising year and one that I think Elko will make his mark and truly change the trajectory of A&M.

HOT

SPORT

OPINIONS

vander54 said:

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Why do you have Missouri as a loss?

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Good question. I leaned toward loss because it's a road game.

33 said:

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vander54 said:

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Why do you have Missouri as a loss?

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Good question. I leaned toward loss because it's a road game.

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Missouri lost a ton on offense including their QB. They return their 3rd best WR. Both TE but neither were great and only 2 OL. They will probably struggle more on offense.

They do return most their defense though.

8 & 4 every year until it's proven not so

Aggies finish 9-3 with losses to ND, LSU and the sips.

vander54 said:

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Ok at an individual level each loss would be understandable but all 7 are statistically extremely low.

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I agree with you but momentum is a helluva drug

vander54 said:

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Why do you have Missouri as a loss?

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Honestly, that's pretty defensible. Third road game in a row (even with a bye week in between) can be rough, and they get us after a bye as well, and in between Vanderbilt and Clanga on top of that.

Richleau12 said:

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Oddly no, the model really thinks South Carolina is going to nose dive this year and revert back to their old selves. The toughest home game, but not by much, will be Florida. That's where scheme comes into play. Our defense is perfectly built to stifle a team like Florida whose feast or famine approach will create very long drives and multiple possibilities for failure to extend drives. South Carolina is in a similar boat but with a significant drop off in talent.

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We have a great schedule position on Florida this year. We get them after a bye, Auburn, and Clanga, which is about as easy of an SEC stretch as we are going to get. They get us after an away rivalry game at LSU, an away rivalry game at Miami, and a home game against tu. That's about as rough as it gets from a scheduling dynamics perspective.

South Carolina is getting the bump due to Sellers at QB, but by the time we get to that point of the schedule, it's 50/50 whether QB1 is still playing for either team. There is a lot of talent loss around him as you mention, so I think the floor is much more likely than the ceiling for them.

As mentioned above, I think I am more worried about Mizzou than either of these teams. If we are going to have another inexplicable late season loss due to injury like last year's Auburn game, a third consecutive SEC road game in the second week of November is when it is going to happen.

Run the model with the contingency that AI calls the plays for the first three games of the 2026 season (which is where we should be headed).

The ND game will be epic

We'll beat Notre Dame but in true Aggie fashion lose to Auburn the next week
8-4 is our yearly goal and we will accomplish it ! AGAIN

It's certainly possible but the schedule favors A&M. The model favors Elko with his time at Duke. The model figures that with greater talent and week to week focus seen at Duke, he will get the most out of his players and get A&M to be in the consideration for a playoff spot if not win it out all together.

Guys I need help, where do I get a Notre dame ticket for less than 400 freaking dollars

They lost so much talent on offense though. They return only 5. 2 OL, 2 TE, and their 3rd best WR.

They may be good on offense but replacing so much including most their OL says they will take a step back.

UTSA - W
USU - W
@ND - L, hope & pray for a win, going with my head
Auburn - L, Freeze better in 2nd year than Klein offensively
MSU - W, surely we win this one
Florida - L, Gators' ended last season on a positive note
@Arkansas - L, Petrino better in 2nd season than Elko/Klein
@LSU - L, Tigers in the hunt for a SEC championship
@Mizzou - W, stop the losing skid
SC - L, Gamecocks have a proven leader at QB
Samford - W, can't wait to welcome Jimbo on the sideline with his son
@t.u. - W, went with my heart, not my head, upset special (Who knows, maybe the sips will be resting their starters for the so called playoffs?)

6-6 (4-3 at home, 2-3 on the road, 3-5 in conference; No worries, I'm never right.)

This might be the weirdest season prediction I've seen so far.

8-5 until proven otherwise

We'll beat a team we shouldn't have to get everyone hyped up that "this is our year" and then blow it against a middling team like Arky or SC as always to finish 8-4 then lose to some B12 team in Shreveport

Like clockwork

Unless it's the playoffs, bowls don't matter. They're such a crapshoot with players opting out.
If someone offered a 8-4 regular season I'd take it. It's a tough schedule and we have lots we need to improve on.

Ugly said:

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Richleau12 said:

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Oddly no, the model really thinks South Carolina is going to nose dive this year and revert back to their old selves. The toughest home game, but not by much, will be Florida. That's where scheme comes into play. Our defense is perfectly built to stifle a team like Florida whose feast or famine approach will create very long drives and multiple possibilities for failure to extend drives. South Carolina is in a similar boat but with a significant drop off in talent.

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We have a great schedule position on Florida this year. We get them after a bye, Auburn, and Clanga, which is about as easy of an SEC stretch as we are going to get. They get us after an away rivalry game at LSU, an away rivalry game at Miami, and a home game against tu. That's about as rough as it gets from a scheduling dynamics perspective.

South Carolina is getting the bump due to Sellers at QB, but by the time we get to that point of the schedule, it's 50/50 whether QB1 is still playing for either team. There is a lot of talent loss around him as you mention, so I think the floor is much more likely than the ceiling for them.

As mentioned above, I think I am more worried about Mizzou than either of these teams. If we are going to have another inexplicable late season loss due to injury like last year's Auburn game, a third consecutive SEC road game in the second week of November is when it is going to happen.

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I completely agree with you. We have a huge scheduling dynamics advantage over Florida. Florida ended last season on a 4-game winning streak, but that included home wins over LSU and Ole Miss, one road win at Florida State, and one bowl win over Tulane. Also, Florida is 4-13 (3-11 SEC) in true Power 4 road games since 2021, 0-4 (0-4 SEC) in Dan Mullen's final season in 2021 and 4-9 (3-7 SEC) under Billy Napier. Billy Napier is good for exactly one SEC road win each year; 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Texas A&M in 2022, 5-7 (3-5 SEC) South Carolina in 2023, and 2-10 (0-8 SEC) Mississippi State in 2024. His only other road win came against 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State in 2024. None of those 4 teams finished better than 5-7.

I think South Carolina will be our toughest home game. We will be coming off a tough road game at Missouri, and South Carolina will be coming off a bye week. However, we are 5-0 in home games against South Carolina, including the last 3 home wins by 13+ points each.

I am more worried about a road game at Missouri than home games against Florida and South Carolina. Both teams will be coming off a bye week, but we will be playing our 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Missouri has won 10 consecutive home games, including 8 against Power 4 opponents, since a 49-39 home loss to LSU on 10/7/2023. On the flip side, we have lost 12 of our last 14 true road games, including 6 consecutive November or later road games since a 34-13 win at Tennessee on 12/19/2020. If we have another inexplicable late season loss as a favorite, Missouri is where it happens.

vander54 said:

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33 said:

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vander54 said:

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Why do you have Missouri as a loss?

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Good question. I leaned toward loss because it's a road game.

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Missouri lost a ton on offense including their QB. They return their 3rd best WR. Both TE but neither were great and only 2 OL. They will probably struggle more on offense.

They do return most their defense though.

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They also picked up an all sec receiver who put up almost 100 and a td on us last year. This one's just too early to tell. Pribula was supposed to start at qb for Penn state until allar didn't go pro. Wouldn't shock me if they were even better on offense or awful. Regardless they won't prepare for the wrong qb this year

FDT 1999 said:

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This person's "model" has A&M at 9-3 as most probable with 10-2 being 2nd most probable.

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Tells you all you need to know about the "model" right there!

one safe place said:

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FDT 1999 said:

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This person's "model" has A&M at 9-3 as most probable with 10-2 being 2nd most probable.

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Tells you all you need to know about the "model" right there!

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It follows what a lot of people outside the zoo think

NoahAg said:

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Unless it's the playoffs, bowls don't matter. They're such a crapshoot with players opting out.
If someone offered a 8-4 regular season I'd take it. It's a tough schedule and we have lots we need to improve on.

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Yes, the mark of a good season should always be if A&M made the playoffs or not. That's always the goal. While this schedule is daunting, especially the back to back SEC road games, if A&M can beat Notre Dame, they will be primed to be able to do so. Bowl games do not matter in this new version of college football.

Since the other thread was removed, I'll go ahead and post the article here. My only goal is to generate discussion. That's what the offseason is for.

https://osfan.substack.com/p/texas-a-and-ms-running-game-powerhouses

Bump

Spell this thread B A S. Fun read, thanks for bumping it.

annie88 said:

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11-1

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Annie88 - the only one with any balls. And brass balls at that…

I also want to draw attention to the fact that most who predicted we would suck are the same ones who are whining and crying about 11-2.

ironmanag said:

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I also want to draw attention to the fact that most who predicted we would suck are the same ones who are whining and crying about 11-2.

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Oh, I get it now. You can't underachieve if you set the bar really, really low.

Damn. Y'all were some haters.