Mike Elko started 7-1 (5-0 SEC) before losing 4 of his last 5 games, including 3 consecutive losses to end the season. Our only win in that span was over New Mexico State, and we have lost 4 consecutive games to Power 4 opponents since a 38-23 win over LSU on 10/26. Dating back to a 42-30 road loss at LSU on 11/25/2023, we have lost 4 consecutive November SEC games and 6 consecutive November Power 4 games. We have not won beaten a Power 4 opponent in the month of November since a 51-10 home win over Mississippi State on 11/11/2023, which was Jimbo Fisher's last game of his tenure. Also, we have not won a bowl game since a 41-27 win over North Carolina in the 2021 Orange Bowl on 1/2/2021.
Losses to 9-4 (5-3 SEC) South Carolina and 13-3 (7-1 SEC) CFP semifinalist Texas were understandable, but a loss at 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Auburn was inexcusable. If we had beaten Auburn, we would have finished 9-3 (6-2 SEC) in the regular season and reached the SEC Championship Game for the first time. Yes, Texas would have probably beaten us again, but we probably could have gotten a better bowl game and won it to finish 10-4 (6-2 SEC).
Next year, we will have a tougher home/away split because our toughest games against Notre Dame, LSU, Missouri, and Texas will all be on the road instead of at home. We will play a true road game at Arkansas for the first time since 2013 and at LSU the very next week. Also, our schedule is very unbalanced with 3 straight SEC home games (Auburn on 9/27, Mississippi State on 10/4, and Florida on 10/11) before a stretch of 3 SEC road games in 4 weeks (Arkansas on 10/18, LSU on 10/25, 2nd bye week and Missouri on 11/8). With that schedule, I think we will have a floor of 7-5 and a ceiling of 9-3 with likely road losses at Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas. The 5 road games at Notre Dame, Arkansas, Missouri, LSU, and Texas will make or break our season.
I would like to see 9+ wins next year. a bowl win, and a 2-1 November SEC record with wins against Missouri (away) and South Carolina (home). If Elko can achieve these goals, he will show that he has this team headed in the right direction.