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This is setting up for us to lose vs Auburn....

9,837 Views | 79 Replies | Last: 2 days ago by hindsight
maroongoon95
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Really... who's our 1st string QB? Lol
Iraq2xVeteran
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Onionman said:

On any given week anything can happen in the SEC.

I mean Auburn recently beat UK by 14 and Ole Miss, who is arguably playing the best football in the SEC right now, lost at UK.

It will be a tough game.


Auburn defeated Kentucky 24-10 on the road on 10/26, but they lost to Vanderbilt 17-7 at home a week later on 11/2. Likewise, Kentucky upset Ole Miss 20-17 on the road on 9/28, but they lost to Vanderbilt 20-13 at home two weeks later on 10/12 after a bye week. It's crazy how Ole Miss is Kentucky's only SEC win and Kentucky is one of Ole Miss's two losses and only home loss. Also, Kentucky is Auburn's only Power 4 win.
Iraq2xVeteran
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gunan01 said:

Iraq2xVeteran said:

There are several trends that indicate we should win this road game by double digits.

1. Dating back to a 27-24 home loss to Alabama on 11/25/23, Auburn has lost 8 of their last 9 Power 4 games, including 5 consecutive home losses to Power 4 teams. Auburn's only Power 4 win in that span is a 24-10 road win at Kentucky on 10/26.

2. Hugh Freeze is an atrocious 1-7 (1-6 SEC) in Power 4 home games, and his only Power 4 home win was a 27-13 win over Mississippi State on 10/28/2023.

3. Auburn has not scored more than 24 points in their last 9 games against Power 4 teams.

4. We have scored 33+ points in 4 of our 7 games against Power 4 teams, including twice on the road.

5. Besides allowing 44 points to South Carolina, we had not allowed more than 24 points in any other game.

6. While Auburn has a -11 turnover margin (19 giveaways to 8 takeaways), we have a +4 turnover margin (14 takeaways to 11 giveaways) in turnover margin.

However, the spread between 8-2 (5-1 SEC) Texas A&M and 4-6 (1-5 SEC) Auburn is just 2.5 points for several reasons.

1. We lost 13-10 in our last road game at Auburn on 11/12/2022. That was a sold-out night game between two teams with identical 3-6 overall records, 1-5 SEC records, and 5-game losing streaks. Auburn had fired head coach Bryan Harsin 12 days earlier on 10/31/2022. Yet, Jimbo Fisher managed to lose to Cadillac Williams, who was only on his second game as Auburn interim head coach.

2. We got smoked by South Carolina 44-20 in our last night road game.

3. Auburn is playing their final home game at night and needs to win out to reach bowl eligibility.

4. Auburn has not allowed more than 31 points all season, and that was in a road game at Georgia.

5. Auburn has not allowed more than 27 points at home. Oklahoma needed a pick-six to reach 27 points. Cal and Arkansas each forced 5 Auburn turnovers, but neither team managed to score more than 24 points against Auburn.

Hopefully, we come out prepared and focused to play Auburn from the start. If we minimize penalties and turnovers, we should overcome the crowd noise to win this night road game. I am predicting a close 24-17 road win.
Great post
We SHOULD win this game. For all the reasons you listed, I think we either lose a close one, or Elko/Reed are as advertised and we blow them out.
Thank you. I would like a double-digit win, but I am expecting a close win.
Emilio Fantastico
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Outside of the Jimbo years with his horrible road record, we've won at Auburn every time.

The team is in control of its own SEC championship and playoff destiny. It's all on them to see it through.
Iraq2xVeteran
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Emilio Fantastico said:

Outside of the Jimbo years with his horrible road record, we've won at Auburn every time.

The team is in control of its own SEC championship and playoff destiny. It's all on them to see it through.
That is true. It's crazy how Kevin Sumlin went 3-0 in road games at Auburn but 0-3 in home games against Auburn. In contrast, Jimbo Fisher went 2-1 in home games against Auburn but 1-2 in road games at Auburn. The road team won 8 of the first 9 meetings, and the only exception was when we blew a 24-14 lead with 5:14 left to lose 28-24 at Auburn on 11/3/2018. However, the home team has won the last 3 meetings. Hopefully, we end that trend and improve to 5-2 in road games at Auburn.
Emilio Fantastico
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Iraq2xVeteran said:

Emilio Fantastico said:

Outside of the Jimbo years with his horrible road record, we've won at Auburn every time.

The team is in control of its own SEC championship and playoff destiny. It's all on them to see it through.
That is true. It's crazy how Kevin Sumlin went 3-0 in road games at Auburn but 0-3 in home games against Auburn. In contrast, Jimbo Fisher went 2-1 in home games against Auburn but 1-2 in road games at Auburn. The road team won 8 of the first 9 meetings, and the only exception was when we blew a 24-14 lead with 5:14 left to lose 28-24 at Auburn on 11/3/2018. However, the home team has won the last 3 meetings. Hopefully, we end that trend and improve to 5-2 in road games at Auburn.
I was at that game. Mond threw a horrible interception while we were on a long, time consuming drive where we could have pretty much run the clock out or scored again. After that, the defense, that had been stout all game, completely fell apart giving up two quick TD drives.

The saddest part was over half the Auburn fans had already left the stadium by the time Mond threw that pick because they knew the game was over. Oops!
Gb13
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usmcbrooks said:

Such a miserable fan base.




We honestly are. I have to wonder if others are as bad as us…

Could we lose this game? Yes. Do we have a better team and are favored? Also yes. All this anticipatory self flagellation is so toxic here.
JROD9398
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gunan01 said:

TMF said:

We probably do lose, history says we are rarely up for the big task. We don't have a Johnny type player to carry a team. We don't have elite coaching to out game plan someone. Enjoy the ride.
The Aggie teams that I felt more reassured about, meaning I knew we would crush an inferior team, were QB'd by Johnny.

I think the jury is out regarding "elite coaching". If we crush Auburn, I think Elko is an elite coach. I want to see continued improvement as the season progresses, especially against inferior teams. Not sure I saw that vs NMSU.

I am hoping Reed reaches that Johnny level.
100%. I never really worried when Johnny was QB.
JROD9398
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Emilio Fantastico said:

Iraq2xVeteran said:

Emilio Fantastico said:

Outside of the Jimbo years with his horrible road record, we've won at Auburn every time.

The team is in control of its own SEC championship and playoff destiny. It's all on them to see it through.
That is true. It's crazy how Kevin Sumlin went 3-0 in road games at Auburn but 0-3 in home games against Auburn. In contrast, Jimbo Fisher went 2-1 in home games against Auburn but 1-2 in road games at Auburn. The road team won 8 of the first 9 meetings, and the only exception was when we blew a 24-14 lead with 5:14 left to lose 28-24 at Auburn on 11/3/2018. However, the home team has won the last 3 meetings. Hopefully, we end that trend and improve to 5-2 in road games at Auburn.
I was at that game. Mond threw a horrible interception while we were on a long, time consuming drive where we could have pretty much run the clock out or scored again. After that, the defense, that had been stout all game, completely fell apart giving up two quick TD drives.

The saddest part was over half the Auburn fans had already left the stadium by the time Mond threw that pick because they knew the game was over. Oops!
Jimbo's first year, and I believe it was either a short 2nd or 3rd down pass play. So ill advised. We could have run it
Ian Neff
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Ruben Owens might have something to say to all you pearl clutchers.

He will certainly have something to say to the sips.

And that's a 100% guarantee.
Aggie Dad Sip
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Ags truck Auburn in Jordan-Hare. It's not gonna be close.
Texas A&M: 34
Auburn: 10
AGinHI
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Well it's been thirty years, and a thousand tears

And this is the state I'm in...

Muy
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OP, it's okay, we know where you are in the BAS process. Tell us about your childhood. We can get you through this but you have to be honest and willing to take on this battle.
cupcakesprinkles
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Auburn has Thorne as their QB. Outside of NMSU's QB he will be the worst we've faced all year. He loves throwing picks.

He isn't a running QB but can pick up some yards if necessary with his feet. We should have several sacks against him and should t worry about him scrambling or calling running QB reads.



EagleAg
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I expect to win. No excuses. If we are as good as our record suggests we should be able to handle the atmosphere, any misspeaks and anything else.
Justice Beaver
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Ian Neff said:

Ruben Owens might have something to say to all you pearl clutchers.

He will certainly have something to say to the sips.

And that's a 100% guarantee.


From the sideline in street clothes maybe…
Ian Neff
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Nope. You don't know. I do.
AGDAD14
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Bottom line… this Aggie team doesn't play consistently good enough to inspire confidence. Every game is a toss up.
fightintxaggie10
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I think there's a good chance we lose. We aren't the same team after losing LeVeon. If we can't pass consistently, and we can't I'm pretty sure, we just aren't a very good team. Whatever. It's fine. EVERYTHING IS FINE
Ag Tag
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But Auburn is absolutely terrible.
Frok
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It certainly wouldn't shock me if we laid an egg and made next week mean heck of a lot less
stir8ag
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Onionman said:

gunan01 said:

Call it BAS if you want but.....

-Team seems to be plateauing instead of improving over the last two games

I really don't understand when people are complaining about the last game.

We got up very quickly and then it was a glorified scrimmage.

Give me a break with all of you whining about the last game.
People seem fine pointing to our game 2 weeks ago against USCe as a reason why we shouldnt win and have no confidence in us....and then totally ignore Auburn's last SEC game (also 2 weeks ago) where they scored 7 points against Vanderbilt. That game was also at Auburn.

It'll be a close game more than likely but picking us to lose is based on pure emotion and is backed by absolutely nothing Auburn has shown to this point over the last 2 seasons.
Tiger n Miami AU83
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Hello Aggies.

It has been a minute since I posted here and I come in peace. I like yall, well enough anyway. UGA, Bama, LSU and Piss I have a problem with and want to see lose every game in every sport and basically die in a fire.

That said, IMO tomorrow night is gonna be a problem and a more difficult game to win than against TX next weekend. TX was better last year than this year. We are better this year than last year although our record does not reflect it.

We have found ways to lose all year. Everyone we have played with the exception of GA in Athens has needed a lot of help from us to beat us. I'm sure very few will agree with me, but IMO, A&M is going to need help from Auburn to win tomorrow night. Which very well could happen. But if it does not and both teams play at the same level without major mistakes, AU is probably going to win. Play by play we have been better than everyone we have played all year with the exception of GA in Athens.

I'll bottom line my unwanted opinion here. You guys are getting the short end of the stick going into next weekend which understandable means a hell of a lot more, more than any iron bowl game since 2013 or 2010 which are probably comparable emotionally. Tomorrow night is going to be a violent game. Period. Our D is legit and loves contact, too much at times. A&M's D is even better and just as violent. UT plays a beaten down UK team that is ready to throw in the towel IMO.

If AU does win, do not let it beat you twice. If the Aggies win, beat UT and best of luck in Atl and beyond.

Hobbes01
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I feel confident about an Ag win tomorrow.

Then listening to sports radio on the way home they are talking to some betting expert on the phone. They asked him why he picked Auburn and the points. The guy said that one of the best bettors that he knows put $100k on the Auburn money line so that sealed the deal for his pick. Really hope that dude loses all that money.
Tiger n Miami AU83
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I put $1500 on AU to win. For perspective, I've made bigger bets on games this year, but just a handful. Maybe a half dozen or so.

Ags win, I'll be back to say congrats. If not I'll keep my mouth shut and stay away.
LincolnBorglum79
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In our road SEC games this year we easily beat Florida, crushed Miss State and lost to an improving South Carolina despite being tied at half time. Auburn has won 1 SEC game and we have lost only 1 SEC game. Our defense needs to set the tone with pressure and stopping the run. If Moss were healthy this would be a double digit spread I think.

This one looks like a time of possession game where we build a 17-3 halftime lead and come away with a 31-10 victory. But I'll take any win to maintain our season long wire to wire hold on first place in the SEC.
Amarillo Slim
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gunan01 said:

Call it BAS if you want but.....

-Team seems to be plateauing instead of improving over the last two games

-Elko mis-speaks and gives Auburn bulletin board material

-Night game with a raucous crowd at Jordan-Hare

-Line is only A&M -2.5 despite us having an 8-2 record vs a an inferior 4-6 Auburn. Vegas sees what I see.

-our history of playing down to the level of the inferior opponent in highly important games



I would LOVE to see instead from a new coaching regime and a first year starting QB.....

-continued improvement of the team due to better coaching including development of the QB

-no turnovers on the road

-playing UP to our level, instead of playing DOWN to Auburn's level

-


We are 1-1 in November. Statement month for Elko
Artorias
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Still a chance for us to be Texas 8&4,,, again
Ag1188
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jeepdriver54 said:

On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
How could we lose any game ever with all these 3-stars, average QBs, an injured OL that already wasn't great, and in 1st year of a new coach.
OKC~Ag
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our defense against usc was an anomaly....I never saw a QB like sellers, just side step an inch to avoid an incoming A&M defender for a certain sack ... that was frustrating and odd at the same time. usc QB seller made us look silly.

not sure if that milieu can happen again and I think A&M thrashes Auburn for 34 vs 17 A&M big win
Ghost of Bisbee
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Tiger n Miami AU83 said:

Hello Aggies.

It has been a minute since I posted here and I come in peace. I like yall, well enough anyway. UGA, Bama, LSU and Piss I have a problem with and want to see lose every game in every sport and basically die in a fire.

That said, IMO tomorrow night is gonna be a problem and a more difficult game to win than against TX next weekend. TX was better last year than this year. We are better this year than last year although our record does not reflect it.

We have found ways to lose all year. Everyone we have played with the exception of GA in Athens has needed a lot of help from us to beat us. I'm sure very few will agree with me, but IMO, A&M is going to need help from Auburn to win tomorrow night. Which very well could happen. But if it does not and both teams play at the same level without major mistakes, AU is probably going to win. Play by play we have been better than everyone we have played all year with the exception of GA in Athens.

I'll bottom line my unwanted opinion here. You guys are getting the short end of the stick going into next weekend which understandable means a hell of a lot more, more than any iron bowl game since 2013 or 2010 which are probably comparable emotionally. Tomorrow night is going to be a violent game. Period. Our D is legit and loves contact, too much at times. A&M's D is even better and just as violent. UT plays a beaten down UK team that is ready to throw in the towel IMO.

If AU does win, do not let it beat you twice. If the Aggies win, beat UT and best of luck in Atl and beyond.




Your team ain't winnin
Ghost of Bisbee
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gunan01 said:

jeepdriver54 said:

On December 1st our record will be 8-4. Another November crash.
The narrative around Elko and Reed will change dramatically if this happens.

And all that crowing Elko did after the LSU game in the postgame will look incredibly stupid.


Troll
Faustus
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Tiger n Miami AU83 said:

Hello Aggies.

It has been a minute since I posted here and I come in peace. I like yall, well enough anyway. UGA, Bama, LSU and Piss I have a problem with and want to see lose every game in every sport and basically die in a fire.

That said, IMO tomorrow night is gonna be a problem and a more difficult game to win than against TX next weekend. TX was better last year than this year. We are better this year than last year although our record does not reflect it.

We have found ways to lose all year. Everyone we have played with the exception of GA in Athens has needed a lot of help from us to beat us. I'm sure very few will agree with me, but IMO, A&M is going to need help from Auburn to win tomorrow night. Which very well could happen. But if it does not and both teams play at the same level without major mistakes, AU is probably going to win. Play by play we have been better than everyone we have played all year with the exception of GA in Athens.

I'll bottom line my unwanted opinion here. You guys are getting the short end of the stick going into next weekend which understandable means a hell of a lot more, more than any iron bowl game since 2013 or 2010 which are probably comparable emotionally. Tomorrow night is going to be a violent game. Period. Our D is legit and loves contact, too much at times. A&M's D is even better and just as violent. UT plays a beaten down UK team that is ready to throw in the towel IMO.

If AU does win, do not let it beat you twice. If the Aggies win, beat UT and best of luck in Atl and beyond.




It's not quite sock puppet Michael Bishop, but the SEC can't be better in everything.
Amarillo Slim
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Ghost of Bisbee said:

Tiger n Miami AU83 said:

Hello Aggies.

It has been a minute since I posted here and I come in peace. I like yall, well enough anyway. UGA, Bama, LSU and Piss I have a problem with and want to see lose every game in every sport and basically die in a fire.

That said, IMO tomorrow night is gonna be a problem and a more difficult game to win than against TX next weekend. TX was better last year than this year. We are better this year than last year although our record does not reflect it.

We have found ways to lose all year. Everyone we have played with the exception of GA in Athens has needed a lot of help from us to beat us. I'm sure very few will agree with me, but IMO, A&M is going to need help from Auburn to win tomorrow night. Which very well could happen. But if it does not and both teams play at the same level without major mistakes, AU is probably going to win. Play by play we have been better than everyone we have played all year with the exception of GA in Athens.

I'll bottom line my unwanted opinion here. You guys are getting the short end of the stick going into next weekend which understandable means a hell of a lot more, more than any iron bowl game since 2013 or 2010 which are probably comparable emotionally. Tomorrow night is going to be a violent game. Period. Our D is legit and loves contact, too much at times. A&M's D is even better and just as violent. UT plays a beaten down UK team that is ready to throw in the towel IMO.

If AU does win, do not let it beat you twice. If the Aggies win, beat UT and best of luck in Atl and beyond.




Your team ain't winnin


They are not wrong about their team. We will see if Elko has his teams attention.
concac
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gunan01 said:


-Elko mis-speaks and gives Auburn bulletin board material
There are people that think he was being serious?

He was obviously joking.
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