My simple analysis looking at SEC results only have us winning in one scenario and losing on the other

#1 A&M 29-22
#2 LSU 34-21

Weigman SEC games only

Have us winning 34-22

My gut says

41-27

I hope we win in an 8 OT game.
I hope Weigman's knee almost touches the ground

2Legit_92 said:

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For that Auburn game in '13, A&M should've won. We got the shaft on several calls including the blatant horse collar on JFF. So that one shouldn't count against your conf record.

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And I bet he didn't account for half the team being out with the flu in the 2022 Florida game either. Otherwise that one would've turned out differently.

Don't even need to play the game.

Speaking as a statistician/economist/econometrician by training and trade and teaching, it seems that you have yourself a pretty fair country model. It's a matter of how you adjust your coefficients, and to have your overall record in what is a noisy data context is nice. Thoughts?

Most recent history, if you want historicism, is tigger on 3-game losing streak at Kyle, and CW being 1-0 against same HC in previous outing at Kyle. Ags win 20-17 and Connor has 65+ efficient ball control day no turnovers. That is strong ass Aggie football and that's what E is bringing back. TDs from sharp ball control passing for clock burning 1st downs and from defense and running the ball. Other data secondarily supports the idea that he has played well under pressure from tigger DL. Recall how he burned them last time with the floating fade TD over the onrushing DL. Are they really better this time than last? Maybe, but I know our defense is better and so is our OL play. And we mocked and kicked their asses by two digits. Thus the narrow spread, The model and the betting line also supports about a 3-pt MOV.

caleblyn said:

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Dang it Spreadsheet! You and your hope! Just when I was getting comfortable with expecting a loss.

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Ah, the infamous Hope….

The streak is alive

9-0

SpreadsheetAg said:

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There you go. Had ksu nailed and the winner right

vander54 said:

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My simple analysis looking at SEC results only have us winning in one scenario and losing on the other

#1 A&M 29-22
#2 LSU 34-21

Weigman SEC games only

Have us winning 34-22

My gut says

41-27

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Nice!

duff el pud said:

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Cute girl but she needs some work up top.