AGAZ03 said:
Exactly.
Your first year you get a pass with 7 wins.
6 or less and your done.
Every year after that is 9 min.
After 3 years you are expected to be over 10 each year or you're out.
And that is in the SEC West.
Guys once again there is only about 10 coaches who can do this and they all have good jobs.
So unless we are gambling on a new coach like
We did with Sumlin, it ain't happening.
Barring a collapse of epic proportions, or some kind of ethical or contractual breach, any new coach will have three years minimum, no matter what.
If we only win five in the first or second year, well, that's not with his guys. If we win 6 the first two years, and then 8 the third, well, the trend is in the right direction, and he comes back.
And, dollars to donuts, if he wins 7 each of the first 3 years, he comes back for a 4th.
You see it all the time; schools accept less from the replacement than from the guy they fired because they're invested and have no choice.
Another interesting stat (that I couldn't find, but I didn't look that hard) would be the average winning percentage delta the year after a coach is fired in Division 1 programs. I'll be shocked if its not negative.
(Addendum: The more I think about it, the more I think you would have to filter out teams with 4 or fewer wins when the coach is fired, because there's so much headroom in the other direction. Again, I would be very curious to see the actual numbers...)