Ran some math. Not sure if anyone but you and me will nerd out on this but I enjoyed running the numbers.
I have lost 9.2 lbs in the last 27 days (that's to say my seven-day average weight has dropped by 9.2 lbs). That's a total deficit of 32,200.
During this time span I've averaged 1840 calories per day. That's total consumption of 49,680.
Total calorie intake plus deficit is 81,880.
Divide that by 27 days and you get an average 3,032 TDEE.
Put that into some calculators and for someone my weight during that time frame:
At 210 lb:
Some exercise = 2778 TDEE
A lot of exercise = 3148 TDEE
At 200 lb:
Some exercise = 2710 TDEE
A lot of exercise = 3071 TDEE
Before doing this math, I would've guessed that I was between "some" and "a lot" of exercise. So all this seems to line up nicely.
Right now my seven day average is at 201.2. That is 21.4 lbs (74,900 calories) away from my goal.
I have 64 days left in the year. That means I need to average a deficit of 1171 calories per day.
So if I maintain my current calorie intake, I need to keep my TDEE at 3011 per day (on average).
Looking at these numbers I probably need to ramp up the steps a little bit and get that average calorie intake all the way down to 1800. As my weight drops, my TDEE will drop a bit as well. All the way down at 179 lb the estimates for a lot of exercise are about 6% lower.
So I'm on a good trajectory right now but I want to slam dunk this thing.
Don't need any drastic changes from what I'm doing. Just a tad more intentionality.