VAXMaster said:
But don't you think that of the 50% of Costco visits coming from outside Brazos county, a significant piece of that business was previously going to Sam's Club down the street? I'm glad we have Costco but am skeptical that it brought significant new tax revenue versus moving sales from one retailer to another, which is certainly the case for me personally.
Possibly. Cannibalization is probably one of the hardest things to model in retail, since new stores can draw shoppers from outside the area or encourage more impulse buys that otherwise would not have occurred. Food and beverage is easier to model.
A lot of people love and are loyal to Costco. The mom from the Woodlands, shopping for her kid in school, probably isn't getting a Sam's membership. She's probably going to shop at her local Costco and then bring it with her. HEB/Kroger/Walmart may see some cannibalization, but it is really hard to tell how much.
I can tell you that I've pulled the data I have access to, and it doesn't appear to have negatively impacted any grocer in the market.