FM 1431 is closed at Flat Creek and Cow Creek.

Kingsland Slab crossing, Llano river--- massive surge
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1235411588286965

LAke Travis already up 10 feet

BurnetAggie99 said:

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austinag1997 said:

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BurnetAggie99 said:

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I'm out by Oatmeal which by Bertram close to the Cow Creek area but we also have the San Gabriel river that runs through our place. We already had about 5 plus inches from yesterday and this storm is dumping around 6 inches per hour.

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You aren't far from me. In Lago Vista. Its been some time since I have seen sustained rain like this.

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Looks like goin to be almost 18"

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Does this feed into Lake Travis?

Complete Idiot said:

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LAke Travis already up 10 feet

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Buchanan only up a foot in the past 24 hours.

GSS said:

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Kingsland Slab crossing, Llano river--- massive surge
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1235411588286965

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Video does a great job showing the "flash" part of these floods. Valuable teaching tool.

txaggie_08 said:

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Complete Idiot said:

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LAke Travis already up 10 feet

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Buchanan only up a foot in the past 24 hours.

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Give it another 24 hours

Yeah, water is finally reaching it, should raise quite a bit over the next few days.

Quick hijack: Canyon Lake is up 3ft and rising. The current lake elevation is 881.00

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=08167700&legacy=1

Not sure if a separate thread is warranted for Sun City/Georgetown.

https://t.co/5EJC4cVvTv https://t.co/nqyNRRrkMN

— Merissa Hansen (@merissahansen17) July 5, 2025

Anyone hear about Bee Creek flooding? It's a little more down stream.

ABATTBQ87 said:

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Quick hijack: Canyon Lake is up 3ft and rising. The current lake elevation is 881.00

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=08167700&legacy=1

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The crazier thing is the crest in Comfort yesterday was 185000 cfs, the crest at 281 this morning was roughly 35000 cfs. That's a lot of water that got sucked into the ground along the way. Will be interesting to see what happens with all the springs and test wells in the area next week.

Big Al 1992 said:

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Anyone hear about Bee Creek flooding? It's a little more down stream.

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Every time I've looked @ the radar, the rain has been east of 281 and north of Lake Travis. Bee Creek might have gotten some rain, but I wouldn't expect a huge flood is on the way.

Right now the water level appears to be close to normal. The water is very brown. We could see debris floating across the lake closer to the Sunrise Beach side this morning. I'm guessing your house is good.

I'm in the circled area for reference. Sorry, I'm just visiting here, but I think I'm giving you good info.

From former KXAN meteorologist, Jim Spencer:

He thinks Lake Travis may fill up.

LCRA Rainfall since midnight

Bluto said:

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Right now the water level appears to be close to normal. The water is very brown. We could see debris floating across the lake closer to the Sunrise Beach side this morning. I'm guessing your house is good.

I'm in the circled area for reference. Sorry, I'm just visiting here, but I think I'm giving you good info.

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Very minor flooding on lake lbj. The water peaked at about a foot over our dock. If you own property on the lake the main concern would be watercraft that decides to take an unsupervised cruise or anything else light enough to get swept off a dock.

If your kids are disappointed about a canceled trip to the lake you can tell them that thousands of acres of cow poop is now floating around the lake and the water is the color of chocolate milk. Not something you want to swim in.

Daughter sent me a picture of somone's dock that became untethered early yesterday. I can only imagine how many other things have come loose overnight.

I've got friends who own a house on Lake Travis and are up there now. Said the lake is a disaster zone with docks, boats, etc floating everywhere

The northern part of the lake, especially near Kingsland, was not minor flooding

Red Pear Felipe said:

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BurnetAggie99 said:

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austinag1997 said:

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BurnetAggie99 said:

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I'm out by Oatmeal which by Bertram close to the Cow Creek area but we also have the San Gabriel river that runs through our place. We already had about 5 plus inches from yesterday and this storm is dumping around 6 inches per hour.

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You aren't far from me. In Lago Vista. Its been some time since I have seen sustained rain like this.

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Looks like goin to be almost 18"

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Does this feed into Lake Travis?

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San Gabriel River feeds into Lake Georgetown and Granger Lake

Thanks for the update. We have a family member that has a lake home on Sunrise Beach. They were in Wyoming and they canceled their vacation and fly home yesterday cause some friend of his called and told him that LBJ was flooding badly. I had talked with him last night and gave him your updates and that you were at Chevy Cove. His friend insisted the info was wrong and that there was major flooding.
So they got in to SA about 2:00am and drove to the lake this morning to find really nothing according to him.
Seems that his friend was talking about what the Llano was doing coming into the lake…not main lake.
He and his wife and kids not to happy with his "friend".

It's much wider down toward Spring Branch than around Comfort…..and can go into fields etc. not necessarily being sucked into the ground.

Gunny456 said:

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Thanks for the update. We have a family member that has a lake home on Sunrise Beach. They were in Wyoming and they canceled their vacation and fly home yesterday cause some friend of his called and told him that LBJ was flooding badly. I had talked with him last night and gave him your updates and that you were at Chevy Cove. His friend insisted the info was wrong and that there was major flooding.
So they got in to SA about 2:00am and drove to the lake this morning to find really nothing according to him.
Seems that his friend was talking about what the Llano was doing coming into the lake…not main lake.
He and his wife and kids not to happy with his "friend".

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Yeah if you lost a $200k wake boat from its cradle I guess you would call is a catastrophe but a rise of 2.5 ft is just lake life. Can't really blame them for coming though. You just don't know how it's going to play out.

D Nauti said:

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ABATTBQ87 said:

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Quick hijack: Canyon Lake is up 3ft and rising. The current lake elevation is 881.00

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=08167700&legacy=1

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The crazier thing is the crest in Comfort yesterday was 185000 cfs, the crest at 281 this morning was roughly 35000 cfs. That's a lot of water that got sucked into the ground along the way. Will be interesting to see what happens with all the springs and test wells in the area next week.

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Nerd alert...

You'll need to look at the total area under the curve. A sharp ultra high create with equally rapid fall can be the same amount of water that's shallower but longer

Floods will naturally attenuate and slow as they move downstream.
So find an equation to the curve and integrate over time to find the area under and that's the volume of water that passed that point.

In Lago Vista... I have never seen sustained rainfall like this. Like pouring for nearly 48 hrs.

All those lakeside floating docks have been cranked and lowered down tight at low settings, now on Buchanan and especially Travis they're going to go up 20 feet in a couple of days, most without someone there to unwind the anchor winches. Lots of dock anchored MMR are going to be shifted or docks damaged by excessive tension or being unable to float higher. That in turn can trap boats or allow them to float free. It's going to be some chaos.

I'm originally from Kingsland and I still have family there. One of my B-I-L is a ranger at inks lake SP. he said water crested at 33' at the Kingsland slab.

My brother is a commissioner in San Saba county. He said the river is starting to go down there now. Said Hwy 16 is still impassable (I think towards Goldthwaite) and water got all the way up to the Bar D restaurant in town. No lives lost around there as far as they know.

austinag1997 said:

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In Lago Vista... I have never seen sustained rainfall like this. Like pouring for nearly 48 hrs.

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That was hurricane Harvey for us in Houston area to give you an idea...except we are flat land

Kenneth_2003 said:

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D Nauti said:

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ABATTBQ87 said:

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Quick hijack: Canyon Lake is up 3ft and rising. The current lake elevation is 881.00

https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?site_no=08167700&legacy=1

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The crazier thing is the crest in Comfort yesterday was 185000 cfs, the crest at 281 this morning was roughly 35000 cfs. That's a lot of water that got sucked into the ground along the way. Will be interesting to see what happens with all the springs and test wells in the area next week.

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Nerd alert...

You'll need to look at the total area under the curve. A sharp ultra high create with equally rapid fall can be the same amount of water that's shallower but longer

Floods will naturally attenuate and slow as they move downstream.
So find an equation to the curve and integrate over time to find the area under and that's the volume of water that passed that point.

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Figured it out, if you look at the USGS gauges where you can scroll up or down the river to the river. Kerrville crested at a little over 100000 cfs. If you go down to Center Point the crest is about 35000 cfs. Then it goes to 185000 cfs at Comfort. Last time I drove from Kerrville to Center Point to Comfort it's pretty flat, and on a map follows the river fairly close.

Looks like the USGS is using different ways to estimate the flow at different points.

I'm on LBJ near 2900 bridge on Llano arm. It hit us at 7 pm and at 1 am was still about 5' above normal for an over rise of about 7' above the 2' drop that they had lowered to on anticipation of the water coming down.

And, it takes the floodwater crest about 12 hours to make the trip from Llano dam to me.

Also, for the last two days we have watched the Llano flowing backwards from the Colorado release.

Be safe out there my friend.

I'm not really cut out for this. The floods don't bother me much, I just need a closer pasture than what I have. A fellow oughta be able to walk off the porch and be in the brush before long. Houses are crammed together here on the lake.