The damn cone of uncertainty keeps drifting north.
rab79 said:
The damn cone of uncertainty keeps drifting north.
Duckhook said:rab79 said:
The damn cone of uncertainty keeps drifting north.
Yeah, but look at the projected path. Last plot looks like somewhere between maybe Del Rio and San Antonio. Unless something changes on Friday, I'm probably putting some boards up this weekend.
[url=https://ibb.co/W0nW1SH][/url]
TikkaShooter said:
X2
I'll be very sad if the storm puts SA on the dry side
Quote:
I'll be very sad if the storm puts SA on the dry
Looking more and more like it will.
****. Everything west of Seguin just can't catch a damn break.
Breakdown of the blocking highHubert J. Farnsworth said:
What is causing this thing to shift East? Usually it's high pressure systems that keep hurricanes and tropical storms from making it into Southwest Texas. As far as I can see, there isn't a high pressure system sitting over us.
There was a high pressure ridge over the SE that was extending over into Texas that was blocking it from coming north. Looks like with the storm slowing down more than predicted during the approach to the Yucatan and moving slowly over the peninsula, the point where the hurricane will be when the ridge erodes and allows it to turn north has shifted to the east. Levi will probably explain it better when his video comes out a few hours from now.Hubert J. Farnsworth said:
What is causing this thing to shift East? Usually it's high pressure systems that keep hurricanes and tropical storms from making it into Southwest Texas. As far as I can see, there isn't a high pressure system sitting over us.
ABATTBQ11 said:
I know. I'm in far west SA and facing the same stuff. Seems like anything coming from the west dies just outside Bandera or doesn't come quite this far south until it's east of 35. Anything from the south doesn't get this far north. Anything from the north doesn't get this far south.
ttha_aggie_09 said:
This is how it has been near Concan. Enough rain to keep it greener than in years past but not enough rain for runoff.
My experience is that these storms that take a direct line at BRO always bounce north. Or they head straight west and land far enough in Mexico that there is little impact on south Texas. Given the reports on conditions affecting Beryl, its easy to see where this storm takes a turn to the right as the ridge keeping it south dissipates and allows for the northern turn in the storm's track.RGV AG said:
Until that storm comes off the Yucatan and dabbles with the Bay of Campeche a bit, don't count anything out. How many storms in the past 40 years have had a direct bead, supposedly, on BRO and STX and all of a sudden made sharp left turns as they traveled.