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2017 Hurricane Season

675,778 Views | 3704 Replies | Last: 7 yr ago by Swarely
Charpie
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I hope you don't take my comment the wrong way. It wasn't meant to come across that way
VaultingChemist
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18Z HWRF 72-hour rainfall totals:



60" near Houston
fightingfarmer09
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Wife and young son riding it out north of El Campo. I'm stuck in Dallas until 9:30am then running home to join them. Feel terribly guilty and pissed off about work, but will soldier through.

Dad moving the cows from the Brazos bottom tomorrow morning. Super stressed out being away.

ETA: some of these outlier random models don't help to build confidence.
Premium
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What are your companies doing as far as calling work off? Specifically Houstonians?
Cromagnum
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VaultingChemist said:

18Z HWRF 72-hour rainfall totals:



60" near Houston


I'm not buying that. 62 inches of rain in Katy, and almost zero south of Houston?
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GinaLinetti
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Can someone mark Austin San Antonio and Houston? I'm bad at maps.
carpe vinum
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Charpie said:

I find it funny how something like that would be a rumor. Like the storm is communicating with its cousin inland and chit chatting about where to crash for the night.
Waterfront retirees are a special breed. That "rumor" does not surprise me in the least. I've spent years observing them, and am no closer to understanding them.
https://i.imgur.com/uReoXE6.gif
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Emotional Support Cobra
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Old people chit chat
Poke_the_Bear
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Not at all Charpie, your great. I probably shouldn't post big speculation and my source is suspect anyways.

Being from Rockport this has my all attention. Figure my house might not be there when I get back
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I've called it a half day for us (also work from home). Figured everyone would be as glued to this as I am and would need time to soak it all in and prepare with their family, even if it's not going to be horrible (we are in north Houston)
TheVarian
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Premium said:

What are your companies doing as far as calling work off? Specifically Houstonians?
Use good "discretion"
Ogre09
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I'm in Freeport, and we're apparently still business as usual.
VaultingChemist
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The totals are for Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. Doesn't include Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.
gigemJTH12
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Ogre09 said:

I'm in Freeport, and we're apparently still business as usual.
I am in freeport and they already shut down my project for Friday and Monday.

I bet it turns into Tuesday and maybe wednesday too
Tx-Ag2010
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Same here... We are getting cut loose at 2pm tomorrow. It is nice to be non-essential every now and then.
VaultingChemist
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CherryLodes said:

Can someone mark Austin San Antonio and Houston? I'm bad at maps.
The interstate highways are shown on the map....I10, I35, and I45, which roughly frame the area of highest rainfall totals.
Charlie Delta
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Map with cities.

G. hirsutum Ag
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So it looks like they backed off on the rain some and shifted impact closer to corpus now
Rick Dalton
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Charlie Delta said:

Map with cities.


Somebody posted this exact map last night on Facebook. Just saying it's an old map, in Harvey Time.
gigemJTH12
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yeah...that map is not current
VaultingChemist
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Paths of different models:



Rainfall forecast totals will vary greatly dependent on which model is used.
Ag_07
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Stick to the most current NHC stuff. It's the most reliable.

For our company we're business as usual but do what you need to do for you and your family. If I was away from my family and work wouldn't let me get back I'd be booking it here and updating the resume this weekend.
Jaydoug
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The Fall Guy said:

Models show direct hit on or just slightly North of Corpus.




They should call that the Backlash map. Looks like someone cast a 1/8oz spoon into the Harvey's windward side.
carpe vinum
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blazing7s94 said:

Charlie Delta said:

Map with cities.


Somebody posted this exact map last night on Facebook. Just saying it's an old map, in Harvey Time.
In Harvey time... exactly. 24 hrs ago strong indications had it headed to Mexico after landfall.

Yeah, I wrote a looooong post a little while ago talking about the last 24 hrs, models, wobbles, a few what nots... just deleted it.
By this point, no one is listening.
On one hand you understand the reluctance to heed advice as a most veer off, and you wasted effort.
On the other, there will be folks that wait too long, and have harrowing tales of how bad it was.
Not to mention those that put first responders in jeopardy.
https://i.imgur.com/uReoXE6.gif
carpe vinum
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Jaydoug said:

The Fall Guy said:

Models show direct hit on or just slightly North of Corpus.




They should call that the Backlash map. Looks like someone cast a 1/8oz spoon into the Harvey's windward side.
Excellent analogy. I've seen that exact pattern on an old Ambassador reel of mine.
https://i.imgur.com/uReoXE6.gif
fightingfarmer09
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From Michael Berry (satire/joke):

AggieAces06
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Does anyone have an updated rain estimate map? I have been searching but can't seem to find one.
austinAG90
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Drove to POC - got the boat and stuff. Helped Board the lodge. City was in panic mode. Speedy Stop was boarding up as were most houses. Many RV's and boats were still there at 4. Going to floating crap everywhere

Also on drive back must have seen at least 25+ RV's and boats on the side of the road with blown out tires.
G. hirsutum Ag
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212153.shtml?#contents
AggieAces06
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Thanks! Looking like 10-15 inches in the College Station area...
austinAG90
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Not since 1990 when I graduated
G. hirsutum Ag
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Looks like most of the models are backing off on the strength too
Cromagnum
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Seven said:



Looks like most of the models are backing off on the strength too


You do realize that is after landfall right?
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