1.5" plus in Concan so far

ttha_aggie_09 said:

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1.5" plus in Concan so far

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Awesome.....hoping for a few more!!

Hoping to get some in Waco, the odds keep decreasing.

We haven't had a drop in 4 weeks.

At least 5" now near Concan since yesterday.

My folks said they've gotten 2.5" in the concho valley this week. They need it bad.

Finally got about .1" yesterday. Hopefully, we get some more today. September has been very dry.

EMY92 said:

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Hoping to get some in Waco, the odds keep decreasing.

We haven't had a drop in 4 weeks.

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This
Rained just enough yesterday to be able to see the pavement get wet at home.

Just under 5 inches in Calallen last night and still raining.

4.6" so far in Rio Medina the past four days. We need some sunshine, then another rain.

9/29/17 Now it's 5" and looks like its probably over. That was great. The pasture had gone to dust before this.

0.4" in Ellis County today. We've been extremely dry since early/mid August.

3" in Tilden between yesterday and this morning

Rumor is the Nueces will fill Lake Corpus Christi........


......only to be let out to the bay for salinity balance.

B-1 83 said:

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Rumor is the Nueces will fill Lake Corpus Christi........


......only to be let out to the bay for salinity balance.

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Need to get the frio flowing.

The nerves used to flow full time into the bay for salinity balance

It might be flowing based on rainfall in that area the last couple of days.

What B1-83 was referring to is part of the operations requirements for Lake Corpus Christi (Lake Mathis). When the dam was built, the feds required that certain flows be maintained into the bay to balance the salinity. A lot of folks were at the time, and still are, up in arms that water impounded for drinking must be dumped into the bay. The reasoning being that it's a river in South Texas that does throughout the year go dry on its own.

My point is, that historically I don't think that was always the case. Prior to increased demands on groundwater, from the bay all the way to the headwaters in the western hill country, I think the Nueces and the Frio rivers flowed perennially. However as you see more land, especially in the headwaters carved into ranchitos the shallow aquifers are drawn down and the springs dry up. This is made worse by proliferation of non-native plants like ash juniper which are far more water wasting. South of the hill country the Nueces flows through regions with a lot of center-pivot as well.

All of this, I believe, combined to create rivers that were intermittent.

Gotcha. Thanks for the background info!

B-1 83 said:

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Rumor is the Nueces will fill Lake Corpus Christi........


......only to be let out to the bay for salinity balance.

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thats disappointing

Victoria has had 7" this week

About 7" in Concan this week. Soaking rain and no flooding. Good stuff!

Kenneth_2003 said:

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B-1 83 said:

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Rumor is the Nueces will fill Lake Corpus Christi........


......only to be let out to the bay for salinity balance.

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Need to get the frio flowing.

The nerves used to flow full time into the bay for salinity balance

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I don't buy it. I suspect it went dry fairly often in that last 80 miles, with large standing pools.

Rule of thumb for Texas rainfall:

Avg rainfall x 2 = highest recorded rainfall

Avg rainfall / 2 = lowest recorded rainfall

fightingfarmer09 said:

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Rule of thumb for Texas rainfall:

Avg rainfall x 2 = highest recorded rainfall

Avg rainfall / 2 = lowest recorded rainfall

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True, but it seems the past 5 years I've seen both. Lost a bunch of trees and all forage grass to drought a few years back, now I'm actually losing trees to drowning.
Kinda crazy and I'm just a hobby farmer with nothing more than shade and forage grass on the line.

I can live with that.

It's funny because I'm pretty sure the Almanac predicted the opposite

For the Texas/Oklahoma region except the panhandle

ANNUAL WEATHER SUMMARY: NOVEMBER 2017 TO OCTOBER 2018
Winter will be colder than normal, with above-normal precipitation. The coldest periods will be from late November into early December, from late December into early January, and in early February. Snowfall will be near to above normal, with the snowiest periods in late December and early to mid-February. April and May will be cooler and rainier than normal. Summer will be cooler and rainier than normal, with the hottest periods in mid-July and mid-August. Expect a hurricane threat in late August. September and October will be warmer and rainier than normal. Watch for a tropical storm threat in early September.

Irish_Man said:

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I want to believe the farmers almanac.

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WHAT, ??? No way man. I really really need noaa

Of course, '40-60% ' is pretty much a non forecast and a logic failure. Basically that means 50% chance of warmer and drier, 50% colder and wetter. Not much of a forecast.

Any Big Country/Concho Valley rain totals from today? Hope the farmer at our ranch got the wheat in Monday or Tuesday.

Thread bump for almanac getting it right so far

Seven said:

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Thread bump for almanac getting it right so far

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Except Central Texas & North was cold & wet, to the south should have had the snow flake.