He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

94chem said:

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CascadiaAg said:

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94chem said:

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txyaloo said:

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redcrayon said:

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txyaloo said:

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LoudestWHOOP! said:

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billydean05 said:

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I don't know. I voted at the MSC and lines were long. Lots of 19-22 year olds voting this is Talarico leading segment. I am a little concerned in the numbers I saw,

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Why are ANY college students voting for someone who wants to bankrupt the country and bring in foreigners to take their jobs?

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All of the ones I know, who are conservative otherwise, are pissed at the republicans for banning THC. They're actually getting their friends to vote over a single issue. They don't know anything else about politics. Dan Patrick really screwed the state with his vendetta to ban something federally legal.

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I'd be embarrassed if my kids were voting based on pot. Talk about failed parenting.

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It's 2026... the pot wars are lost. Kids smoke pot and don't really drink. Dan Patrick's thc ban would be like Republicans supporting alcohol prohibition in 1926. Now imagine you are 21, and alcohol was suddenly banned. You likely would have been pissed and voted for the other party. These are all kids who voted for Trump 2 years ago.

Stick your head in the sand all you want but this is a major issue with the youth and will continue to impact elections here. Let's not turn this into a weed good vs weed bad discussion. Doesn't matter what side of that argument you're on, it won't change how the 18-21yr olds are voting.

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On top of this, the Republicans didn't even care. They just sold their vote to the highest bidders. Another reason why I just voted for them to all go to hell for the first time in 36 years.

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Congratulations on your higher taxes, unlimited immigration, and more crime.

But you really showed them, didn't you?

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Deal with it.

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Lolz

No. Because I don't live in Texas and don't have to deal with all the idiocy of your decision other than the low-T pedo senator.. But way to stand on principles knowing there is no difference really between Democrats and Republicans selling out to other parties and not focusing on voters. But you for some reason seem to think in this instance it is actually going to make a difference.

Seems like you're the one that needs to "deal with it"

What you don't realize is most people don't care about income tax increases because it doesn't impact them. They basically pay very little as it is. It's what the Dems love.

backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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Wait...it's a "he"?

nortex97 said:

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+5 so far, heading toward noon.

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Can someone explain this to me? How much would a $200 bet on Paxton payout for example? I am so used to vegas style odds.

CascadiaAg said:

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94chem said:

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CascadiaAg said:

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94chem said:

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txyaloo said:

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redcrayon said:

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txyaloo said:

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LoudestWHOOP! said:

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billydean05 said:

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I don't know. I voted at the MSC and lines were long. Lots of 19-22 year olds voting this is Talarico leading segment. I am a little concerned in the numbers I saw,

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Why are ANY college students voting for someone who wants to bankrupt the country and bring in foreigners to take their jobs?

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All of the ones I know, who are conservative otherwise, are pissed at the republicans for banning THC. They're actually getting their friends to vote over a single issue. They don't know anything else about politics. Dan Patrick really screwed the state with his vendetta to ban something federally legal.

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I'd be embarrassed if my kids were voting based on pot. Talk about failed parenting.

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It's 2026... the pot wars are lost. Kids smoke pot and don't really drink. Dan Patrick's thc ban would be like Republicans supporting alcohol prohibition in 1926. Now imagine you are 21, and alcohol was suddenly banned. You likely would have been pissed and voted for the other party. These are all kids who voted for Trump 2 years ago.

Stick your head in the sand all you want but this is a major issue with the youth and will continue to impact elections here. Let's not turn this into a weed good vs weed bad discussion. Doesn't matter what side of that argument you're on, it won't change how the 18-21yr olds are voting.

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On top of this, the Republicans didn't even care. They just sold their vote to the highest bidders. Another reason why I just voted for them to all go to hell for the first time in 36 years.

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Congratulations on your higher taxes, unlimited immigration, and more crime.

But you really showed them, didn't you?

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Deal with it.

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Lolz

No. Because I don't live in Texas and don't have to deal with the idiocy of your decision. But way to stand on principles knowing there is no difference really between Democrats and Republicans selling out to other parties and not focusing on voters. But you for some reason seem to think in this instance it is actually going to make a difference.

Seems like you're the one that needs to "deal with it"

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So you think under republican/conservative leadership, the exact same things would happen in places like Dearborn? Minneapolis? Urban California? Manhattan? etc?

$200 would pay about $440 plus your vet back so $640

backintexas2013 said:

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$200 would pay about $440 plus your vet back so $640

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Forgive me, but how is that calculated from that graphic?

Is it pretty easy to deposit and withdraw from kalshi? I am very tempted.

The percentage number is the implied odds. So a 30% number is roughly +233.

Hardcore Greg said:

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94chem said:

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Went libertarian in the senate race and republican for Harris County judge.

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But you voted for Hinojosa and Talarico right? You realize Talarico may very well be to the left of AOC and is a complete liar and a heretic. That is policies are extremely anti-female? Right?

But at least you got to throw a weird temper tantrum!

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At least I threw a literate one.

OP - When Paxton looks like he might win.

backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

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None of those guys you mentioned would ever vote did a modern Democrat. Not a single one.

Teslag said:

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94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

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None of those guys you mentioned would ever vote did a modern Democrat. Not a single one.

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This!

Prediction markets/pollsters alike got Guam wrong until the very end in favor of the Democrat (as always), fwiw. Not the biggest deal, but for those who see prediction markets as...predictive in this case I think it illustrates again why that is not necessarily the case.

funny how the "predictive markets" seem to be utter crap as well pic.twitter.com/jy9cegbPe5

— Business Tactical (@Bacon_Is_King) November 3, 2026

94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing

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What destruction? I saw people staying within the purple velvet ropes.

Quote:

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, and claiming that God was on their side

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Who was claiming this? The people doing the destruction? The one guy that broke a window also claimed to be a Christian?

Hardcore Greg said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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$200 would pay about $440 plus your vet back so $640

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Forgive me, but how is that calculated from that graphic?

Is it pretty easy to deposit and withdraw from kalshi? I am very tempted.

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At 30% Paxton, a $1 winning bet costs you $0.30.

So $300 buys you 1,000 bets at $0.30 each, for a $1,000 payout at $1 per bet.

Total dollars on the Paxton/Talarico Kalshi race is at $97MM. That's a significant amount of coin.

Are you still screaming you are a warrior too?

backintexas2013 said:

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Are you still screaming you are a warrior too?

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You in Douglass Wilson's cult or something? Can't remember. Peace to you.

No clue who that is. You called yourself a warrior on some other thread and people thought it was funny.

Good example, but the Guam race had a total of $100k in bets and the TX Senate race is nearing $100MM (Kalshi).

No argument on that but the chances a race shifts right late on kalshi etc are much higher I think. Not sure where to find this data cleanly today:

BREAKING: Democrats odds to control the Senate decrease on Election Day as Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and Maine shift Republican pic.twitter.com/jUFWohg08X

— Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 3, 2026

Teslag said:

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94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

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None of those guys you mentioned would ever vote did a modern Democrat. Not a single one.

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Those guys would get together and make fun of that poster behind his or her back.

Hardcore Greg said:

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Teslag said:

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94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

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None of those guys you mentioned would ever vote did a modern Democrat. Not a single one.

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Those guys would get together and make fun of that poster behind his or her back.

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Is that the same guy who was telling everyone on here that he's a better Christian than anyone else and was flat out looking down on anyone else as below him? And that he's infallible and basically would never ever sin, but almost gleefully looks down on the entirety of the human race as being inferior to his perfection? He can do no wrong. He's the definition of Christlike, especially in humility, so you best not talk bad about him. He is your superior in all ways and you better not question his purity and ever present wisdom.

If that was someone else, then I apologize for my mistake.

backintexas2013 said:

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Are you still screaming you are a warrior too?

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I didn't see this response. Haha yep, it is the same self righteous guy. That guy's hilarious.

Man, I wish I were that humble. Then I could look down on everyone with Gods blessing. Must be nice being better than literally everyone in the history of the world.

Just dropped $300 on Pax, thanks for the heads up!

Hmmm....

The @Kalshi market just flipped for @bofrench and has him at 54%. pic.twitter.com/CMmGXy15pG

— Tony Ortiz (Current Revolt) (@CurrentRevolt) November 3, 2026

Smaller market, of course.

The only statewide politician in Texas at risk is Paxton because he's been dinged up politically so much in the past. The rest of these characters are milquetoast Texas republicans that will get every (R) vote regardless of how many, "I'm a reporklikin but that Ken Paxton...." ads they run.

Zut alors! said:

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Hardcore Greg said:

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Teslag said:

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94chem said:

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backintexas2013 said:

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He has been a lib since Covid. Let it go

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I've never been a lib. But I jumped off MAGA after Jan 6th when I saw the destruction that people were causing , and claiming that God was on their side. Just not the Jesus I've known for 47 years. I hope the Republican party will repent during some time in opposition, and repudiate its mistakes, and become a place that once again represents actual conservatism, and not this pseudo-religious caricature. I already have a religion. What I need is Buckley, Noonan, Will, Reagan, Friedman, Sowell. Not that I always agree with them, but they had a backbone and integrity.

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None of those guys you mentioned would ever vote did a modern Democrat. Not a single one.

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Those guys would get together and make fun of that poster behind his or her back.

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Is that the same guy who was telling everyone on here that he's a better Christian than anyone else and was flat out looking down on anyone else as below him? And that he's infallible and basically would never ever sin, but almost gleefully looks down on the entirety of the human race as being inferior to his perfection? He can do no wrong. He's the definition of Christlike, especially in humility, so you best not talk bad about him. He is your superior in all ways and you better not question his purity and ever present wisdom.

If that was someone else, then I apologize for my mistake.

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You served polecat sammiches at your wedding, right? If that was another poster, I apologize.

Seriously, I have nothing to offer anyone, save for the words, aroma, and reflection of Christ. To the extent I do it well, it is to his glory. To the extent I fail, it is my sin that his grace forgives.

Cant stand Paxton but hate Talarico, so voted Rep there. I voted libertarian just about everywhere else I could and R on the ones without a Libertarian. I actually do hope the some Republicans lose. They need to be held accountable for their bull*****

TwoGloves said:

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Just dropped $300 on Pax, thanks for the heads up!

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Same...$300 on Paxton and $100 on Abbott

Lathspell said:

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Cant stand Paxton but hate Talarico, so voted Rep there. I voted libertarian just about everywhere else I could and R on the ones without a Libertarian. I actually do hope the some Republicans lose. They need to be held accountable for their bull*****

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Vote them out in the primaries then, that's what they're there for. I say this a fellow fiscal conservative.

Same. I got it at 28 this morning. Thinking about buying more right now since he's at 26. Then sell off the 200 position when it covers the 300, and let the rest ride