JWinTX said:
If WW2 goes to the Nazis/Japanese, the world would have had so many more holocausts, it's not even something you or I could imagine. Almost anyone who was a Communist would have been murdered. Anyone who was not able to meet the Nazi definition of acceptable would've been killed. Africans, Middle Easterners, and Indians/Pakistanis are murdered by the Nazis taking over.
The Japs would've slaughtered Chinese even further, same with Koreans, Filipinos, and Australia/New Zealand. But in the end, even if a few decades had to pass, the Nazis would've taken over and beaten the Japanese Empire. I think then and only then would an invasion of North America have taken place.
But WW 2 is United States involvement. It becomes something different, still a world war, but something else, if you don't have the USA as an active military participant. Your first paragraph is probably correct.
But the second, you have to remember, the Tripartite Pact itself is a product of WW II. Many Japanese did not want it (Alliances can be traps for the bad guys just as much as good guys and it was) Some of the things you are describing the Japanese do not do if you don't have Pearl Harbor. It doesn't happen. That came from the oil cut off.
So yes, Chinese, and some others. Probably not Filipinos or Australia/New Zealand because that again is after war with the U.S. and Britain starts. If the Asian War remains China focused, then many things change. You see our oil embargo is what put Japan on a clock, and that itself was a result of Japan's occupation (not so much invasion) of Indo-China because with France having surrendered to Germany, Japan exploited that and the Vichy govt to over-run the French held territory we would come to know as Viet Nam. They wanted to do this to open a second front for the Japanese Army in their war with China (think of Belgium as another way into France for Germany) Since France was on its back and we didn't agree with Vichy, we embargoed Japan and cut off all oil to punish that incursion.