Looks like Trump is avoiding war. Love it.
Agree it is very complex and that has been factored in to my assessment that the strikes and likely subsequent actions including regime change will lead to expanded Abraham Accords. In fact, it is part of the rationale for the strikes.jaborch99 said:
It's true that some see Iran's nuclear ambitions and regime as obstacles to broader normalization in the region. But the situation is far more complex than suggesting military strikes alone will "extend" the Abraham Accords or guarantee Saudi-Israeli normalization.
Recent developments show Saudi Arabia is actually prioritizing engagement and de-escalation with Iran, not confrontation. Saudi officials have held high-level talks in Tehran and signaled they don't want their territory used for military operations against Iran. (see here). Riyadh's approach is currently focused on dialogue and avoiding escalation, not regime change or military solutions.
While some Israeli and U.S. officials hope that weakening Iran will open the door to normalization, most experts agree that Saudi Arabia's willingness to normalize with Israel depends on a broader set of issues - including progress on the Palestinian question and regional stability - not just Iran's nuclear status or leadership. In fact, ongoing conflict and instability make normalization harder, not easier.
So while military action may shift some calculations, long-term peace and expanded normalization are more likely to come from diplomacy, regional engagement, and addressing core disputes not just strikes or regime change.
Losing millions of American soldiers whilst likely causing 10s of millions of Japanese civilian death from direct conflict, then disease and famine with a prolonged military invasion of mainland Japan would have been what... better?KillerAg21 said:
250,000 civilians died and two cities wiped away in the single largest mass casualty event in world history. To say America was completely justified to kill civilians and it is not an atrocity is frankly insane. Based on your posting history I am truly not surprised though.
So calling be dumb, stupid is an improvement in fostering discussion?Jet White said:Quote:
You are the ONLY one who REPEATEDLY tries to silence folks with snark and name calling. Happy to discuss things, but you should cut out the name calling all the time.
You are quite literally labeling people un-American with zero support behind it whatsoever. Strategic disagreements don't make you in-American, any person with an IQ above room temperature understands this.
The fact that you can claim other people are trying to silence debate when you've been using "you are Un-American for disagreeing with this line of argumentation" (literally) is hilarious. How in the world does that supposition further substantive discussion in the slightest? It does the exact opposite. Exactly as it's intended to.
KillerAg21 said:
250,000 civilians died and two cities wiped away in the single largest mass casualty event in world history. To say America was completely justified to kill civilians and it is not an atrocity is frankly insane. Based on your posting history I am truly not surprised though.
I appreciate your willingness to engage on the details. But recent developments show that normalization and long-term peace are not simply a matter of military strikes or regime change in Iran.flown-the-coop said:Agree it is very complex and that has been factored in to my assessment that the strikes and likely subsequent actions including regime change will lead to expanded Abraham Accords. In fact, it is part of the rationale for the strikes.jaborch99 said:
It's true that some see Iran's nuclear ambitions and regime as obstacles to broader normalization in the region. But the situation is far more complex than suggesting military strikes alone will "extend" the Abraham Accords or guarantee Saudi-Israeli normalization.
Recent developments show Saudi Arabia is actually prioritizing engagement and de-escalation with Iran, not confrontation. Saudi officials have held high-level talks in Tehran and signaled they don't want their territory used for military operations against Iran. (see here). Riyadh's approach is currently focused on dialogue and avoiding escalation, not regime change or military solutions.
While some Israeli and U.S. officials hope that weakening Iran will open the door to normalization, most experts agree that Saudi Arabia's willingness to normalize with Israel depends on a broader set of issues - including progress on the Palestinian question and regional stability - not just Iran's nuclear status or leadership. In fact, ongoing conflict and instability make normalization harder, not easier.
So while military action may shift some calculations, long-term peace and expanded normalization are more likely to come from diplomacy, regional engagement, and addressing core disputes not just strikes or regime change.
Israel rendered the Palestinian situation moot. Well, Hamas rendered it moot with the October 7th action. Long-term peace more often results from decisive military action than from diplomacy.
Can you help me with what "core disputes" were left to address with Iran? They want a nuclear weapon to kill us and Israel and we said no? They want to sponsor terrorist groups to attack us and our allies in the region and we said no?
What about the last 45 years of the regime in Iran has suggested that we just need to understand them better and it will be good.
You do realize they planned, funded and executed assassination attempts on Trump?
You think the war with Japan would have ended how then? here is some background on the decisioning and there are countless history books and programs for you to learn more about this particular subject.KillerAg21 said:
Millions upon millions of deaths that didn't happen is justification to literally incinerate an entire population. Yes that is insane logic.
It's fear porn disguised as patriotism.
Quote:
Years of fighting brought the US armed forces closer and closer to Japan as they "hopped" from one island to another. The Japanese were vicious fighters, however, and every victory cost more time, material, and, sadly, lives. The last major battle, the fight for Okinawa, lasted almost three months and took more than 100,000 Japanese and American lives.
After President Roosevelt died on April 12th, 1945, it became Harry Truman's job to decide how to end the war. The thought of invading Japan gave Truman and his advisors pause. The war had shown that the Japanese were fighting for the Emperor who convinced them that it was better to die than surrender. Women and children had been taught how to kill with basic weapons. Japanese kamikaze pilots could turn planes into guided missiles. The cost of invasion, they knew, would be high.
Upon becoming president, Harry Truman learned of the Manhattan Project, a secret scientific effort to create an atomic bomb. After a successful test of the weapon, Truman issued the Potsdam Declaration demanding the unconditional surrender of the Japanese government, warning of "prompt and utter destruction." Eleven days later, on August 6, 1945, having received no reply, an American bomber called the Enola Gay left the Tinian Island in route toward Japan. In the belly of the bomber was "Little Boy," an atomic bomb. At 8:15 am Hiroshima time, "Little Boy" was dropped. The result was approximately 80,000 deaths in just the first few minutes. Thousands died later from radiation sickness. On August 9, 1945, another bomber was in route to Japan, only this time they were heading for Nagasaki with "Fat Man," another atomic bomb. After the first minute of dropping "Fat Man," 39,000 men, women and children were killed. 25,000 more were injured. Both cities were leveled from the bombs and this, in turn, forced Japan to surrender to the United States. The war was finally over.
250,000 =/ entire population. You can't even keep up with your BS posts!KillerAg21 said:
Millions upon millions of deaths that didn't happen is justification to literally incinerate an entire population. Yes that is insane logic.
It's fear porn disguised as patriotism.
KillerAg21 said:
Millions upon millions of deaths that didn't happen is justification to literally incinerate an entire population. Yes that is insane logic.
It's fear porn disguised as patriotism.
Seems like Trump and Saudi were on the same page with trying diplomacy first. Iran refused our offers and evidently disregarded Saudi's engagement on this matter.jaborch99 said:
I appreciate your willingness to engage on the details. But recent developments show that normalization and long-term peace are not simply a matter of military strikes or regime change in Iran.
Saudi Arabia, for example, has consistently prioritized engagement and de-escalation with Iran, even warning Tehran to pursue diplomacy to avoid war with Israel. Saudi officials have held high-level talks with Iran and signaled they don't want further escalation, or their territory used for attacks. Riyadh's approach is focused on dialogue, not confrontation or forced regime change.
While some in Israel and the U.S. hope that weakening Iran will open the door to expanded Abraham Accords, most regional experts agree that Saudi normalization with Israel depends on a broader set of issues - including progress on the Palestinian question and regional stability - not just Iran's nuclear ambitions or leadership. Ongoing conflict and instability actually make normalization harder, not easier.
As for "core disputes," they go beyond just Iran's nuclear program. They include proxy conflicts, regional influence, and unresolved issues with groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis. That's why both sides have held multiple rounds of direct talks in recent years, trying to find a framework for coexistence - even if progress has been slow.
Military action may shift calculations in the short term, but sustainable peace and expanded normalization are far more likely to come from diplomacy, regional engagement, and addressing these core disputes - not just strikes or regime change.
Quote:
The fact is America created this reality after 1945 and the Cold War.
It's true that both the Trump administration and Saudi Arabia tried to pursue diplomacy with Iran, including direct offers for talks and warnings about the risks of escalation. Saudi officials have repeatedly engaged in high-level meetings with Iran, emphasizing dialogue and even warning Tehran to reach a deal to avoid war with Israel. Despite deep mistrust, both sides have participated in multiple rounds of direct talks in recent years, aiming to reduce tensions and address core disputes.flown-the-coop said:Seems like Trump and Saudi were on the same page with trying diplomacy first. Iran refused our offers and evidently disregarded Saudi's engagement on this matter.jaborch99 said:
I appreciate your willingness to engage on the details. But recent developments show that normalization and long-term peace are not simply a matter of military strikes or regime change in Iran.
Saudi Arabia, for example, has consistently prioritized engagement and de-escalation with Iran, even warning Tehran to pursue diplomacy to avoid war with Israel. Saudi officials have held high-level talks with Iran and signaled they don't want further escalation, or their territory used for attacks. Riyadh's approach is focused on dialogue, not confrontation or forced regime change.
While some in Israel and the U.S. hope that weakening Iran will open the door to expanded Abraham Accords, most regional experts agree that Saudi normalization with Israel depends on a broader set of issues - including progress on the Palestinian question and regional stability - not just Iran's nuclear ambitions or leadership. Ongoing conflict and instability actually make normalization harder, not easier.
As for "core disputes," they go beyond just Iran's nuclear program. They include proxy conflicts, regional influence, and unresolved issues with groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis. That's why both sides have held multiple rounds of direct talks in recent years, trying to find a framework for coexistence - even if progress has been slow.
Military action may shift calculations in the short term, but sustainable peace and expanded normalization are far more likely to come from diplomacy, regional engagement, and addressing these core disputes - not just strikes or regime change.
Our efforts were focused on dialogue and not regime change. The current Iranian regime has refused any sort of negotiated peace that prohibits them from having a nuclear weapon to destroy Israel and the US with. So folks, including Trump, have suggested maybe its time for a new regime.
Big Stick diplomacy is still diplomacy.
Do you have any suggestions on how the core dispute of the ayatollahs, who control Iran currently, wanting to destroy Israel and the US was going to be resolved through discussions?
Do you think if Jeffrey Dahmers victims would have been better at pleading their case and they would live? The current regime in Iran wants to KILL YOU. Not sure how you resolve disputes like that with diplomacy.
In fact, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict shows EXACTLY that you cannot have diplomatic relations with terrorist led jihadi regimes. Its very Neville Chamberlain to think otherwise.
This is what Trump delivered on Saturday and why he should be lauded by all Americans for having the courage to take the action necessary to provide "clear-eyed deterrence".jaborch99 said:
It's true that both the Trump administration and Saudi Arabia tried to pursue diplomacy with Iran, including direct offers for talks and warnings about the risks of escalation. Saudi officials have repeatedly engaged in high-level meetings with Iran, emphasizing dialogue and even warning Tehran to reach a deal to avoid war with Israel. Despite deep mistrust, both sides have participated in multiple rounds of direct talks in recent years, aiming to reduce tensions and address core disputes.
The reality is, neither side has found an easy breakthrough - progress has been slow, and Iran's regime has often refused terms that would fully satisfy U.S. or Saudi demands. But the fact that both sides keep coming back to the table shows that even adversaries recognize the limits of force and the need for engagement.
Military action might sometimes buy time or shift leverage, but it rarely resolves the underlying issues. Sustainable peace, regional stability, and expanded normalization are more likely when diplomacy, however difficult, is given a real chance. History shows that even regimes once considered implacable enemies - like the USSR or China - have changed course through a mix of pressure and persistent negotiation.
The Middle East's core disputes - proxy conflicts, regional influence, nuclear ambitions, and unresolved grievances - are complex and deeply rooted. Lasting solutions require more than just "big stick" diplomacy; they demand patient, realistic engagement alongside clear-eyed deterrence.
And then there are those that are war fatigued from the last 25 years of war and have no desire to see the US get into yet another middle east conflict where our soldiers, sailors, airmen and marines fight with restrictions and no end in site for no gain and no benefit to the US against a group of savages that don't have the rules we do and whom we will never actually win against because of our ROE's.Rapier108 said:The "anti-war" crowd isn't a monolithic thing.jamey said:
I dont understand how the anti war crowd can think allowing a nuclear armed Iran is anti war?
A nuclear armed Iran drags us into a much bigger, far more serious war
What's the thinking here?
Some are only against it because they hate Israel. Some in that group go so far as to actually supporting Iran and wanting them to have a nuclear bomb.
Then of course there are those who just hate Jews and support Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran.
And then there are those who want to go back to complete isolationism and they thought Trump would do that.
Ahh yes, the "Truman was a war criminal" bit.KillerAg21 said:
250,000 civilians died and two cities wiped away in the single largest mass casualty event in world history. To say America was completely justified to kill civilians and it is not an atrocity is frankly insane. Based on your posting history I am truly not surprised though.
Quote:
Then the 70's and various funding of paramilitary forces by the U.S. threw the region into a series of unforeseen consequences that still exist and permeate today. China, Iran, North Korea, Al Queda, Hussein etc… were all problems created by us.
Quote:
So yes I am EXTREMELY against the escalation of military force by the country that has what is now a 100 year track record of creating its own problems, which it then uses to justify killing droves and droves of civilian populations.
flown-the-coop said:
Yes, and what you describe is primarily what Trump is doing.
And sometimes you have to fight when you're a man.
We cannot always be the the Coward of the County. Your words mean nothing if you don't back it with action every now and again.
And the Iranian regime is absolutely suicidal. How is that not obvious? It only has gained strength by Americans and others thinking the regime can be reasoned with.
Midnight Hammer was a last resort option at the end of diplomatic efforts.
Do you really believe the ayatollahs can be reasoned with? Do you understand anything about them and what they believe?
flown-the-coop said:
You will be happy to know Trump has announced a ceasefire to commence in 6 hours. With a 12 hour cooling off before an official end of war declaration.
Wants it to be called The 12 Day War.
Is it okay to congratulate Trump on that?
The attack was needed.
I want regime change but that it up to the Iranian people. But there will be no lasting peace without the elimination of the ayatollahs.
flown-the-coop said:
You cannot have honest discussions with a regime whose religion and in particular their ultra strict interpretation makes it a SIN worthy of death to agree to anything with an infidel. So whilst your wishes and aspirations may seem virtuous, they belie reality.
Diplomacy with Iran was offered repeatedly and rejected. God calls on us to defend the weaker against evildoers. Again, sometimes you have to fight when you're a man, when you are a Christian.
The reason libertarians are not a viable political alternative is that its ideals are not practical for governing a large populace.
I respect your position but we see things very differently.
And true colors are shown then you still cannot show genuine appreciation for Trumps leadership in a quick call to peace.
The question might be better asked of the million or so who would have died had we gone on to attack Japan and who had been through so much already. Take a vote, see what they decided. After the atrocities committed by Japan against us (and China) they are lucky we stopped with only two cities.KillerAg21 said:
250,000 civilians died and two cities wiped away in the single largest mass casualty event in world history. To say America was completely justified to kill civilians and it is not an atrocity is frankly insane. Based on your posting history I am truly not surprised though.
flown-the-coop said:
You have a very myopic view of history, geopolitics, current affairs and being a Christian.
Typing more words saying the same things doesn't make you any more correct nor righteous.
Whilst your ideals may be noble, they are not based in reality and such concepts have never been achieved.
What has happened is that America, when weak, invites global chaos and danger. When strong, there is lasting peace.
The agreement by Obama resulted in Iran being funneled cash to fund their proxies and to drive their nuclear program deeper underground.
If diplomacy worked always, there would be no wars and no conflicts. Unfortunately, there are leaders in the world who do not deal in morality, honesty, virtue, mutual respect, etc.
Your approach has no solution for that other than to be nicer to the person shooting you in the gut over and over again.
That's fairly naive and not workable.
flown-the-coop said:
That was a lot of words to describe rainbows and unicorns approach to geopolitics.
You make a false assumption that the other side of the table respects your Christian values. They do not. You ignore this and that costs lives in the end.
Again, I almost admire the naivety about the world works. Would be great if that was the case. But it's not. There is evil in the world. And there are a whole lot of people that think you, me and America are even more evil.
The action by Trump in Iran was just. That is not open for debate. It was just. It saved lives. It made the world a safer place. Again, it's no open to debate.
Just like dropping the bomb on Japan is not open for debate. It was the right decision at the right time to help save humanity in the long term.
No peace treaty or agreement has ever lasted in perpetuity. Hell, you like to point to Christianity. One could argue even God got it wrong in the Old Testament and had to redo it and create a peace treaty through Jesus in the New Testament.
I would encourage you to keep your optimism, but advise take in some doses of reality every now and again.