Neetu Arnold: "Nationally, 2020 and 2024 exit polls from the Washington Post show a 9-point shift to the Republicans in the presidential race among Asian American voters relative to 2020. In some states, such as Nevada and Texas, the polls suggest that Trump won the Asian American vote outright. The NBC News exit poll found a 5-point shift to the right nationally among Asian Americans relative to 2020. And in their survey of Asian American voters prior to the election, Asian Americans Advancing Justice saw a 7-point shift away from the Democrats relative to 2020. My analysis of precinct-level voting data in four major urban areas shows that the exit polls may actually be understating the degree to which Asian Americans shifted to the right. Using census data, I identified majority-Asian precincts in these areas and compared the Republican margin of victory (or loss) between the 2024 and 2020 elections. The results are much more stark: Majority-Asian precincts in New York City, for instance, saw a rightward shift of 31 percentage points. Precincts in Dallas and Fort Bend counties in Texas both saw rightward shifts between 17 and 20 points. And precincts in Chicago saw a 23-point shift to the right."
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/11/19/heres_why_asian_americans_shifted_right_151965.html
Asian American voters shifted right…by A LOT
— Neetu Arnold (@neetu_arnold) November 19, 2024
National exit polls underestimated the rightward shifts of AA in major urban areas. WaPo, NBC found a shift under 10 pts
My analysis of Asian-majority precincts show shifts of 15-30 pts
Why the shift? AA voters explain⬇️ pic.twitter.com/f79SQknhMf
2) The anti-crime election
— Neetu Arnold (@neetu_arnold) November 19, 2024
“You only understand what you signed up for after Democrats win and you have to put up with crime and squalor” @DasguptaTeesta pic.twitter.com/stDIVamZ9N
3) Inflation
— Neetu Arnold (@neetu_arnold) November 19, 2024
“Las Vegas is like an island in the middle of the desert, the increase of fuel costs trickled down to the pockets of consumers at the grocery stores w/goods being transported from CA to Las Vegas” @LibertyLumpia pic.twitter.com/hEeSMOmdiv
The data even caught Governor Abbott's attention.
This is huge.
— Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) November 20, 2024
Asian American voters are realizing they are more aligned with Republicans than Democrats — and they are increasingly voting that way. https://t.co/h03EYhKqvw