Zombie Jon Snow said:
I still want to see the final 312..... but 300+ is awesome to see.
CNN has at least called NV and has Arizona looking like it will go too.
FINALLY!
*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****
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Last: 14 hrs ago by AtticusMatlock
FINALLY!
AP and NYT still showing 295.... dragging their feet.
still no more drops for NV or AZ todayoh no said:
McCormick's lead over Casey is about 33k votes at 98% and has been called by some "decision desks". Obviously, it will be challenged. See Marc Elias links above.
Slotkin beat Rogers by only about 19k votes at 99% and has been called by all for Slotkin.
Baldwin beat Hovde by only 29k votes at 99% and has been called by all for Baldwin.
Rosen is beating Brown by 17.5k votes at 95% and the remaining ones (Clark co mailed drop offs?) don't favor Brown allegedly).
Gallego is beating Lake by almost 44k votes at 76%.
Depending on McCormick holding on, it's looking like it could 4 or 5 states where Trump wins at the top of the ticket and an R senate candidate loses by a hair of 1% or less.
I get that 3 of those 5 were incumbents and it's hard to beat an incumbent. ..but also, all 5 of them vastly outspent the R and raised a ****-ton more money for their campaigns than the R. Mitch McConnell and his GOP Senate war chest gave approximately zero support to some like Brown and Lake. That's not acceptable.
It's going to take a bigger majority than 52 or 53 to undo the mess the Biden admin has made, especially when you consider how squirmy and "concerned" Murkowski and Collins are. Why were people voting for Trump but not the R senate candidate? Or was the difference more people abstaining for POTUS but voting for a D senate candidate?
Lake has picked up more votes…
Now down 39,000…77% reporting…
Now down 39,000…77% reporting…
You should have Zombie JS look at Fort Bend County.
‼️TURNING POINT ACTION DATA UPDATE‼️
— Matthew C Martinez (@mcmartinezaz) November 8, 2024
MARICOPA COUNTY - DATA DROP - 23,295 VOTES
(NOV 8 - 10:54 AM)
🔴 LAKE: 58.04%
🔵 GALLEGO: 40.21%
🟡 OTHER: 1.75%
Trump's mandate:
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) November 8, 2024
1. More states (49 + DC) swung in his direction vs. last election than anyone since 1992.
2. Best GOP showing w/ age 18-29 in 20 yrs, Black voters in 48 yrs, Hispanics in 52+ yrs.
3. Coattails: best GOP showing in House popular vote in prez year since 1928. pic.twitter.com/xDEjHVJFAm
How low was D.C. last time? Numbers I saw for the election were like 92-7.
Gotta keep that place from ever achieving statehood.
Gotta keep that place from ever achieving statehood.
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Mr Mojo Risin said:
How low was D.C. last time? Numbers I saw for the election were like 92-7.
Gotta keep that place from ever achieving statehood.
They're not even a state. Shouldn't have electoral votes at all.
Maricopa looking more promising.
But keep an eye on Pima (Tuscon). Heavy Dem. Only 73% reporting. These future ballots are going to help Gallego.
But keep an eye on Pima (Tuscon). Heavy Dem. Only 73% reporting. These future ballots are going to help Gallego.
spider96 said:
They're not even a state. Shouldn't have electoral votes at all.
Trump should just sell Washington D.C. to Six Flags and move the Government to Tulsa.
I would like to see the everything spread out as well.FbgTxAg said:spider96 said:
They're not even a state. Shouldn't have electoral votes at all.
Trump should just sell Washington D.C. to Six Flags and move the Government to Tulsa.
FbgTxAg said:spider96 said:
They're not even a state. Shouldn't have electoral votes at all.
Trump should just sell Washington D.C. to Six Flags and move the Government to Tulsa.
Republicans are set to pick up another seat on the North Carolina Supreme Court giving them a 6-1 majority pic.twitter.com/UF6hbhxJFB
— Kaden (@kaden53535) November 8, 2024
Cambria looks done in PA. Not sure if other places have released more results yet. If yesterday afternoon there were still around 100,000 votes left to adjudicate, now likely far less than that remaining. Not sure I see the math for Casey but it is technically possible.
McCormick lead is now 36,288
McCormick lead is now 36,288
You ever been to Tulsa?
AtticusMatlock said:
You ever been to Tulsa?
Yes. Born there. Great city.
Imagine what the Republicans could have done in the Senate if ****head McConnell had given any real support to the various candidates in MI, AZ, NV, WI instead of throwing all that $ away at a pointless race in Maryland with his liberal buddy Hoganoh no said:
Depending on McCormick holding on, it's looking like it could 4 or 5 states where Trump wins at the top of the ticket and an R senate candidate loses by a hair of 1% or less.
I get that 3 of those 5 were incumbents and it's hard to beat an incumbent. ..but also, all 5 of them vastly outspent the R and raised a ****-ton more money for their campaigns than the R. Mitch McConnell and his GOP Senate war chest gave approximately zero support to some like Brown and Lake. That's not acceptable.
It's going to take a bigger majority than 52 or 53 to undo the mess the Biden admin has made, especially when you consider how squirmy and "concerned" Murkowski and Collins are. Why were people voting for Trump but not the R senate candidate? Or was the difference more people abstaining for POTUS but voting for a D senate candidate?
Going to start putting this up with new Arizona/Kari Lake updates so you all can see the "minimum" math required for Kari to have a chance at eking by.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 8, 2024
Remember - there is another candidate in this race. But, this math is head-to-head only. Her margin over Gallego would be the… pic.twitter.com/HKDjAfS7s8
Mitch is done hopefully
samurai_science said:I would like to see the everything spread out as well.FbgTxAg said:spider96 said:
They're not even a state. Shouldn't have electoral votes at all.
Trump should just sell Washington D.C. to Six Flags and move the Government to Tulsa.
If for no other reason, the strategic resiliency built into a spread out system should be considered.
AtticusMatlock said:
Cambria looks done in PA. Not sure if other places have released more results yet. If yesterday afternoon there were still around 100,000 votes left to adjudicate, now likely far less than that remaining. Not sure I see the math for Casey but it is technically possible.
McCormick lead is now 36,288
Just count, not adjudicate
The Pennsylvania SoS used that word yesterday so that's why I put it that way.
It's combined votes that they know will count like military mail-ins and outstanding in-person votes from Cambria county, mail-ins received on election day, and provisional ballots. The provisional ballots will be fought over and have to be adjudicated. They are very non-specific on the number of ballots remaining and how many could be in dispute.
It's combined votes that they know will count like military mail-ins and outstanding in-person votes from Cambria county, mail-ins received on election day, and provisional ballots. The provisional ballots will be fought over and have to be adjudicated. They are very non-specific on the number of ballots remaining and how many could be in dispute.
New extrapolation at latest drop percentages....FireAg said:
Lake has picked up more votes…
Now down 39,000…77% reporting…
Lake Deficit -39K
Maricopa +76K (449K remaining @17%margin)
Pima -54K (175K remaining @ 31%margin)
Yavapai +36K(59K remaining @ 61%margin)
Mohave +4k (10.5K remaining @ 41%margin)
Cochise +1K (35K remaining @ 3%margin)
Coconino -2K (6K remaining @30%)
= Lake +22K
Still looks possible for Lake
AtticusMatlock said:
The Pennsylvania SoS used that word yesterday so that's why I put it that way.
It's combined votes that they know will count like military mail-ins and outstanding in-person votes from Cambria county, mail-ins received on election day, and provisional ballots. The provisional ballots will be fought over and have to be adjudicated. They are very non-specific on the number of ballots remaining and how many could be in dispute.
Thank you
71K more votes for Gallegos in AZ than for Kamala with counting not done yet.
Sure, sure.
Sure, sure.
Misogyny. A lot of voters will never vote for a woman for any major office.
FbgTxAg said:AtticusMatlock said:
You ever been to Tulsa?
Yes. Born there. Great city.
Agreed. Moved up here from Houston three years ago and have thoroughly enjoyed it!
His next post:
I've given up guessing on this one. Hope it happens.
UPDATED: Kari Lake needs at least 52.84% of the remaining Arizona statewide ballots to just barely win the race.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 8, 2024
We are awaiting ~700,000 ballots, based on DDHQ results. pic.twitter.com/mVOYNnyeQU
I've given up guessing on this one. Hope it happens.
312! I got it right!
Top national pollster: AtlasIntel
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 8, 2024
Lowest-ranked in this list: Marist College and Morning Consult. pic.twitter.com/slbkfvvPLB
We need relegation in the Polling Leagues. Would make this a lot more fun to watch and easier to understand who a ****e pollster last cycle
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