*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

1,114,707 Views | 8902 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by will25u
Stat Monitor Repairman
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NPH- said:

45-70Ag said:


Thataway to tell the opposing team the play that needs to be called….
will25u
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Silvertaps
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AG
BadMoonRisin said:

Silvertaps said:

NPH- said:

BadMoonRisin said:

Arizona is RED


And you are angry about this why?!?
assume it's for the RED face?


That's right cause it's RED!
Oh Lawd, not this again.

Can we make sure it is actually what's being claimed this time?
Ridge14
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ttu_85 said:

Who?mikejones! said:

He could lose NC and pa, but would need Michigan and NH/another surprise to win it
Sure take every win you get but NH has 4 EV's. Why do people pimp it. its a fire cracker in the grand scheme. The ones that matter are PA, GA, and NC all 15+ EV's.
Not true

Even if Dems steal PA you can win if you take Nevada and flip NH
Ag87H2O
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AG
aginlakeway said:

agjacent said:

JB99 said:

Here's an interesting data points. Because the margin going into election day is so much narrower in PA they are saying Kamala needs 700k in Philly. Problem is Biden only got 600k in 2020 and Hillary only got 560k.
Philly is currently projected to have more turnout today than it did in 2020. Like. A lot more.

Projected by who?

Captn_Ag05
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My advice is to stop looking at tweets or comments about long lines here, record turnout there, empty lines in this city, etc. and just look at actual data. Florida, Arizona, and Nevada are the states that provide the best data and by party.

Florida - Republicans are approaching a 1.2 million ballot advantage and the Republican turnout overall, including early and election day voting, is 7% higher than the Democrat turnout

Arizona - Republicans currently have a 250,000 ballot cast lead over Democrats and growing. The overall turnout advantage is growing as well with Republicans turnout at 3.57% higher rate than Democrats.

Nevada - Republicans have around a 45,000 vote advantage and an 8.82% turnout advantage. Democrats are cutting into Republican advantage a bit by outperforming in Clark County, but Washoe and rural counties have not done an afternoon vote drop yet, which will likely wipeout the gains from Clark County over the past couple of hours.
Rapier108
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will25u said:


Voted ~57% for Trump in 2020, down ~1% from 2016.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Thunderstruck xx
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Literally every Kamala voter that CNN interviews at the polls is saying they're voting based on the right for abortions. Degenerate morons.
fightingfarmer09
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I just hope all those R's voted for Trump
Nanomachines son
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South Platte said:

Who?mikejones! said:


Who the hell are 29k people voting for?


They felt extremely strong that they were undecided and wanted to make sure everyone knew it.
AtticusMatlock
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It is a different Republican PAC in Nevada doing the ballot harvesting. One of the things the PACs did was coordinate to not double up resources to make their funds stretch further. They divvied up responsibilities and areas of the country.

The election coordinator or whatever her role is for one of the Nevada GOP groups said they are actively ballot harvesting. If the other team changes the rules, beat them at their own game.
will25u
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If what Mark Mitchell says is true, it OVA in Nevada. Trump +6 EC



fc2112
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Market was up +400 points today. Almost like they think a pro-business president is in the works.
aggiehawg
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AG
Reminder, Scott Presler turned voter registrations red in Luzerne County this year.
Toptierag2018
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Captn_Ag05 said:

My advice is to stop looking at tweets or comments about long lines here, record turnout there, empty lines in this city, etc. and just look at actual data. Florida, Arizona, and Nevada are the states that provide the best data and by party.

Florida - Republicans are approaching a 1.2 million ballot advantage and the Republican turnout overall, including early and election day voting, is 7% higher than the Democrat turnout

Arizona - Republicans currently have a 250,000 ballot cast lead over Democrats and growing. The overall turnout advantage is growing as well with Republicans turnout at 3.57% higher rate than Democrats.

Nevada - Republicans have around a 45,000 vote advantage and an 8.82% turnout advantage. Democrats are cutting into Republican advantage a bit by outperforming in Clark County, but Washoe and rural counties have not done an afternoon vote drop yet, which will likely wipeout the gains from Clark County over the past couple of hours.


The data is the data.

Everything else is just noise until tonight.
jja79
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The Arizona secretary of state said this morning it will take 10-14 days to get a count.
AtticusMatlock
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Luzerne used to be the swing county to watch in Pennsylvania. It's now solidly red. If I'm remembering correctly some of the analysts are saying to watch Erie County and the western side of Pennsylvania like Allentown. If that swings towards Trump it's a good sign.
Drahknor03
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AG
A final count. If mail drops today and Trump has a solid lead, they'll call the state.
txags92
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Thunderstruck xx said:

Literally every Kamala voter that CNN interviews at the polls is saying they're voting based on the right for abortions. Degenerate morons.
They won't tell you how many voters they have to interview before the find the one that aligns with the preferred narrative to broadcast on TV. Would love to see a montage of all the people giving them the one finger flying eagle salute instead of responding to their questions.
SpreadsheetAg
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South Platte said:

Who?mikejones! said:


Who the hell are 29k people voting for?
It's just unaffiliated... it means they're independents, not WHO they voted for...

Some of those Rs may have voted for Harris; some of the Ds may have voted for Trump. It's based on registration.
PA24
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This thread delivering
texagbeliever
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Wisconsin seeing sudden movement to Trump. Close to 50-50 now on polymarket
will25u
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rgag12
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jja79 said:

The Arizona secretary of state said this morning it will take 10-14 days to get a count.
A 100% count. The way it is going, we will know who's going to win that state by late tonight
Toptierag2018
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"Ok.

Everyone take a deep breath.

@KamalaHarris prospects in PA, GA, and NC rely on

a. big urban turnout
b. big suburban turnout and vote share
c. not being completely wiped out in rural

Right now, even the campaigns can't say conclusively that Team Harris is failing on these essentials.

However, Republicans claim between early vote and what they are seeing so far on same-day voting, they will win all three states, maybe somewhat comfortably.

There are no "exit polls" coming anytime soon that will settle this debate.

Please just be patient and wait for actual vote and more robust boiler room reports.

IF Republicans are right about where those three states are headed, this election could be over by midnight.

BUT it is not fair to tilt "reporting" or vibes in that direction.

Let the voters decide.

There's no rush.

We know from Florida 2000 that there is a lot of value to one side to be seen as the "winner' without actually being clearly the winner.

The media should NOT play that role or make that mistake with ANY state.

Be patient.

Let the voters decide."
Hungry Ojos
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aggiehawg said:

Reminder, Scott Presler turned voter registrations red in Luzerne County this year.
If we pull off Pennsylvania, Pressler needs to have a statue made of him and placed next to the Rocky statute in Philly. I can't even put into words everything he did to make this a potential reality.
Prosperdick
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ttu_85 said:

Who?mikejones! said:

He could lose NC and pa, but would need Michigan and NH/another surprise to win it
Sure take every win you get but NH has 4 EV's. Why do people pimp it. its a fire cracker in the grand scheme. The ones that matter are PA, GA, and NC all 15+ EV's.
Two reasons, it's 4 vote they counted on and that's an 8 vote flip, which yes, still isn't that big but it's not nothing. Also, NH going red would be a positive trend when a traditional blue state flips.
Who?mikejones!
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AggieUSMC
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jja79 said:

The Arizona secretary of state said this morning it will take 10-14 days to get a count.
It will take that long to count every single vote including provisionals and overseas absentee ballots. Unless it's razor thin, we'll know who wins by then.
txags92
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jja79 said:

The Arizona secretary of state said this morning it will take 10-14 days to get a count for Katie Hobbs to figure out what the count needs to be.
FIFY
texagbeliever
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Prosperdick said:

ttu_85 said:

Who?mikejones! said:

He could lose NC and pa, but would need Michigan and NH/another surprise to win it
Sure take every win you get but NH has 4 EV's. Why do people pimp it. its a fire cracker in the grand scheme. The ones that matter are PA, GA, and NC all 15+ EV's.
Two reasons, it's 4 vote they counted on and that's an 8 vote flip, which yes, still isn't that big but it's not nothing. Also, NH going red would be a positive trend when a traditional blue state flips.


NH going red makes cheating way too risky in PA, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Nanomachines son
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The left has screwed themselves with no voter ID lmao.
B-1 83
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Who?mikejones! said:

He could lose NC and pa, but would need Michigan and NH/another surprise to win it
I think he wins NC after Biden's hurricane fumble.
TxAgPreacher
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S
Toptierag2018 said:



"Ok.

Everyone take a deep breath.

@KamalaHarris prospects in PA, GA, and NC rely on

a. big urban turnout
b. big suburban turnout and vote share
c. not being completely wiped out in rural

Right now, even the campaigns can't say conclusively that Team Harris is failing on these essentials.

However, Republicans claim between early vote and what they are seeing so far on same-day voting, they will win all three states, maybe somewhat comfortably.

There are no "exit polls" coming anytime soon that will settle this debate.

Please just be patient and wait for actual vote and more robust boiler room reports.

IF Republicans are right about where those three states are headed, this election could be over by midnight.

BUT it is not fair to tilt "reporting" or vibes in that direction.

Let the voters decide.

There's no rush.

We know from Florida 2000 that there is a lot of value to one side to be seen as the "winner' without actually being clearly the winner.

The media should NOT play that role or make that mistake with ANY state.

Be patient.

Let the voters decide."
Sounds like what you say when you're losing.
aginlakeway
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IMO ... he's preparing them for the L ...
"I'm sure that won't make a bit of difference for those of you who enjoy a baseless rage over the decisions of a few teenagers."
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