*****OFFICIAL 2024 ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

1,104,603 Views | 8901 Replies | Last: 16 hrs ago by AtticusMatlock
Prosperdick
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AG
smstork1007
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Presidential and midterm elections are not the same animal, never have been. But all caution is warranted until the last forged ballot is counted.
aeroag14
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Betting odds just spiked for trump
FireAg
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Bayou City said:

FL went heavy R in 2022 and the rest of the country didn't follow. Be careful Projecting.
I speaking specifically about the fear of R EVs cannibalizing R ED votes...

That doesn't appear to be happening at all...from there, yes, I am extrapolating that this means any blue firewalls around the country created by D votes are not going to be big enough, in multiple places, to overcome the R EV + ED votes...
will25u
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LMCane
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AggieAces06 said:

Who?mikejones! said:




What is the context for this tweet??? Please explain to those who aren't tied into the Fairfax market.


Fairfax County is massively democrat in Northern Virginia with Deep State residents and voters.

of course, these types of "I just drove by and at 11:18 there was no line" is nice but hardly dispositive when early voting was going on for the past month.

it's just filler

if there is massive voting downstate and in Tidewater and in Roanoke and Shenandoah Valley that would be better for Trump
will25u
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rathAG05
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Man, I wish that showed WI and MI closer….
smstork1007
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FireAg said:

Bayou City said:

FL went heavy R in 2022 and the rest of the country didn't follow. Be careful Projecting.
I speaking specifically about the fear of R EVs cannibalizing R ED votes...

That doesn't appear to be happening at all...from there, yes, I am extrapolating that this means any blue firewalls around the country created by D votes are not going to be big enough, in multiple places, to overcome the R EV + ED votes...
There is about a 100 pages on this on the other thread, and it's been likely proven that just the opposite has happened, and not really substantial information to think any cannibalizing has occurred, at least on the R side.
LMCane
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aeroag14 said:

Betting odds just spiked for trump
where?

Polymarket is still showing 61-39

no real change from most of the past week
Ag87H2O
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MagnumLoad said:

Musk owning TWITTER may be the difference this time
The importance of this cannot be overstated. He obliterated the left's stanglehold on the narrative and all the disinformation and censorship they engaged in last time.
centexaggie2010
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LMCane said:

I don't know why they are not doing the same thing in Georgia and Penn and Michigan and North Carolina!!


It seems like different organizations are taking on different states. Charlie Kirk and his team have been VERY active in AZ, where as Scott Pressler has been the active one in PA. Not sure what organization is taking on GA, NC and MI..but I bet there is one!
nortex97
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Nevada just opened. Give it a couple hours is my two cents.
FireAg
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We 100% agree...

Early returns are showing that EV cannibalism of ED voting isn't happening so far...
FTAG 2000
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centexaggie2010 said:

LMCane said:

I don't know why they are not doing the same thing in Georgia and Penn and Michigan and North Carolina!!


It seems like different organizations are taking on different states. Charlie Kirk and his team have been VERY active in AZ, where as Scott Pressler has been the active one in PA. Not sure what organization is taking on GA, NC and MI..but I bet there is one!
Elon's got a team working in GA.

I'm not sure who has NC or MI.
mslags97
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LMCane said:

aeroag14 said:

Betting odds just spiked for trump
where?

Polymarket is still showing 61-39

no real change from most of the past week


I think polymarket had dropped at one point this weekend to 52-54 for Trump. Don't know exactly how low it got, but it was a significant drop
jr15aggie
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Trump and MAGA Republicans are here just like we were in 2020. He is going to get 74 million votes again. Dems will have no answer!
centexaggie2010
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jr15aggie said:

Trump and MAGA Republicans are here just like we were in 2020. He is going to get 74 million votes again. Dems will have no answer!
Let's hope it's closer to 81 Million!
LMCane
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if every rural district in PA is like this we win

if not- then four more years of Obama

BTKAG97
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Ag87H2O said:

MagnumLoad said:

Musk owning TWITTER may be the difference this time
The importance of this cannot be overstated. He obliterated the left's stanglehold on the narrative and all the disinformation and censorship they engaged in last time.
Given his public appearances and X posts, you have to believe this was his main goal when purchasing Twitter instead of believing it could be and would be a of financial benefit.

IMO, it's a better use of finalncial resources over donating to a campaign fund.
LMCane
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pass it around!

Captn_Ag05
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A few signs of dems starting to pick up the pace a bit in Arizona and Nevada. Republicans are underperforming day of voting in Clark county compared to 2020.
AtticusMatlock
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Haven't been able to follow this thread much but some good early signs for Trump.

The Northern Marianas has finished voting and has flipped red.

Guam has flipped red for the first time in 20 years.
fc2112
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To those unaware...

VA is like two different states. Northern VA (of NOVA) is the Washington suburbs to I'll of federal workers. Heavily Democrat.

The rest of the state is where the Civil War started. Very pro Trump, including the tidewater area which has tons of military bases.

NOVA can overwhelm the rest of the state when a real black person like Obama is running. Not so much when a fake one is running.
aezmvp
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That was a lot of hedging imo. We'll see. I'm hearing positive things and the Florida numbers are great. Little things matter on election day. Flipping Guam and tying Dixville Notch are not big deals. (Well I'll take every House seat we can get.) But they reinforce trends. Reports of low turnout can snowball. IMO the Dems have poor morale. The untold story is also that their ground game is a bit starved of volunteers because of Trump's inroads in the unions. Teachers unions are working, federal and state may or may not but if you lose a lot of teamsters and other private sector unions, it hurts your volunteer pool that you've relied on for 20 years. You don't replace those people and that infrastructure without a plan and my sense is that Dems didn't plan for it.
TheBonifaceOption
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Ag87H2O
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BTKAG97 said:

Ag87H2O said:

MagnumLoad said:

Musk owning TWITTER may be the difference this time
The importance of this cannot be overstated. He obliterated the left's stanglehold on the narrative and all the disinformation and censorship they engaged in last time.
Given his public appearances and X posts, you have to believe this was his main goal when purchasing Twitter instead of believing it could be and would be a of financial benefit.
He has stated several times that he hopes to make X profitable at some point, but his main concern was the Democrat's assault on free speech.

Without X, this election would likely be going the exact same way it went in 2020. It's why the leftists lost their minds when Musk purchased Twitter. He cut them at the legs and try as they might, they've never recovered.
Burdizzo
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45-70Ag said:





Does that include the candidate herself?
45-70Ag
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Captn_Ag05 said:

45-70Ag said:


This guy is funny but just a troll that tries to get under liberals skin. Don't take these types of tweets seriously.


Had no clue he's a troll.
David_Puddy
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mslags97 said:

StoneCold99 said:

I wasn't nearly as involved in following this thread specifically in 2020.

I do remember it being very positive until late night hit and the miraculous vote dumps happened.

My question is does this feel different than 2020? Is the current data giving you posters who were heavily involved in both elections more comfort than in 2020?

Just want to prepare myself for when **** hits the fan and things go from great to 'uh-oh' if this mirrors 2020.


Whole country and coverage feels different. There is still hate for Trump from the left, but it is laughed off to an extent much more than 2020. And, the fervor for Trump is at a whole new level, and I didn't think that was possible. It's a definite different feeling.

Not to mention no global pandemic that came from a lab in China to blame Trump for.
Emotional Support Cobra
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Quo Vadis?
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Yeah Nevada odds on poly market have really come together to almost a coin flip
BTKAG97
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AtticusMatlock said:

Haven't been able to follow this thread much but some good early signs for Trump.

The Northern Marianas has finished voting and has flipped red.

Guam has flipped red for the first time in 20 years.
What source are you using for this information?
AtticusMatlock
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Just turned on some coverage after being gone this morning.

I know Benny Johnson is a GOP Trump guy, but even he seems shocked at how well the Republicans are doing in florida. He says he heard from a source that the reason the Democrats made a late push to send people like Hillary there was to try to shore up congressional districts that should not even be close to being in play for the Republicans. Even the gerrymandered Democrat districts are at risk of a Republican victory.
TxAgPreacher
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That's right they have no body to blame covid on this time.

Can you feel it in the air? Victory. ONLY IF WE DONT LET UP AND TEXT OUR FAMILY AND FRIENDS TO GET OUT AND VOTE.

We must win the popular vote! Too big to rig.
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