Teslag said:

---

Quote:

---

it re-elected him in 2022 when there should have been a red wave that didn't materialize.

---

District 32 was re-drawn prior to the 2022 election to purposely concentrate democrat voters.

---

Joes said:

---

BMX Bandit said:

---

Quote:

---

It's not happening this cycle, but within the decade, statewide races are going to shift from Republican locks to toss ups.

---

you have been around long enough to remember in 2008 when people said the exact same thing on this board.

thankfully, we are protected from seeing any pre-2020 posts, otherwise I'd bump one


like others, I'm not saying it will never happen.

---

But this isn't something that either will happen or not happen at an instant as some random event. It IS happening, it's demonstrable data.

It's just weird to me that people don't see it.

It's like I've pushed a bowling ball down a 12 foot slide, we can see and measure the descent, and yet someone is at the side saying "They claim it's on the way to hit the ground but they said that at 2 feet down and then 4 feet down and then 6 feet down and it still hasn't happened so obviously they're wrong."

---

samurai_science said:

---

Teslag said:

---

Quote:

---

it re-elected him in 2022 when there should have been a red wave that didn't materialize.

---

District 32 was re-drawn prior to the 2022 election to purposely concentrate democrat voters.

---

Good

---

Quote:

---

What is this "data" that you are using to claim that Texas is getting bluer?

---

Teslag said:

---

No Spin Ag said:

---

Teslag said:

---

P.H. Dexippus said:

---

BMX Bandit said:

---

Quote:

---

but but f16 tells me Texas is turning blue

---

it is. any day now. "next election"

reminds me of the "Free beer tomorrow" signs

---

I guess I, unlike some, am able to see a trend and recognize where it leads to. It's not happening this cycle, but within the decade, statewide races are going to shift from Republican locks to toss ups.

Texas' population is increasingly urbanized (Houston, DFW, SA, Austin). Its urban population is increasingly democrat. And that democrat base is increasingly leftist. Short of a significant black swan event, those trends aren't reversing. What's happened to Harris County in the past 15 years is a foreshadowing of the future of Texas politics.

---

Someone made this exact post 10 years ago. And someone made it again 10 years before then.

---

I don't see Texas turning blue anytime soon, but Texas isn't anywhere near as red as it once was either, and likely never will be.

---

I would argue the state legislature is redder than it ever has been by far.

---