My life is much better now too!
Has NOTHING to do with Sleepy Joe or his commie cohorts!
I'm Gipper
Has NOTHING to do with Sleepy Joe or his commie cohorts!
I'm Gipper
Thank you for the excellent analysis. Quite refreshing from the rest of the food fight on this thread.policywonk98 said:
I don't disagree that Trumps poll advantages were always going to disappear in swing states.
But it does not take away the fact that he is just as likely to win either PA, MI, or WI as he is likely to lose.
Also, you failed to report that just like Biden has closed the gap in WI and MI, Trump has closed the gap in PA in latest polling.
Also, it's starting to look more and more like Kennedy negatively impacts Biden more than Trump.
Margin of victory for Biden was 43.000 votes TOTAL between AZ, GA, and WI. That is out of nearly 12 million cast.
Trump is not losing the 25 states he won in both 2016 and 2020.
The questions not become has Biden done enough to hold onto AZ, GA and all of MI, WI, and PA.
He's losing national polling. Now, I've preached along time on this forum that national polls don't matter. They don't. It only matters how a presidential candidate is doing in the states they need to get to 270.
But national polling give some indications of strength of support among a candidates base.
At no time in 2016 or 2020 did Trump ever beat Hillary or Biden in the national poll avg.
The closest Trump got to Biden in the national average was -3.4 in the second week of April 2020.
Currently Trump is up about +2.
People like Biden less in 2024 than 2020. There can be no denying this at this point. And the thing about Trump is that yeah, the people that didn't like Trump last time, like him even less this time. But at Bidens margin of victory, Trumps margin defeat, it's anyone's election.
And Kennedy is absolutely going to be a factor. And I think he might end up being a factor in more than just current swing states. He's tracking with voters more like Johnson did in 2016 and he's got a lot more name rec than Gary Johnson. In 2016 Johnson got 4% in NH. Hillary won the state 46.8 to Trumps 46.4. But Johnson is no Kennedy running in NH. That one is going to be interesting to watch. As will how he runs in NV, AZ and NM. Obviously a candidate like Kennedy gains most support from voters who would not vote for Biden or Trump anyway. But again, with the Margins of victory in the states that matter, it will not take many 2020 voters in Bidens camp to say screw this old geezer that can't string a sentence together I'm voting for the old geezer that sounds like he's talking with rocks in his throat but he can do lots of pushups.
Oh and another thing. While many of these polls don't get done this early and Aug-Oct is when they really tell a tale. Trump is Killing Biden in likely voter polls right now.
my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Do you believe a majority of Americans have experienced the same success and growth as you in that time period? Would you credit Biden and his policies for this income growth or was it done because action you took or luck/timing?Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
You figure Biden's policies, not your skill as you said earlier, are responsible for the increases?Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Neither. They are FOS as usual.VP at Pierce and Pierce said:Do you believe a majority of Americans have experienced the same success and growth as you in that time period? Would you credit Biden and his policies for this income growth or was it done because action you took or luck/timing?Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Huge fan of DeSantis, no syndrome here, would have happily voted for himBryanisbest said:
Classic DSL syndrome.
Old McDonald said:meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Going from $1.00 an hour to $1.75 an hour and net worth from $2,000 to $4,000 is huge, no doubt about it.Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Logos Stick said:Old McDonald said:meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
No it's not.
TDS is strong with this one. Trump is way up. It may not matter if we have another ballot dump. We will see.LMCane said:
It's hard to believe a grown human can't comprehend that SIMPLY POSTING TODAY'S POLL RESULTS is not a poster calling for Biden to be re-elected.
But I can understand how the true believers cannot tolerate any look at reality other than constant praise of their saint.
for those who can't figure it out:
I want Trump to beat Biden.
But he won't do it- because he is an awful candidate and screwed the pooch in 2020.
Which is what many of us have been stating for 2 years now.
Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
TxAgPreacher said:TDS is strong with this one. Trump is way up. It may not matter if we have another ballot dump. We will see.LMCane said:
It's hard to believe a grown human can't comprehend that SIMPLY POSTING TODAY'S POLL RESULTS is not a poster calling for Biden to be re-elected.
But I can understand how the true believers cannot tolerate any look at reality other than constant praise of their saint.
for those who can't figure it out:
I want Trump to beat Biden.
But he won't do it- because he is an awful candidate and screwed the pooch in 2020.
Which is what many of us have been stating for 2 years now.
The same would be true for any Republican candidate not named Nikki Haley or a Romney type.JWinTX said:TxAgPreacher said:TDS is strong with this one. Trump is way up. It may not matter if we have another ballot dump. We will see.LMCane said:
It's hard to believe a grown human can't comprehend that SIMPLY POSTING TODAY'S POLL RESULTS is not a poster calling for Biden to be re-elected.
But I can understand how the true believers cannot tolerate any look at reality other than constant praise of their saint.
for those who can't figure it out:
I want Trump to beat Biden.
But he won't do it- because he is an awful candidate and screwed the pooch in 2020.
Which is what many of us have been stating for 2 years now.
I want Trump to win, too, but that ballot dump and those printers not stopping well into the night after the election aren't making those purple states any easier for Trump to win. All of these polls are psyops to help make people believe Biden wins without cheating. That's impossible to believe if counties only produce thousands of votes for one person in the middle of the night like we saw in Wisconsin in 2020.
I'm guessing you own a home? That probably explains the 200% bump in net worth. And that ain't "skillz"Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
JWinTX said:TxAgPreacher said:TDS is strong with this one. Trump is way up. It may not matter if we have another ballot dump. We will see.LMCane said:
It's hard to believe a grown human can't comprehend that SIMPLY POSTING TODAY'S POLL RESULTS is not a poster calling for Biden to be re-elected.
But I can understand how the true believers cannot tolerate any look at reality other than constant praise of their saint.
for those who can't figure it out:
I want Trump to beat Biden.
But he won't do it- because he is an awful candidate and screwed the pooch in 2020.
Which is what many of us have been stating for 2 years now.
I want Trump to win, too, but that ballot dump and those printers not stopping well into the night after the election aren't making those purple states any easier for Trump to win. All of these polls are psyops to help make people believe Biden wins without cheating. That's impossible to believe if counties only produce thousands of votes for one person in the middle of the night like we saw in Wisconsin in 2020.
Lol! No one believes you. The only people that have seen such jumps live in DC.Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Wooahhhh said:
because the fascists will lower those prices for us when they're in office?
ShaggySLC said:The same would be true for any Republican candidate not named Nikki Haley or a Romney type.JWinTX said:TxAgPreacher said:TDS is strong with this one. Trump is way up. It may not matter if we have another ballot dump. We will see.LMCane said:
It's hard to believe a grown human can't comprehend that SIMPLY POSTING TODAY'S POLL RESULTS is not a poster calling for Biden to be re-elected.
But I can understand how the true believers cannot tolerate any look at reality other than constant praise of their saint.
for those who can't figure it out:
I want Trump to beat Biden.
But he won't do it- because he is an awful candidate and screwed the pooch in 2020.
Which is what many of us have been stating for 2 years now.
I want Trump to win, too, but that ballot dump and those printers not stopping well into the night after the election aren't making those purple states any easier for Trump to win. All of these polls are psyops to help make people believe Biden wins without cheating. That's impossible to believe if counties only produce thousands of votes for one person in the middle of the night like we saw in Wisconsin in 2020.
Could be. Some states were forced to double minimum wage.Logos Stick said:Old McDonald said:meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
No its not.
this created a random thought - would RFK be tabbed to replace Biden after the convention? Seems doubtful but they don't have a good plugin or we would already know who was most likely. Could also see RFK telling them to go pound sand given the lack of security he was granted when he was still trying to challenge within the partyDrahknor03 said:
Same poll:This is true if you go only on the head-to-head matchup. The problem with this framing is that when you include RFK, Jr. and the other third-party candidates - which the actual ballots this fall are almost certain to - Trump leads every state except Michigan, which is tied. https://t.co/5SzQvcDcrC
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) March 26, 2024
AgDad121619 said:this created a random thought - would RFK be tabbed to replace Biden after the convention? Seems doubtful but they don't have a good plugin or we would already know who was most likely. Could also see RFK telling them to go pound sand given the lack of security he was granted when he was still trying to challenge within the partyDrahknor03 said:
Same poll:This is true if you go only on the head-to-head matchup. The problem with this framing is that when you include RFK, Jr. and the other third-party candidates - which the actual ballots this fall are almost certain to - Trump leads every state except Michigan, which is tied. https://t.co/5SzQvcDcrC
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) March 26, 2024
Where has he said he is a Biden Lib ???Rockdoc said:
We know you're a Biden lib. It's ok, somebody has to be.
Bawahahahah, Really Biden is the reason your net worth has hit an estimated 100K. Now run the numbers building in inflation by using 2019 dollars.Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
ttu_85 said:Bawahahahah, Really Biden is the reason your net worth has hit an estimated 100K. Now run the numbers building in inflation by using 2019 dollars.Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
If you depend on a rapidly expanding debt and money supply expansion to bloat your net worth, you are not a producer but a taker or parasite.
i had 2 during that time span! big reason for my improvement in life quality, among other thingsIslanderAg04 said:Old McDonald said:my annual spending is up ~20% in that span. meanwhile my income is up 75% and my net worth 200%. thank you biden!Prosperdick said:So I guess you don't buy groceries or pay for gas for your vehicles, or pay for insurance on said vehicles or insurance on your home or life. Wow, you've got it made!!!Old McDonald said:seems like a skill issue, my life is unequivocally better in all aspects in 2024 than it was in 2019DrEvazanPhD said:
Well, if you think we've been better off under Biden, I don't know what to tell you, other than you're too far gone
Don't have kids do you.
Barnyard96 said:
Same poll, but with Kennedy too.