If Lake is the GOP nominee, undoubtedly a RINO will run as an independent and create a four-way race.

10thYrSr said:

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Ol_Ag_02 said:

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Grifts aren't going to grift themselves.

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In what way is she "grifting"?

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What's her current job?

Lake seems to be polling well so far, if voting actually matters in Arizona for some reason in 2024.

I sort of expect Sinema to drop out though mid-way through next year, and then I'd expect 2/3 of her supporters to go to the Dem.

torrid said:

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If Lake is the GOP nominee, undoubtedly a RINO will run as an independent and create a four-way race.

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If she is the nominee she and Trump will flame out spectacularly as they've already done in Arizona.

Yee needs to run and be the nominee.

nortex97 said:

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Lake seems to be polling well so far,

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Yeah,and Trump is going to win every single demographic except black women, and be roughly 50-50 the rest of the demographics which go Democrat, if one is to believe the polls out there. Polls Trump is paying for to make himself look like the runway winner in the primary and general.

As soon as Trump, Lake, and the rest of the MAGA kamikazes get the nominations, the polls will change to show how little support they really have.

Captn_Ag05 said:

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Yee needs to run and be the nominee.

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Don't think Kanye is an AZ resident.

I wonder what the distributional weights are on these polls. Independents now outnumber Republicans in AZ, so Sinema winning them going away could put her on top.

No idea, but if she's at 20 percent-ish then when she drops out you can predict at least a 5 percent bump up between Lake and the communist (in favor of the dem).