Wonder what would constitute "advance" warning. I'm sure that Isreal would like to trust these unnamed Arab states, but just a handful of closet jihadist types would be all it would take to tip the iranians off. What mechanism could be in place to provide warning but not tip their hand?

agent-maroon said:

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Wonder what would constitute "advance" warning. I'm sure that Isreal would like to trust these unnamed Arab states, but just a handful of closet jihadist types would be all it would take to tip the iranians off. What mechanism could be in place to provide warning but not tip their hand?

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I would suspect Mossad has them all thoroughly infiltrated and knows who in which military chain it can trust.

AtticusMatlock said:

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Al-Hurra is reporting that several Arab Counties have recently sent Back-Channel Messages to Israel expressing Support for their Retaliatory Strike against Iran, stressing that their Response should be “Strict and Clear” but requesting that they receive an Advanced Notice, so… pic.twitter.com/oF55sMhHU2

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 21, 2024

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I think at this time, there are a number of ME countries that are tired of all the BS and want to actually modernize and stabilize their countries.

This takes normalizing relations with Israel (which several have done) and then supporting them undercover.

I don't doubt SA and the UAE are fully on board helping Israel. PLUS, they're Sunni.

txags92 said:

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Ag with kids said:

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AtticusMatlock said:

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Al-Hurra is reporting that several Arab Counties have recently sent Back-Channel Messages to Israel expressing Support for their Retaliatory Strike against Iran, stressing that their Response should be “Strict and Clear” but requesting that they receive an Advanced Notice, so… pic.twitter.com/oF55sMhHU2

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 21, 2024

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I think at this time, there are a number of ME countries that are tired of all the BS and want to actually modernize and stabilize their countries.

This takes normalizing relations with Israel (which several have done) and then supporting them undercover.

I don't doubt SA and the UAE are fully on board helping Israel. PLUS, they're Sunni.

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There are a number of them that have recognized for at least a decade or more that Iran is a much bigger issue for them than Israel. They have used the Israelis as the boogeyman for years to keep their domestic politics quiet, so it will take some time before they can debrainwash their populations about the Israelis. But their senior military leaders are more than willing to work with the Israelis quietly to facilitate anything that weakens Iran or its proxies.

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I think the Sunni countries need to change it from Muslims against Jews to Sunnis against Shi'ites. Get their people to at least start thinking that way.

Focus on Iran and partly Iraq, vs Israel.

Then, they've got a fantastic ally in Israel to to help them out.

Pull a 1984 on the lower educated populations of their countries.

We've ALWAYS been at war with Iran. Why are you talking about Israel?

Like your way of thinking, but they have a holy book that prescribes the tenets of their religion and working with the Jews is NOT compatible with said beliefs. Not even a little bit, unfortunately.

BREAKING:

Israeli airstrike hits a car in Damascus, Syria.

Looks like another Israeli decapitation strike pic.twitter.com/EdjSV30mZX

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) October 21, 2024

Reports are suggesting that Ziyad al-Nakhalah, the Secretary-General of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), was the Target of today’s Israeli Strike against a Car in the Syrian Capital of Damascus. The PIJ has so far Denied that Ziyad or any of its Members were Killed in the… pic.twitter.com/eNkaQQ0e2j

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 21, 2024

Retired Israeli Brigadier General Amir Avivi told ABC News today, that the upcoming Israeli Response to Iran’s latest Ballistic Missile Attack will be “Fierce, Strong, and Very Surprising” with it marking the beginning of a War which is expected to last “Many Months.”

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 21, 2024

Explosions heard over Tel Aviv.

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 22, 2024

Hezbollah claimed Responsibility for the launch of Surface-to-Surface Missiles this morning towards the Suburbs of Tel Aviv. pic.twitter.com/g71uMXJHUM

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 22, 2024

The Israel Defense Force states that Five Projectiles were launched from Lebanon at Central Israel, with a Majority being Intercepted while one fell in an Open Area resulting in No Casualties.

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 22, 2024

Today's Ziehan email:

"Given the recent conflict in the Middle East, I'm worried that an oil crisis could be brewing. The main players that might kick off the (next) Gulf War are Iran, Israel and Saudi Arabia.

Israel was recently attacked by Iran and their retaliation could be devastating for Iran. Should they choose to target critical Iranian oil infrastructure - most of which is conveniently located near Kharg Island - Iran's exports would plummet. Should that happen, an Iranian attack on Saudi oil fields wouldn't be out of the question, and then we could be talking about 20 million barrels per day being under threat.

That means a global oil price of $300 per barrel is in the cards...but not for everyone. The US has the domestic supply to maintain a price closer to $60 per barrel (outside of California, because they still rely heavily on Persian Gulf imports). China would get the snot knocked out of 'em if it does play out like this. The UAE and Saudi Arabia would keep some exports alive thanks to pipelines that bypass the Strait.

Before you go buy a few drums of oil to throw in the basement, let's wait for Israel to decide what their retaliation plan looks like."

This is why everyone is asking Isreal to limit their retaliation and to avoid the O&G infrastructure. A wounded Iran lashing out against their enemy, SA, is within their reasoning as it would make SA much much richer as supply is suddenly limited.

Oil importers would have instant epic heartburn. The US could restrict exports to keep the domestic market stable but would be under intense pressure from allies to keep exports flowing. Economic collapse is a real possibility alo g with food shortages. Even the EV bozos who would gloat would be under the same scarcity for truck deliver supplies.

We could limit exports, but we're still going to need imported oil. I believe our refineries do not handle the light shale oil well, and will have to blend with the heavire crude of the Middle East or Canada.

It's ironic that in the last two pages everyone is talking about how it would be the Arab partners who would disclose Israeli attack plans to Iran...

when in fact it is the US Department of Defense consistently leaking Israeli plans and spreading stories about how the IDF will fail

🚨BREAKING NEWS : Report in the US: the leaker of the classified documents from the Pentagon is Ariana Tabatabai, an American of Iranian origin. pic.twitter.com/fS642QNGNY

— Eli Afriat 🇮🇱🎗 (@EliAfriatISR) October 22, 2024

Is this substantiated with any other sources or just some X post? That's one heck of an accusation to throw around!

Catag94 said:

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Is this substantiated with any other sources or just some X post? That's one heck of an accusation to throw around!

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"Ariane Tabatabai appeared to be a willing recruit in the covert influence operation run by Tehran’s Foreign Ministry, according to a trove of leaked files revealed last month by Semafor. Since early 2022, Tabatabai has been chief of staff to the Pentagon’s assistant secretory of…

— 🇺🇸 David J. Urban 🇺🇸 (@DavidJUrban) October 22, 2024

https://www.nationalreview.com/2024/10/the-biden-iran-scandal-gets-worse/

Quote:

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The most glaring example of its questionable handling of the Iran portfolio is Biden Iran envoy Robert Malley's continued employment by the State Department amid a probe into his handling of classified materials and the possibility that he shared information with the regime. Though Malley has since been suspended, it's noteworthy that the administration has opted to technically keep him in the role, no doubt wishing to avoid the political fallout that would come with terminating him.

Possibly worse than Malley's appointment is that of Ariane Tabatabai, an academic turned State Department and Pentagon official. She was part of the now-infamous Iran Experts Initiative a program used by Tehran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs to cultivate relationships with foreign academics who could carry water for the regime.

At one point, according to reporting from Semafor, which revealed the program's existence, Tabatabai opted to skip a conference in Israel after an Iranian official instructed her not to go. She also consulted with this same Iranian official regarding how she should testify in hearings before Congress. Her job today chief of staff to the Pentagon official who oversees special operations.

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Both of those tweets are now gone. At least for me they are.

Pentagon Employee Suspected of Leaking Retaliation Plans to Iran | The Jewish Press - JewishPress.com | David Israel | 21 Tishri 5785 Tuesday, October 22, 2024 | JewishPress.com

Quote:

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A Pentagon official told Sky News in Arabic that the investigation being conducted by intelligence agencies in Washington into the leaking to Tehran documents of the IDF plan to strike Iran has begun to indicate "suspicion" of the involvement of a senior employee in the Pentagon.

The American official added that the employee suspected of leaking the documents is an American of Iranian origin named Ariane Tabatabai.

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Quote:

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According to the information obtained by Sky News Arabia, the suspect Ariane Tabatabai, who has not been convicted yet, works as the director of the office of the Assistant to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin for Special Operations and International Conflicts.

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[Stop derailing this update thread or be prepared for some time off -- Staff]

According to Ynet; during his Visit today to Israel, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken asked Prime Minister Netanyahu to “Decrease the Scale” of their planned Retaliatory Strike against Iran, with Defense Minister Gallant stating that U.S. Support following the Strike will… pic.twitter.com/OeYoyyQJb2

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 22, 2024

That's actually new confirmation. They just now either discovered his body or got around to announcing the discovery of his body along with a whole bunch of other high-level Hez officials. Looks like Israel also got the head of the Hezbollah intelligence agency in the same strike. This was not the same one that killed Nasrallah.but the one that happened a few days later.

AtticusMatlock said:

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That's actually new confirmation. They just now either discovered his body or got around to announcing the discovery of his body along with a whole bunch of other high-level Hez officials. Looks like Israel also got the head of the Hezbollah intelligence agency in the same strike. This was not the same one that killed Nasrallah.but the one that happened a few days later.

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Thank you. The article stated the strike was early October, but it was breaking news yesterday so I wasn't sure if I was posting old news as breaking news.

How many of these guys are still alive?

The Israel Defense Force released Dozens of Documents today that had recently been recovered from the Gaza Strip, which “Unequivocally Prove” a Group of Six Journalist working for the Qatari Media Channel, Al-Jazeera; Anas al-Sharif, Alaa Salameh, Hossam Shabat, Ashraf al-Sarraj,… pic.twitter.com/Ldn9Gztfmy

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) October 23, 2024

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant today at an Air Force Base

claiming the whole world will soon see what the IDF has been working on these last few years

Agree. Probably a fool's game to predict, but I would not doubt a cyber attack as Israel's retaliatory method, maybe industrially targeted like Stuxnet, maybe financially targeted, maybe military/C&C targeted….or maybe All of the Above.