There's a lot of whackadoodle ideas that never get too far off of a napkin. I wouldn't really say they had "a day".
Good analysis but the knock on SpaceX for moving fast and breaking things like the David Rush ignores that Elon only breaks things when people are not involved. Elon has said that was one of the major flaws with the space shuttle because you were testing with people on boardagracer said:
this is a good video about the "engineering" of the sub.
The most salient points are about Stockton Rush's comments about "pilot error" and "certification organizations". Stockton was an idiot.
WOW! After watching this, that company should be sued for all their worth. Amazing video. Summary:Ag83 said:
Fightin_Aggie said:Good analysis but the knock on SpaceX for moving fast and breaking things like the David Rush ignores that Elon only breaks things when people are not involved. Elon has said that was one of the major flaws with the space shuttle because you were testing with people on boardagracer said:
this is a good video about the "engineering" of the sub.
The most salient points are about Stockton Rush's comments about "pilot error" and "certification organizations". Stockton was an idiot.
was that any different in Mercury Gemini and Apollo? I think they had abort procedures later on but where they ever tested?bthotugigem05 said:
The very first launch of the Shuttle had crew members on it with no crew evac possibility once the SRBs fired up. I think that was Elon's point.
NASAg03 said:100% agree. Even more critical when fibers are in compression.The Fife said:
I watched through it a couple of times and had to dig a little deeper
https://www.engineering.com/story/the-titan-tragedy-a-deep-dive-into-carbon-fiber-used-for-the-first-time-in-a-submersibleQuote:
A 2017 article in Composite Weekly describes the carbon fiber construction of the Cyclops 2 (later renamed as the Titan) as "alternating placement of prepreg carbon fiber/epoxy unidirectional fabrics in the axial direction" with "wet winding of carbon fiber/epoxy in the hoop direction, for a total of 480 plies."
Building it this way, with no autoclave cure and I'm assuming no meaningful inspection for voids or porosity, FOD, wrinkles, ... is criminally dumb. Go for extra thickness but don't bother with ensuring there's a good bond because who needs that? Probably no attempt to scan the IML or OML for damage between dives either.
I'm surprised it didn't fatigue out before it finally did, but I guess in a way they did their fatigue testing with actual passengers inside and got a data point for what the life limit is.
Tanks on space flight vehicles typically have a metal liner that is plastically deformed during testing (autofrettage), preloading the interface and reducing strain extremes, increasing cycle life. The liner also allows for autoclave use to remove air bubbles and voids. Even so, failures STILL occur due to voids between layers.
In the of the Titan, with no autoclave and hand-laid layers, a single void in the exterior and can result in high-pressure water getting pumped further into voids, finding low-pressure pockets to travel into, and gradually cutting into the polymer matrix. 5600 psi water finds a way. Waterjet cutters run at 10X that pressure, but 5600psi still does damage.
This process does weaken the structure, especially with cycling. Combine that with local fiber buckling, stress concentrations, and shearing from water pressure, and it's easy to see how this could fail.
Nitpick: Challenger was the 25th flight, and Columbia was the 113th.Quote:
Elon fan here, but Challenger was STS-51 and Columbia was STS-107...so about 50 flights and 100 flights in to the program. Doesn't sound like the test phase to me.
For these first 4 "test" flights, there were only 2 crew members.Ag83 said:
First 4 flights had ejection seats for crew.
I'll be they would have though.BonfireNerd04 said:For these first 4 "test" flights, there were only 2 crew members.Ag83 said:
First 4 flights had ejection seats for crew.
The ejection seats were removed for "operational" flights because it wasn't possible to provide them for an entire 7-member crew, and the commanders and pilots generally held the opinion that they wouldn't want the ability to eject if it meant having to leave others behind.
I suspect most people's opinion would change on that very quickly when facing certain death and simple pull of a handle can extend the time they spend with their families. These folks are no doubt very brave and honorable, but the terror of those final seconds could be very powerful.JABQ04 said:
I seriously doubt that. No pilot is going to abandon their aircraft while the rest of their crew can't bail out.
I'm sure some of them would choose to die at the last moment and likely all of them would elect not to have an ejection seat if that were an option beforehand. That being said, I suspect many would pull the ejection handle at the last second if it were there and everyone was sure to die regardless. Self preservation is a basic human instinct that can be hard to overcome for even the most noble among us.JABQ04 said:
I think the most logical comparison is bomber pilots who stayed in control of their ship long enough enough to give their crews times to bail out in WWII and other wars. At least one of our Aggie MOH recipients did this. While not the same as a space shuttle, these men knew what they were doing and what the likely outcome of them staying in the plane longer than their crew was. To be fair, none of them wanted to die, but they could have just as easily said something like we're going down and bail out, but willingly chose to stay in control of a burning and crashing plane to give others a chance to get out. They also knew that their own chance to escape safely was diminishing every second and the aircraft would no longer be stable for their own escape. I have a hard time believing a military pilot/NASA astronaut would yank the ejection handle and leave their crew and passengers to their fate. Those guys and girls aren't wired like that.
Ag83 said:
First 4 flights had ejection seats for crew.
AgsMyDude said:
Correct, Apollo never had ejection seats
AgsMyDude said:
Correct, Apollo never had ejection seats
agracer said:
this is a good video about the "engineering" of the sub.
The most salient points are about Stockton Rush's comments about "pilot error" and "certification organizations". Stockton was an idiot.
eric76 said:
There are reports that if you put a light to one side of the carbon fiber, you could see light on the other side from gaps and imperfections and the gradual damage to the carbon fiber.
Quote:
To assess the carbon-fibre hull, Lochridge examined a small cross-section of material. He found that it had "very visible signs of delamination and porosity"it seemed possible that, after repeated dives, it would come apart. He shone a light at the sample from behind, and photographed beams streaming through splits in the midsection in a disturbing, irregular pattern. The only safe way to dive, Lochridge concluded, was to first carry out a full scan of the hull.
Thanks. I saw a mention of a New Yorker article, but hadn't taken the time to search for it.yawny06 said:eric76 said:
There are reports that if you put a light to one side of the carbon fiber, you could see light on the other side from gaps and imperfections and the gradual damage to the carbon fiber.
I posted the article earlier in the thread, but the person who said this was the engineer who got fired for raising concerns.Quote:
To assess the carbon-fibre hull, Lochridge examined a small cross-section of material. He found that it had "very visible signs of delamination and porosity"it seemed possible that, after repeated dives, it would come apart. He shone a light at the sample from behind, and photographed beams streaming through splits in the midsection in a disturbing, irregular pattern. The only safe way to dive, Lochridge concluded, was to first carry out a full scan of the hull.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/a-reporter-at-large/the-titan-submersible-was-an-accident-waiting-to-happen?mc_cid=3ccf735a10&mc_eid=9fa07cff91
Burdizzo said:AgsMyDude said:
Correct, Apollo never had ejection seats
Apollo had rockets on the command module that were supposed to fire in emergency cases during liftoff if the CM were to jettison and pull the CM away from the rest of the rocket. It always seemed to me that if the Saturn launch vehicle failed it would happen so fast that escape system was kind of useless. Fortunately, they never actually needed it. The only astronauts to die because of Apollo were the three that died in the Apollo test on the ground.
Not really comparable since crew and passengers in the shuttle had no means to get out regardless of what the pilot does.JABQ04 said:
I think the most logical comparison is bomber pilots who stayed in control of their ship long enough enough to give their crews times to bail out in WWII and other wars. At least one of our Aggie MOH recipients did this. While not the same as a space shuttle, these men knew what they were doing and what the likely outcome of them staying in the plane longer than their crew was. To be fair, none of them wanted to die, but they could have just as easily said something like we're going down and bail out, but willingly chose to stay in control of a burning and crashing plane to give others a chance to get out. They also knew that their own chance to escape safely was diminishing every second and the aircraft would no longer be stable for their own escape. I have a hard time believing a military pilot/NASA astronaut would yank the ejection handle and leave their crew and passengers to their fate. Those guys and girls aren't wired like that.
The lack of any sort of crew escape system was a major shortcoming of the shuttle. The Russians were incredulous that it lacked one. It would not have helped with Columbia, though. Also questionable if it would have worked with Challenger.agracer said:he's talking about the shuttle.AgsMyDude said:Ag83 said:
First 4 flights had ejection seats for crew.
Don't think Apollo 1 did.....
And Apollo did have a crew escape system that would rocket the capsule away from the rest of the rockets stages, parachute land and allow the crew to, hopefully, live.
Apollo 1 is not even comparable though. They were testing, not launching.
Simple Dunning-Kruger effect. Rush thought he was "innovating", when in reality he was just ignoring the reasons why competent designers don't make the choices that he did.NASAg03 said:
"This wasn't innovation. There's nothing innovative about making a composite overwrap pressure vessel and putting people inside. This was profiteering. Innovation is advancing materials science and reliable use of composites under water."
"I would attribute this to malice, expect Stockton Rush was on this sub. As Hanlon's razor goes, never attribute to malice what which is adequately explained by stupidity."