texagbeliever said:
aggie93 said:
You have to look at this through the lens of how you get new voters not if Trump was screwed or treated badly or how much he still fires up people that were already going to vote for him.
I think the path to more voters in 2024 is this:
1. Biden's economy is bad.
2. Republicans must sell to christian women the fear of their childrens' future and innocence as well as the crime problem. (These are the never Trump because he is mean sub group not all christian women of course). Basically they have to win the imagination battle of creating a more negative scenario for the other candidate.
Admittedly this isn't a problem DeSantis would have, his problem would be in winning or demotivating working class moderates.
3. Count on fatigue of anti-trump. I think people are tired of that line. It is not going to stir people up like it did in 2020.
Really the question between DeSantis and Trump is which seems more feasible: Trump making inroads with Christian educated women or DeSantis capturing and maintaining the working class vote. I dont know which is easier.
If that's the debate then DeSantis is the obvious choice.
1. DeSantis can run on the Florida economy which is the best in the country.
2. As you admit, this is not an issue for DeSantis. He's basically the husband those women dream of having and looks and acts the part.
3. People are just tired of Trump and 80 year old politicians. That's obviously not an issue for DeSantis.
Trump may be able to get some of the Christian women back but damn he is hated by a lot of them and many will never come back to the fold. He's burned bridges and poured gasoline on them and set fire to them. Any Moderate woman is definitely gone.
DeSantis absolutely can get the working class vote, especially in the Midwest. He was raised pure middle class and is Catholic. It's not like he will have trouble connecting with those voters. He gets a Trump endorsement and he has them locked up, the only question is turnout. No way to prove or disprove turnout for DeSantis on a national scale but he crushed it in Florida.