That is not a chart of Gross Domestic Product, That is a chart of Gross Domestic Product Growth. Before each recession over the last 40 years (except for COVID lockdown), each recession has preceded by high GDP growth.Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:
Lol
Yea 2016 through 2020 really sucked as compared to the last year and 3 months….
Trump was def the bigger the threat huh??
Lmfao… & I'm not a real conservative
Thanks for contributing to create the current ****show
If you think the issues of the last year (I'm guessing you mean inflation?) are due solely to Biden, you need to better understand economics. That's been coming since Obama/the Fed easy money, (and before) , and through Trump's policy and both sides reaction to Covid (which was stupid, the lock down was stupid, which lead to stimi's and the most stupid of all the PPP loans).
Even if you think Trump created a hot economy all on his own, that in and of itself creates inflation eventually without rate increases.
I hope the R's take the Senate in the next election then nothing will get passed between 22-24 and that's fine with me.
How old are you and what gives you the right to spew insanity on this board?
Apparently you can't do math. My username clearly states my class.
Can you read a chart?
I make a living reading charts.
Before I eviscerate you're menial economic knowledge and dumb statement, I'd like to give you an opportunity to expound on what you think you meant by your statement and why you are quoting a chart of our gross domestic product as "proof" for a roaring economy creating inflation in and of itself.
stetson said:
It's not like it's unprecedented and the jihadis didn't do this or that he's stating that this is the case, so it's a valid question. Wrong to excoriate him for asking the question.
I tweeted this out this morning. I was predicting what @TuckerCarlson would say “tonight.” Here’s what’s funny: So many people read this tweet & believed Tucker had already said it. Which is understandable becuz it’s EXACTLY the kind of thing Putin-lover Tucker would & has said. https://t.co/dxDLDjOPK1
— Joe Walsh (@WalshFreedom) April 5, 2022
Between 1980 and 1992 under Republicans (Reagan, Bush), The Fed lowered rates from about 17.5% to about 5%. (Net -12.5%)Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:YouBet said:The lesson here is that we should never try to good things because eventually bad things will happen.Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:
Lol
Yea 2016 through 2020 really sucked as compared to the last year and 3 months….
Trump was def the bigger the threat huh??
Lmfao… & I'm not a real conservative
Thanks for contributing to create the current ****show
If you think the issues of the last year (I'm guessing you mean inflation?) are due solely to Biden, you need to better understand economics. That's been coming since Obama/the Fed easy money, (and before) , and through Trump's policy and both sides reaction to Covid (which was stupid, the lock down was stupid, which lead to stimi's and the most stupid of all the PPP loans).
Even if you think Trump created a hot economy all on his own, that in and of itself creates inflation eventually without rate increases.
I hope the R's take the Senate in the next election then nothing will get passed between 22-24 and that's fine with me.
How old are you and what gives you the right to spew insanity on this board?
So, just do nothing.
No, the lesson is that inflation is not one year in the making. People who say this wouldn't have happened under Trump are incorrect.
Why does the fed raise rates under republicans and trump and then create practically free money and drop rates like crazy under Dem presidents?
Why did Staff nuke that thread?VegasAg86 said:
Walsh has admitted he made it up.
https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3281961/replies/61812562#61812562
You tried. Next time use all caps maybe. Here's a third star.baron_von_awesome said:The tweet says 7 am.....so I guess, it's bs?Valtrex11 said:You mean a tweet from a partisan hack itsn't enough.....lol;MiniShrike said:
It should be a fairly simple question to answer.
Where's the video?
I have had numerous posts deleted here on TexAgs that ask these kinds of questions, despite repeatedly stating I am against Russia's invasion.aggie93 said:It's a valid question. Both sides are spewing tons of fake news.shiftyandquick said:.@TuckerCarlson tonight: “What if these bodies of tortured, dead civilians were staged? What if they’re fake? What if the Ukrainian military killed them & then blamed Russia? I’m not saying any of this is true, I’m just asking the questions. Why can’t we ask these questions?”
— Joe Walsh (@WalshFreedom) April 4, 2022
aggrad02 said:That is not a chart of Gross Domestic Product, That is a chart of Gross Domestic Product Growth. Before each recession over the last 40 years (except for COVID lockdown), each recession has preceded by high GDP growth.Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:
Lol
Yea 2016 through 2020 really sucked as compared to the last year and 3 months….
Trump was def the bigger the threat huh??
Lmfao… & I'm not a real conservative
Thanks for contributing to create the current ****show
If you think the issues of the last year (I'm guessing you mean inflation?) are due solely to Biden, you need to better understand economics. That's been coming since Obama/the Fed easy money, (and before) , and through Trump's policy and both sides reaction to Covid (which was stupid, the lock down was stupid, which lead to stimi's and the most stupid of all the PPP loans).
Even if you think Trump created a hot economy all on his own, that in and of itself creates inflation eventually without rate increases.
I hope the R's take the Senate in the next election then nothing will get passed between 22-24 and that's fine with me.
How old are you and what gives you the right to spew insanity on this board?
Apparently you can't do math. My username clearly states my class.
Can you read a chart?
I make a living reading charts.
Before I eviscerate you're menial economic knowledge and dumb statement, I'd like to give you an opportunity to expound on what you think you meant by your statement and why you are quoting a chart of our gross domestic product as "proof" for a roaring economy creating inflation in and of itself.
Quote:
Its pretty much an economic fact that GDP growth (with out increased output) leads to inflation. High GDP growth = High Inflation. High inflation will eventually lead to a recession. Usually we are okay with 2%, and that leads to around 2% inflation depending on Fed policy.
Because of Trumps/Biden/The Fed policy plus COVID policy (lockdown and stimulus), over the past two years Real GDP growth is between 5% and 6% (nominal will be higher and its not on the chart because that one stops at 2010), unemployment is almost realistically at 0% (everyone who wants to get a job pretty much can) so production cannot expand and demand is outstripping supply by a lot (7% inflation) not to mention security valuation inflation. I wager a recession is coming.
Quote:
Trumps pre covid Real GDP Growth rate was between 2.5% and 3% for 2018/2019 (once again higher for nominal). If this rate would have stayed even at those rates (he was claiming it would go higher), the Fed would have had to raise interest rates to keep inflation at 2% which would have slowed GDP growth, possibly leading to a recession.
It is disinformation and complete horse ***** Sorry Tucker got the better of all his detractors again.Retired FBI Agent said:You tried. Next time use all caps maybe. Here's a third star.baron_von_awesome said:The tweet says 7 am.....so I guess, it's bs?Valtrex11 said:You mean a tweet from a partisan hack itsn't enough.....lol;MiniShrike said:
It should be a fairly simple question to answer.
Where's the video?
TheEternalPessimist said:
Fact is, Zelensky's government is corrupt, and the banning of non-state sanctioned media and the banning of minority party participation is totalitarian behavior.
My friends were able to leave Kiev a few days ago, and drove 6 hours to Odessa. They left their apartment about a mile north of the major soccer stadium because the Ukranian military installed ground to air missiles right outside their front door on Thursday! They also setup a military command and control center in the adjacent structure. My friends had seen enough and quietly left.
Why are the Ukrainian military deliberately setting up this stuff in areas where hundreds of civilians live? Why are the Ukrainian government and military re-posting and celebrating the Azov Battalion (open Nazis)? There are many many questions.......... and we should be free to ask them...... and ask them without being accused of being a Putin propagandist or a traitor to this country.......
aggrad02 said:Between 1980 and 1992 under Republicans (Reagan, Bush), The Fed lowered rates from about 17.5% to about 5%. (Net -12.5%)Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:YouBet said:The lesson here is that we should never try to good things because eventually bad things will happen.Tom Kazansky 2012 said:aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:
Lol
Yea 2016 through 2020 really sucked as compared to the last year and 3 months….
Trump was def the bigger the threat huh??
Lmfao… & I'm not a real conservative
Thanks for contributing to create the current ****show
If you think the issues of the last year (I'm guessing you mean inflation?) are due solely to Biden, you need to better understand economics. That's been coming since Obama/the Fed easy money, (and before) , and through Trump's policy and both sides reaction to Covid (which was stupid, the lock down was stupid, which lead to stimi's and the most stupid of all the PPP loans).
Even if you think Trump created a hot economy all on his own, that in and of itself creates inflation eventually without rate increases.
I hope the R's take the Senate in the next election then nothing will get passed between 22-24 and that's fine with me.
How old are you and what gives you the right to spew insanity on this board?
So, just do nothing.
No, the lesson is that inflation is not one year in the making. People who say this wouldn't have happened under Trump are incorrect.
Why does the fed raise rates under republicans and trump and then create practically free money and drop rates like crazy under Dem presidents?
Between 1992 and 2000 under Democrats (Clinton), The Fed raised rates from about 3% to about 5.5%. (Net +2.5%)
Between 2000 and 2008 under Republicans (Bush), The Fed first continued to raise rates from about 5.5% to about 6.5% until 911, then lowered them to about 1%, then raised them back to about 5.5% by 2008, so net 0%.
Between 2008 and 2016 under Democrats (Obama), the Fed first continue to raise rates but eventually dropped them to almost 0 due to the financial crises, where they stayed until about 2016, So a drop of 5.5%.
During Trumps term, the Fed did raise rates to about 2.5% until the lockdown and its been almost 0% ever since, so also a net of 0% under Trump. Though they would have kept raising them without Covid and that would have eventually lead to a recession and that is my point.
Tom Kazansky 2012 said:Quote:
Yeah. Got it, cute, but that's a gross oversimplification of what you trying to spike the football with gdp growth being a leading indicator to recessions. That's like saying because there is always a forest present before a fire that a forest indicates where a forest fire will be.
More like saying an overgrown and dry forest is more likely to burn. Trump was drying out the forest.High GDP growth leads to higher inflation, it's the same thing, and that's my point, unless we just live with inflation which will be a long term mess. I also agree about the disasters/malfeasence indicator, but that's not what we were talking about.Quote:
Rate raising to control inflation and world disasters/malfeasance drastically popping a bubble or pulling a rug out on the world/US economy is a better indicator to recessions. (Iranian revolt, subprime mortgages, dotcom all examples.). There are plenty of example of the graph you posted where gdp growth does not end up with recessions.Disagree with the bolded. That is my point. (BTW I'm not saying Biden is doing any better just blaming him for the totality of inflation is ridiculous and blind.)Quote:
Inflation will always be too many dollars chasing too few goods. This happens more often due to ****ty policy. Trump was hand tied with dem leadership and literal state shut downs in california and NY along with our supply issues. Biden had figuratively thrown gas on the fire. We were recoverable had trump not had the election stolen, but here we are.Yes I know this. Trump knew this as well, and that's why spending did not go down either nominally or adjusted for inflation under Trump, he knew he could pump the economy. It's also why he increased the deficit at a higher rate than Obama. (By cutting taxes and refusing to cut spending).Quote:
Fiscal spending and government is literally the biggest piece of the pie when it comes to calculating GDP,
Republicans are supposed to be financially responsible. He should have cut spending with the tax cuts.There needs to be, and I think there will be. If not we are F'd due to inflation, unless something else on the world theater happens. I think this will also lead to a R president in 2024, unless Trump runs again. (Trump might even be able to beat Biden if the economy gets to the recession before but it isn't a given) And if Trump does win we will go through it again because he won't have sound fiscal policy. It will come home to roost.Quote:
Cool. Why hasnt there been a significant hike under biden at this point?
Tom Kazansky 2012 said:You are the one who claimed the rates went up for R's and down for D's. Sorry the data doesn't match your claim, you can twist it how you want.Quote:
Again this is just disingenuous.
Net rates over a term dont tell the story.
Huge boom in the 90s totally matched the rate hike we see during bush and trump years.... right?
And what is that flat line during obama's entire tenure?
Sorry I wont go deeper. Your explanation and NET rate hike over an 8 year presidential period is an all new level of full of *****
Hard to look at this and say that the fed isnt politically motivated by who is in office--no matter who is in running it.
Seems like the rates went up during high growth and were cut or kept low during low growth regardless of the President.Well we can agree on one thing.Quote:
DC seems corrupt to the core.
Coach_Fran said:
He didn't pull it out of thin air. There are rumors on the ground that the dead civilians were Russian sympathizers who refused to take up arms against Russian troops.
There's so much propaganda on both sides that I dont know what to think of anything being reported
Artorias said:
I trust Zelensky and the Ukraine Govt. about as much as I trust Putin.
There is no question that this poster has changed all of he/she/him/her/they whatever pronoun they go by to the Ukrainian flag on all of their social media accounts. Comical, really.boboguitar said:
This thread is amazing.
This is a false quote, tucker said nothing of the sort (well, sorta, in the beginning, he did these kinds of mental gymnastics when Russia first invaded) but as for the video, he has not made any comment like this.
However, despite this quote trying to satire Tucker as a Russian propagandist, it still worked. People in this thread not only took it seriously but actually agreed with the propaganda.
Every time I think conservatives couldn't get any dumber, this board surprises me.
Jesus Christ. Good job and well thought out move. There's a reason why sane people on this board are so pissed at people like you. Stolen elections have consequences and the rest of us are having to reap what your ilk have sowed.aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:aggrad02 said:hbtheduce said:aggrad02 said:Jeeper79 said:
He's always just "asking questions". That's his plausibly deniable code phrase for spewing conspiracy BS.
This, and he spews it because his audience eats it up. Look at the posts above… Conspiracy theory Trumpist support Russia, are upset that people aren't buying the BS, Tucker notices this and feeds it back to them and they lap it up.
Rather than you, who supports the "ghost of kiev" or the glorious sacrifice of the soldiers at "snake island".
Ukraine is pumping out propaganda. I'm not going to believe **** from either side.
Where did you see me support those?
Btw The Snake Island thing was mostly true and not propaganda.
This is what Trump and Trumpist do, compare outrageous claims with slightly minor mistakes and claim that nothing can be known.
Russia: Ukraine is committing the atrocities and staging them to get world support (outrageous lie)
Ukraine: The Snake Island Marines were killed defending Ukraine. (Mostly true, some died and some were captured but Ukraine didn't know it at the time and had no way to know.)
Trumpist: I can't believe anything.
Holy **** Trump broke you
Did you pull the lever for Biden directly or indirectly?
Not that it matters I'm just curious
I couldn't respond in the other thread where you took responsibility for being a Populist. I do commend you for admitting that.
2020 I voted for Biden directly as Trump was a greater danger to this country.
If the Republicans run a better candidate in 2024 I will vote R again as I traditionally have. (Didn't vote for Trump in 16 either).
Btw: Trump didn't break me, his supporters populism is what is incredulous.
Reporting is fragmentary at present: so the number of victims is likely much higher than cases we can currently confirm. This is unsurprising on three counts. /7
— Jonathan Leader Maynard (@jleadermaynard) April 4, 2022
Second, the Kremlin is now wrapped in a hardline ultranationalist ideology that sees a West-leaning Ukrainian state as an existential political and ideological threat to Russia (contrary to the longstanding myth that Putin is ‘unideological’). https://t.co/AmEQLmxlcl /9
— Jonathan Leader Maynard (@jleadermaynard) April 4, 2022
Note that the common assertion that abuses against civilians are ‘inevitable’ in war is totally false. States have been found to directly target civilians in roughly 1/5 to 1/3 of all wars. Atrocities are appalling but not inevitable. https://t.co/RL5SZg4zXW /11
— Jonathan Leader Maynard (@jleadermaynard) April 4, 2022
We also have initial reports of the Russian army moving mobile crematoria into Ukraine – but I haven’t seen verified footage of this yet (video from the UK MoD *appears* to have been from pre-war). /13
— Jonathan Leader Maynard (@jleadermaynard) April 4, 2022
But we lack good enough data at this stage, imo, to conclude that genocide is being committed. The leading NGO @genocide_watch has not yet declared a genocide alert in the Ukraine. This obviously could change. https://t.co/HLmhnpnGT7. /15
— Jonathan Leader Maynard (@jleadermaynard) April 4, 2022
Coach_Fran said:
He didn't pull it out of thin air. There are rumors on the ground that the dead civilians were Russian sympathizers who refused to take up arms against Russian troops.
There's so much propaganda on both sides that I dont know what to think of anything being reported
So much this. Also, that some small part of the electorate (around 30 percent) still hasn't reconciled that they made an immature, stupid decision in 2020 which was a terrible mistake not just for this country, but the world.johnnyblaze36 said:Jesus Christ. Good job and well thought out move. There's a reason why sane people on this board are so pissed at people like you. Stolen elections have consequences and the rest of us are having to reap what your ilk have sowed.aggrad02 said:My Name Is Judge said:aggrad02 said:hbtheduce said:aggrad02 said:Jeeper79 said:
He's always just "asking questions". That's his plausibly deniable code phrase for spewing conspiracy BS.
This, and he spews it because his audience eats it up. Look at the posts above… Conspiracy theory Trumpist support Russia, are upset that people aren't buying the BS, Tucker notices this and feeds it back to them and they lap it up.
Rather than you, who supports the "ghost of kiev" or the glorious sacrifice of the soldiers at "snake island".
Ukraine is pumping out propaganda. I'm not going to believe **** from either side.
Where did you see me support those?
Btw The Snake Island thing was mostly true and not propaganda.
This is what Trump and Trumpist do, compare outrageous claims with slightly minor mistakes and claim that nothing can be known.
Russia: Ukraine is committing the atrocities and staging them to get world support (outrageous lie)
Ukraine: The Snake Island Marines were killed defending Ukraine. (Mostly true, some died and some were captured but Ukraine didn't know it at the time and had no way to know.)
Trumpist: I can't believe anything.
Holy **** Trump broke you
Did you pull the lever for Biden directly or indirectly?
Not that it matters I'm just curious
I couldn't respond in the other thread where you took responsibility for being a Populist. I do commend you for admitting that.
2020 I voted for Biden directly as Trump was a greater danger to this country.
If the Republicans run a better candidate in 2024 I will vote R again as I traditionally have. (Didn't vote for Trump in 16 either).
Btw: Trump didn't break me, his supporters populism is what is incredulous.
TheEternalPessimist said:I have had numerous posts deleted here on TexAgs that ask these kinds of questions, despite repeatedly stating I am against Russia's invasion.aggie93 said:It's a valid question. Both sides are spewing tons of fake news.shiftyandquick said:.@TuckerCarlson tonight: “What if these bodies of tortured, dead civilians were staged? What if they’re fake? What if the Ukrainian military killed them & then blamed Russia? I’m not saying any of this is true, I’m just asking the questions. Why can’t we ask these questions?”
— Joe Walsh (@WalshFreedom) April 4, 2022
Fact is, Zelensky's government is corrupt, and the banning of non-state sanctioned media and the banning of minority party participation is totalitarian behavior.
My friends were able to leave Kiev a few days ago, and drove 6 hours to Odessa. They left their apartment about a mile north of the major soccer stadium because the Ukranian military installed ground to air missiles right outside their front door on Thursday! They also setup a military command and control center in the adjacent structure. My friends had seen enough and quietly left.
Why are the Ukrainian military deliberately setting up this stuff in areas where hundreds of civilians live? Why are the Ukrainian government and military re-posting and celebrating the Azov Battalion (open Nazis)? There are many many questions.......... and we should be free to ask them...... and ask them without being accused of being a Putin propagandist or a traitor to this country.......
aggrad02 said:Squadron7 said:Quote:
If you think the issues of the last year (I'm guessing you mean inflation?) are due solely to Biden, you need to better understand economics. That's been coming since Obama/the Fed easy money, (and before) , and through Trump's policy and both sides reaction to Covid (which was stupid, the lock down was stupid, which lead to stimi's and the most stupid of all the PPP loans).
How can voting for Biden not be considered doubling down on everything in that paragraph?
That's my point Trump did it, Biden wanted to do it. That's the double down, it didn't make a difference. Because of Obama, then Trump, then Biden (or Trump again) we would be in this situation (especially since Fed policy isn't controlled by either directly).
A recession is coming because of Trump/Biden easy money, rates will be risen, it doesn't matter who is in office, this is going to happen more than likely, or inflation will continue.
Artorias said:
I trust Zelensky and the Ukraine Govt. about as much as I trust Putin.
Retired FBI Agent said:
inb4 all replies are edited.
Edit: Walsh really took some lefties and righties in his twitter replies for a ride it seems, after reading. Gold Jerry.
AGHouston11 said:
Not seeing this I wondered the same thing when I saw some footage on TV. It looked sort of staged. Huge trenches dug with a few black body bags. They were calling it mass graves.
Not calling it fake but it's hard to believe everything on the news these days. Investigative journalism is dead.
Harrison Wells said:rgag12 said:
He has a point
But does he? Wow.