I will never buy an electric powered vehicle.

519,414 Views | 7787 Replies | Last: 12 days ago by techno-ag
Teslag
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AG
cecil77 said:

Teslag said:



For some it is, for some it isn't. It's not wise to make a blanket statement for everyone's situation.

How to say "not ready for prime time" w/out saying not ready for prime time.



A good solution for most urban commuters is definitely prime time. Remember, most Americans live in or with commuting distance to cities and take annual road trips of less than 500 miles.
Daddy
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aggiehawg said:

The reason why is The Hubs has a hard time keeping the lake house golf cart charged, all of his tools charged.

We have multiple 200 amps drops on the ranch. But keeping that many things charged even on a trickle cell does not work forever. They die.

Until battery tech makes a HUGE advancement, EVs are futile.

Now, tell me why I am wrong.


I won't buy because woke left govt wants us too
That's enough for me to go opposite dirsction

Ice for me

Largest I can afford
hph6203
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$200 is more than the average driver pays in gas tax. Is fair and appropriate.
GeorgiAg
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Just drove my buddy's Rivian truck. Awesome.


I want one now.
torrid
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Daddy said:

aggiehawg said:

The reason why is The Hubs has a hard time keeping the lake house golf cart charged, all of his tools charged.

We have multiple 200 amps drops on the ranch. But keeping that many things charged even on a trickle cell does not work forever. They die.

Until battery tech makes a HUGE advancement, EVs are futile.

Now, tell me why I am wrong.


I won't buy because woke left govt wants us too
That's enough for me to go opposite dirsction

Ice for me

Largest I can afford
LRHF
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AG
What's your yearly mileage assumption? I thought this then assumed 12,000 miles a year and it seemed close (albeit on the low end)
FJB24
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This guy…well he noted that the seat bolsters are still good after 22,000 or so miles. 0-60 in 3.5 does sound nice, but I guess not everyone loves these things.
nortex97
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LOL, such 'competence'…

Quote:

President Joe Biden's Department of Interior Secretary Deb Haaland is seemingly unaware that China controls the world's critical minerals supply chain the very raw materials needed to produce batteries for electric vehicles.

During a Senate hearing this week, Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) questioned Haaland about the Biden administration's strict regulations that seek to boost electric vehicles over gas-powered vehicles.

The issue with the regulations, though, is that the materials needed to make electric vehicle batteries are controlled by China, as Breitbart News has extensively reported. Haaland, when asked by Hawley if she was knowledgeable of China's controlling the supply chain for electric vehicle batteries, said she was unaware.

The exchange went as follows:
Quote:

HAWLEY: On the subject of these sweeping mandates related to electric vehicles that the Biden administration has imposed, including for our military, the metals needed to make the lithium ion batteries in those vehicles are of course lithium, nickel, graphite, and cobalt. Now, can you tell me what nation is the largest producer of refined lithium in the world?
HAALAND: No I can't.
HAWLEY: Can you tell me what nation is the largest producer of refined cobalt in the world?
HAALAND: No, Senator.
HAWLEY: It's China. Do you know what nation is the largest exporter of natural graphite to the United States, globally?
HAALAND: No, Senator.
HAWLEY: It's China. So in all of these instances, your decision to trade our energy security in favor of a radical climate change agenda is making us more and more dependent on China and at the same time, you are denying blocking mining, blocking permits for mining in this country that would allow us to develop nickel and copper and cobalt. Why? Why block the development of these resources in our nation in favor of making us dependent on China?
Last month, reports circulated that the Biden administration's tax credits for electric vehicles made in the United States, Mexico, or Canada are "running into a problem" as China's grip on the critical mineral supply chain grows stronger.

Specifically, China dominates a number of raw materials needed to manufacture batteries for electric vehicles such as graphite, lithium, and cobalt. By 2025, for instance, China is set to control about a third of all of the world's lithium.
FJB24
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It's going to be funny when the enviro-commies go after BEV's:

Quote:

More than 70 cities in California alone have voted to ban natural gas hookups in new homes. New York became the first to impose a statewide ban. Sarah Fox, an associate law professor at Northern Illinois University School of Law, gleefully told CNN that this ban "is becoming a mainstream policy."
Soon it will be the auto industry's turn.

Just as natural gas producers before them, they are bear-hugging green groups and working arm-in-arm with government while promising to bring forth a magical electric car future.

GM says it will be all-electric by 2035. (In the first quarter of this year, EVs accounted for a grand total of 3.4% of GM sales.) Ford aims to have electric vehicles make up half of its sales by 2030. Toyota says it will be "carbon neutral" by 2050.

States are getting into the act, with California announcing a ban on the sale of gas-powered cars starting in 2035. Other states have followed suit. The Biden administration plans to impose emissions regulations so strict that they would force two-thirds of all cars sold to be electric by 2032.

Consumers don't want these cars, yet environmentalists are determined to force them into the market "for the greater good."

So our prediction is this: As soon as automakers have gone over the edge with EVs, and as soon as government mandates start to kick in, environmentalists will declare them "dirty, dangerous, and run amok."

We're already seeing the early stages of this bait-and-switch. This week, the Los Angeles Times blasted GM killing off its compact Bolt to make room for battery-powered EVs. The Times said that "Replacing the Chevy Bolt with electric SUVs would be a climate tragedy."

Wait. Climate tragedy? Really?

Turns out, only certain EVs are now acceptable to environmentalists.

"Electric vehicles are on the whole better for the planet than gas-powered vehicles, but bigger, heavier, and less efficient EV models have more environmental impacts than smaller ones," the Times editorial board sniffed.

It is now calling on regulators to not just force car buyers to give up their trusty internal combustion engines, but trade them in for "small, zero-emission cars that most people can afford to buy." It won't be long before green mobs start slashing tires of electric trucks and SUVs.
Quote:

At some point, no electric car will be good enough. Environmentalists will "discover" that building car batteries is massively damaging to the environment. They will be shocked to learn that EVs aren't "zero emission" at all, because the electricity used to charge them still largely comes from fossil-fuel-powered generators. They will decry the fact that EVs are making human-right-abusing despots fabulously rich. They will say EVs aren't doing nearly enough to stop the climate "crisis."

The only solution, they will say, is that we give up private ownership of cars, move to "15-minute" cities, cram into public transportation until they decide that these encumbrances aren't sufficient to fight "climate change."
Excaliber
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The EV revolution and rebuilding of the power grids that entails will cut down on the amount of petroleum products the country needs to buy from Texas entailing Texas to eventually introduce a Texas income tax.
So the Texas free ride will be over.
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FJB24
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Excaliber said:

The EV revolution and rebuilding of the power grids that entails will cut down on the amount of petroleum products the country needs to buy from Texas entailing Texas to eventually introduce a Texas income tax.
So the Texas free ride will be over.
LOL. BEV's have a HUGE carbon footprint in their manufacture (and disposal), which is why they aren't even 'neutral' vs. a new ICE vehicle for 5 to 7 years.

Quote:

A lithium EV battery weighs about 1,000 pounds.(a) While there are dozens of variations, such a battery typically contains about 25 pounds of lithium, 30 pounds of cobalt, 60 pounds of nickel, 110 pounds of graphite, 90 pounds of copper,(b) about 400 pounds of steel, aluminum, and various plastic components.(c)
Looking upstream at the ore grades, one can estimate the typical quantity of rock that must be extracted from the earth and processed to yield the pure minerals needed to fabricate that single battery:
Lithium brines typically contain less than 0.1% lithium, so that entails some 25,000 pounds of brines to get the 25 pounds of pure lithium.(d)
Cobalt ore grades average about 0.1%, thus nearly 30,000 pounds of ore.(e)
Nickel ore grades average about 1%, thus about 6,000 pounds of ore.(f)
Graphite ore is typically 10%, thus about 1,000 pounds per battery.(g)
Copper at about 0.6% in the ore, thus about 25,000 pounds of ore per battery.(h)
In total then, acquiring just these five elements to produce the 1,000-pound EV battery requires mining about 90,000 pounds of ore. To properly account for all of the earth moved thoughwhich is relevant to the overall environmental footprint, and mining machinery energy useone needs to estimate the overburden, or the materials first dug up to get to the ore. Depending on ore type and location, overburden ranges from about 3 to 20 tons of earth removed to access each ton of ore.(i)
They also require, just so you know, huge amounts of energy just to produce those batteries, often in the form of huge Caterpillar earth movers etc. And bigger tires etc. because they are heavier (made from oil.)

Nothing about EV's is environmentally sound, or likely to 'force Texas to move to an income tax':

Quote:

To achieve the same driving range as 60 pounds of gasoline, an EV battery weighs about 1,000 pounds. Not much of that gap is closed by the lower weight of an electric versus gasoline motor because the former is typically only about 200 pounds lighter than the latter.

Manufacturers offset some of a battery's weight penalty by lightening the rest of the EV using more aluminum or carbon fiber instead of steel. Unfortunately, those materials are respectively 300% and 600% more energy intensive per pound to produce than steel. Using a half ton of aluminum, common in many EVs, adds six tons of CO2 to the non-battery embodied emissions (a factor most analyses ignore). But it's with all the other elements, the ones needed to fabricate the battery itself, where the emissions accounting gets messy.
How much of the state's budget do you think comes from oil and gas taxes? LOL, again. You probably believe in 'renewable magic.'
cav14
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aggiehawg said:

The reason why is The Hubs has a hard time keeping the lake house golf cart charged, all of his tools charged.

We have multiple 200 amps drops on the ranch. But keeping that many things charged even on a trickle cell does not work forever. They die.

Until battery tech makes a HUGE advancement, EVs are futile.

Now, tell me why I am wrong.
If you and your Hubs have a hard time keeping anything charged up for your needs, then yeah an EV is not for you and you should never get an EV. It is worth it for you to pay more money on gasoline fuel for the convenience to quickly fuel up at public gas station rather than going through your own personal troubles and inconveniences trying to charge an EV at your own home.

But for many other drivers who live different lifestyles and have different driving habits, an EV is actually more convenient for them since they usually have no issues reliability charging all their electronic devices at home to include an EV.
notex
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Quote:

Some electric vehicles (EV) models are losing their value at twice the rate of the petrol equivalents, it was claimed.

EV prices have plummeted by 39 per cent between 2020 and 2023, while petrol car value fell 30 per cent in the same period, according to Choose My Car.

Drivers have been pushed towards EVs by government initiatives intended to help reach net zero by 2050.

But they risk losing thousands of pounds more than those who stick with petrol.

A driver who bought an electric BMW i3 in 2020 paid 39,000 but could only sell the car for 13,900 today, a depreciation of 64 per cent.


Full article, HERE from the Telegraph UK.

If you manage to 'brick' or completely discharge your battery, regardless of age, the possibility exists that it will have to be changed. How long does a Tesla battery last? Supposedly up to 200,000 miles in the US, from Motor Trend- HERE.

Now let's look at battery costs… Found this on a Tesla site- For the Model S premium sedan, replacing a Tesla battery costs around $13,000-$20,000. Model 3 entry-level sedan and Model X premium SUV battery replacement can cost at least $13,000 and $14,000 respectively.

And you have to add in up to $175/hr for labor… from 3 to 13 hours, depending on the car.
It may look like I'm picking on Tesla, but their information is the most available, and probably the most reliable…

When you add it the costs to charge it, both the modifications needed to 'most' home wiring, and now the charges being laid on public chargers and the time lost, I just cannot justify spending that much for one of them…
That's per links above from a Telegraph article but editorialized by this blogger.
Teslag
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EV Haters: "EVS ARE TOO EXPENSIVE FOR THE COMMON MAN"

Also RV Haters: "EVS ARE GETTING CHEAPER TOO FAST"
techno-ag
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Teslag said:

EV Haters: "EVS ARE TOO EXPENSIVE FOR THE COMMON MAN"

Also RV Haters: "EVS ARE GETTING CHEAPER TOO FAST"


Trump will fix it.
agracer
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Teslag said:


Also RV Haters: "EVS ARE GETTING CHEAPER TOO FAST"


Don't think I've heard to many people say that, if any.
cecil77
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"Losing value" is not the same as "getting cheaper".
FJB24
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LOL, 42K for a fender dent. Just the news link;

Quote:

The shop he sent his truck to "completely disassembled" the back of the truck, according to Apfelstadt, and discovered much more damage than previously thought based on exterior inspection alone so much more that the "final bill" for his fender bender came to more than $42,000. Apfelstadt told Just The News the "at-fault driver's insurance covered the entire repair bill" since her policy had a $50,000 cap.

On top of the huge repair tab and the battle he says he'll face with insurance over "diminished value," Apfelstadt said it took over 10 weeks for his truck to be repaired and returned to his possession.
Still, Apfelstadt told Just The News, he hasn't changed his stance on EVs. "I did not buy the Rivian for any political or environmental motive," he said in an email. "I simply liked the brand and loved the look of the truck."

He concluded by warning that potential purchasers "probably should not buy an EV or even a new ICE car" if they can't afford the repair costs.

Apfelstadt's experience illustrates a broader concern that electric vehicles despite being touted as wallet-friendly since they don't use gas could surprise owners with painful hidden costs.
Bill Clinternet
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EV is the way to go.
Demosthenes81
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I'll take this one:

bmks270
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Small ICE engines are still the most affordable and good for society by keeping costs low.

Todays small and midsize SUVs with a 4 cylinder engine is peak American value vs cost. Bringing high standard of quality and functionality to the masses at affordable prices.

For 35k families can get a small SUV with great fuel economy without the limitations and the e expenses of electric cars.

I might one day own an electric vehicle, but for now my ICE vehicle is the perfect mix of luxury, utility, and affordability.

And I know a few Tesla owners who are staying electric but will be going with a different manufacturer for their next car.
techno-ag
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bmks270 said:

Small ICE engines are still the most affordable and good for society by keeping costs low.

Todays small and midsize SUVs with a 4 cylinder engine is peak American value vs cost. Bringing high standard of quality and functionality to the masses at affordable prices.

For 35k families can get a small SUV with great fuel economy without the limitations and the e expenses of electric cars.

I might one day own an electric vehicle, but for now my ICE vehicle is the perfect mix of luxury, utility, and affordability.

And I know a few Tesla owners who are staying electric but will be going with a different manufacturer for their next car.
Yup. There's a study out there showing EV buyers a few years back all went back to ICE for their next cars.
Trump will fix it.
hph6203
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This thread is the equivalent of analyzing smartphones in 2009 by looking at data from Motorola rather than Apple.
cecil77
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No, it's not.
hph6203
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Yes. It is. It's a terrible analysis with anecdotal statements or total misreads of markets or just outright fabrications. The entirety of the argument is solely focused on the here and now, as if 150 million drivers are going to switch to an EV tomorrow, rather than the market trends over the last decade. Nearly every model Tesla is at the same price or cheaper than it was 3 years ago, the overall auto market has seen prices expand by 27% from the end of 2019 to the end of 2022. We are rapidly approaching the point at which a Tesla Model 3 will sell for less than a kitted-out Camry.

Ford sells their Mustang Mach-E for more than Tesla sells its Model Y and yet they're losing money on their vehicles, while Tesla is making 20% margins. Ford loses about what they sell their vehicles for when accounting for capital expenditures. That's why it's silly to analyze electric vehicles by the broader market and you should rather focus on the market leader, because the leader's competitors have not matured their production or technology to the point where they're even competitive within their own market segment let alone the broader market.

In the last page you have:


Rivian: $42,00 repair cost.

Rivian has, produced <35,000 vehicles (they produced just over 9,000 in Q1 and trying to compare it to companies as large as Toyota who make that in a day and a half.

You have an argument that EV's are depreciating faster than gas vehicles, when the reality is that the vast majority of that depreciation is localized on bad EVs from 3-5 years ago. The BMW i3, referenced in the article, had a range that capped out at 200 miles, [u]70 miles lower than the shortest than the shortest range Tesla.[/u] Of course they depreciate faster, because they deployed the worst iteration of the technology 3 years ago and the technology progressed to make those iterations look comical. Tesla's on the other hand depreciate slower than the market average.

You have a person that says that the carbon offset for an EV takes 5-7 years. The only way you come to that conclusion is if you calculate it in a worst-case scenario for the electric vehicle and the best case for the gas vehicle. Even if it did take 5-7 years it would still result in less carbon emissions, because neither vehicle is bound for the junkyard after 5-7 years. Tesla's fleet analysis shows that vehicles retain around 88% of their initial battery capacity after 200,000, the equivalent of 14 years worth of driving. The actual offset period for an EV is about 1-2 years worth of driving, Tesla claimed in their 2021 impact report that production emissions would be offset after 6,500 miles (pg 57), which is less than 6 months worth of driving for the average drive. That's using the global average energy mix. Regardless, if you're concerned about the environment buy a used car.


You have people arguing that battery pack replacement is $20,000 as if an individual buying an electric vehicle today is going to have to replace their battery pack today. Over the last 10 years the cost of a kWh of lithium batteries has dropped by 90% and is expected to drop by another 50% before the end of the decade, with replacement costs possibly falling even further due to the shift from NMC batteries to LFP. In 15-20 years, when the battery pack has reached its end of life an individual is going to be able to recycle the battery and buy a better battery for cheaper than what was in the car when they bought it. The reality is that the proportion of people that will ever actually replace a battery in an EV is near zero, and when they do it will almost certainly be an upgrade from the battery they replaced.

You have a person quoting a survey from 2 years ago, done on electric vehicle owners from 5+ years ago (prior to the introduction of the Model 3), saying that it said almost all electric vehicle drivers go back to gas, when the study actually said that 20% of drivers return to gas not all, and not even nearly the majority. That was done when the most popular electric vehicle on the road was a Nissan Leaf (second place wasn't close), and the number two most popular vehicle was a Chevy Bolt. Two vehicles that belong to the "rapid depreciation" category, because they suck in comparison to modern electric vehicles and were poorly engineered from the outset, doubly so when compared to the market leader's vehicles. The rate of return to electric vehicle drivers returning to gas is going down and Tesla has the highest customer retention rate in the industry by a wide margin.




When you look at a technology you have to analyze it based upon the best implementation of the technology, not the worst implementation because consumers are going to lean towards the best implementation and the worst implementation will either have to adapt towards the best implementation or those companies will go out of business. It is why Stellantis, GM, and Ford may no longer be around in a decade. It's why you have people that sincerely believe that Tesla will achieve 20 million vehicles annually by 2030, because they have a decade head start on cost reductions/technology optimizations, and they don't believe the traditional OEMs will be able to compete on cost. 20 million vehicles is twice as many as the largest current largest auto manufacturer, Toyota, sold last year.
agracer
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Carbon (CO2) is not a pollutant.
Bill Clinternet
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Elon Musk and Tesla are really just the beginning of this tale of the free market in action.

Increased consumer demand and increased profits for manufacturers are all that is needed to pave the way in battery technology and harvesting of lithium.
hph6203
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I didn't say it is. I said that the carbon emissions from electric vehicle production doesn't take 5-7 years to offset. I never said anything about emissions except for the refutation of that claim. It was that posters' decision to discuss emissions. If you care about that stuff, I don't, what they said was not accurate. I watch and read tons and tons of Tesla related coverage and the proportion of coverage related to how great the car is to how environmentally friendly it is is about 50:1. It is technologically interesting, not environmentally.


This is what people that are ideologically captured on both sides of the discussion get blinded by. It becomes an argument about "environmentalism" and its merits or lack thereof. I don't argue about electric vehicles with respect to the environment, but rather the pure economics/functionality of it.


Electric vehicles are safer.
They're cheaper to operate. Far less maintenance.
They're improving at a rate faster than combustion vehicles.
They are reducing in price relative to combustion vehicles.
They are presently cheaper to own than combustion vehicles, and are on a path to be cheaper to buy within the next 4 years (provided margins don't expand due to the fact they're cheaper to own)
They fulfill the driving needs of 90% of all driving that's done.

In the short term there's an argument for either vehicle type, in the long term the majority of people when asked if they want a gas vehicle or an electric vehicle the response is going to be "Why would I pay more for more headaches?"


Without fail there's going to be someone that chimes in about poor people not being able to afford a new electric vehicle as if a poor person buys a new any vehicle.

Then it's going to turn into an argument about whether or not a Tesla should be compared to a BMW or a Camry, ignoring the fact that the cost of production of a Tesla is not markedly higher than the Camry, the only reason it's priced the way it is is because it can be.

Then another person is going to bring up cobalt mining with respect to EVs when the smartphone they're posting the article on requires more cobalt per unit of energy than an electric vehicle and they have zero concerns about that. It's intellectual dishonesty. The EV market is shifting to LFP batteries, because they're cheaper to produce and they require zero cobalt. Tesla just reintroduced their long range Model 3, zero cobalt and it's a better car, for day to day functionality, than the 2020 Long Range Model 3 that used NMC batteries.

Then it's going to devolve into an argument about what's faster, a gas car or an electric car, totally ignoring the reality that the most popular vehicle in the world is a Corolla and something like 7 of the top 10 are in that vein with the other 3 being pick up trucks. In other words the market is broadly concerned with function rather than fun.


On and on and on with no discussion of what 2030 looks like, because most people think you can't project out like that as if you can't confidently say a computer in 2030 is going to be better than a computer in 2023. Or that a gas car in 2030 will be better than a gas car in 2023. The difference is that gas cars have been made for over 100 years and have been thoroughly optimized, which isn't the case for EVs.

Batteries will be cheaper, batteries will charge faster, EVs will compete in more market segments than just luxury cars/crossovers. There will be more public charging points. This will become evident to anyone in the next 2 years when Tesla begins selling their Cybertruck and compact car.
torrid
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tl;dr

EVs still suck.
cecil77
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Where's the electricity gonaa come from?
Aggie Apotheosis
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GeorgiAg said:

Just drove my buddy's Rivian truck. Awesome.


I want one now.



As a dyed-in-the-wool ICE guy who built the motor to a 1968 Camaro that used to turn 11-second quarter miles at the Academy Dragway, I used to think that I'd never buy an EV. Then I drove a friend's Tesla. An amazing machine. We drove it from Brookeville, Maryland to Stowe, Vermont and back. Hands down a superior driving experience. He tells me that the latest iteration of the autopilot, which just downloaded to his car about a month or so ago, is vastly better than it was when made our trip, such that he trusts it to MOSTLY drive into DC and back. Once my current F-150 wears out, my next vehicle will be electric. It's been pretty much my experience that everybody who says they'll never buy an electric changes their mind after driving one.
Aggie Apotheosis
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cecil77 said:

Where's the electricity gonaa come from?

What do you mean? Where does it come from now?
CondensedFogAggie
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Aggie Apotheosis said:

GeorgiAg said:

Just drove my buddy's Rivian truck. Awesome.


I want one now.



As a dyed-in-the-wool ICE guy who built the motor to a 1968 Camaro that used to turn 11-second quarter miles at the Academy Dragway, I used to think that I'd never buy an EV. Then I drove a friend's Tesla. An amazing machine. We drove it from Brookeville, Maryland to Stowe, Vermont and back. Hands down a superior driving experience. He tells me that the latest iteration of the autopilot, which just downloaded to his car about a month or so ago, is vastly better than it was when made our trip, such that he trusts it to MOSTLY drive into DC and back. Once my current F-150 wears out, my next vehicle will be electric. It's been pretty much my experience that everybody who says they'll never buy an electric changes their mind after driving one.

I thought Teslas had terrible suspension? The couple of times I rode them I felt like I could feel every bump in the road.
hph6203
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Same place it comes from now. Natural gas, solar, wind, hydro, geothermal and (willing) nuclear. Expansion is likely to be localized around natural gas, solar, and wind as they're the cheapest marginal increases in energy production.

Energy production increases don't have to occur at rates faster than they have historically, we've just been living through a period over the last 20 years where the per capita energy consumption has actually gone down due to more efficient devices.

People look at problems and think "what would it look like today if we did this?" Rather than the realistic scenario where it takes 30 years for a majority flip from gas to electric. There's no reason to rush.

It's like telling a person to save a million dollars and they say "I only make $70,000 a year, there's no way I can save a million dollars!" And then you say if you save 10% of your income every month and invest it in an index fund until you retire you'll have more than a million, and they say "who has that kind of time?"
bmks270
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If adoption of EVs keep pace with projections, the grid has no hope of keeping up.

Car makers pump out millions of cars of a new model every year. A single power plant takes many years to bring online from being a clear plot of land.
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