YouBet said:
The idea of a cheaper EV has been abandoned
This is what I was primarily responding to, the $25,000 vehicle is a matter of degree, but Tesla is absolutely still pursuing reducing the cost of their vehicles as well as introducing new vehicles to reduce price. They were reiterated as being on the road map in their investor deck and during their earnings call released less than a month ago. It is possible they have canceled pursuing a vehicle as cheap as $25,000, but the plan for cheaper vehicles remains.
My skepticism that they have actually canceled plans for the $25,000 vehicle is based on the fact they're already building a Robotaxi vehicle that has an estimated BOM of ~$17,000 and would easily be sold in the $25-30,000 range with the addition of pedals and a steering wheel. On top of that when the initial news about them canceling the $25,000 vehicle was released Franz von Holzhausen (lead designer) said not to believe every news story.
I'm not saying they're 100% doing it, but just saying that Musk saying they aren't isn't an indication that something substantially lower cost isn't still coming. He likes to play semantics in his commentary, so while it might not be <$25,000 it could be <$30,000 and he technically did not lie.
Quote:
Plans for new vehicles, including more affordable models, remain on track for start of production in the first half of 2025. These vehicles will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.
This approach will result in achieving less cost reduction than previously expected but enables us to prudently grow our vehicle volumes in a more capex efficient manner during uncertain times. This should help us fully utilize our current expected maximum capacity of close to three million vehicles, enabling more than 50% growth over 2023 production before investing in new manufacturing lines.
Page 10Their previous expectation was that the new manufacturing process would reduce cost by half.