Those polls have been saying that for 2 weeks, yet Newsom is campaigning as if he is behind. So he doesn't believe them.

He wouldn't be doing that if the polls were, in his view, accurate. I think they are oversampling democrats and younger voters. Neither will turn out. He may slide by but it will be closer than what the polls say.

Elder would win if the election was fair. I don't think it will be a fair election though.

91AggieLawyer said:

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Those polls have been saying that for 2 weeks, yet Newsom is campaigning as if he is behind. So he doesn't believe them.

He wouldn't be doing that if the polls were, in his view, accurate. I think they are oversampling democrats and younger voters. Neither will turn out. He may slide by but it will be closer than what the polls say.

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Interesting divergent in poll numbers on the 25th if you look at the link I posted. Not that I think it matters in the grand scheme of things.

He will win this going away cheating or no cheating.

Bringing in the big guns.

California! You’ve got a big choice to make by September 14, and everything is on the line. Your vote could be the difference between protecting our kids or putting them at risk; helping Californians recover or taking us backwards. Vote “no” on the Republican recall.

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) September 8, 2021

Soo, which is closer to the truth? Team Newsom knows they have this in the bag, whether that assurance is through polling or the planned cheating* so having Kamala, Biden and Obama campaign for him is no risk to their political capital? "See? Biden and Harris aren't toxic, still have their political capital because Newsom won!"

Or Newsom's internals show him in more trouble than expected and thus the perceived need for "an assist"??

The cynic in me says it is the former.

*Allowing ballots to come in and be counted up to 17 days after the election is just blatant cheating.

Republicans are putting kids at risk? How?

YouBet said:

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Republicans are putting kids at risk? How?

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Because allowing personal choice and freedom is risky

aggiehawg said:

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Bringing in the big guns.

California! You’ve got a big choice to make by September 14, and everything is on the line. Your vote could be the difference between protecting our kids or putting them at risk; helping Californians recover or taking us backwards. Vote “no” on the Republican recall.

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) September 8, 2021

Soo, which is closer to the truth? Team Newsom knows they have this in the bag, whether that assurance is through polling or the planned cheating* so having Kamala, Biden and Obama campaign for him is no risk to their political capital? "See? Biden and Harris aren't toxic, still have their political capital because Newsom won!"

Or Newsom's internals show him in more trouble than expected and thus the perceived need for "an assist"??

The cynic in me says it is the former.

*Allowing ballots to come in and be counted up to 17 days after the election is just blatant cheating.

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I still find it hard to believe that Obama would 1) get involved at all if there was no reason to and 2) potentially be seen as helping a losing cause if there is a risk Newsom goes down.

But I will concede that may be wishful thinking. I still think, however, it will be closer than the polls suggest.

PA24 said:

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Most of the population in California like being liberal, been that way for decades.

Elder is not a good candidate to win the state. Need someone like a Jon Voight, Hollywood Republican.

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Trump supporter @jonvoight repudiates the gun extremist agenda of both the NRA and the Trump administration, saying, “There should be proper qualifications for gun ownership. Proper testing. One should only own a gun if they’re qualified and schooled.” pic.twitter.com/1tM3xQZufJ

— Text ACT to 644-33 (@shannonrwatts) May 28, 2022