Ag$08 said:
The daily rate the CDC is talking about is a bit tricky and I think it's tripping some people up:
" The daily growth rate was defined as the difference between the natural log of cumulative cases or deaths on a given day and the natural log of cumulative cases or deaths on the previous day, multiplied by 100."
I have no idea why they are taking the natural log of cumulative cases, but the .5% decrease isn't comparing 995 new daily cases to 1000.
Ok, so I found a natural log calculator and this makes more sense:
https://www.rapidtables.com/calc/math/Ln_Calc.htmlThey defined the daily growth rate as:
Quote:
The daily growth rate was defined as the difference between the natural log of cumulative cases or deaths on a given day and the natural log of cumulative cases or deaths on the previous day, multiplied by 100.
Let's say today a given county has 98,000 cumulative cases and tomorrow it has 100,000 cumulative cases.
Natural log of 98,000 is 11.49272275765271
Natural log of 100,000 is 11.512925464970229
Difference between them is 0.020202707317519
Multiplied by 100 for % is ~ 2.02%
Here are the results they mention:
Quote:
Mask mandates were associated with a 0.5 percentage point decrease (p = 0.02) in daily COVID-19 case growth rates 120 days after implementation and decreases of 1.1, 1.5, 1.7, and 1.8 percentage points 2140, 4160, 6180, and 81100 days, respectively, after implementation (p<0.01 for all) (Table 1) (Figure).
So I'm pretty confident they're saying that with a mask mandate the daily growth rate drops from 2.02% to 1.52% 1-20 days after the mandate, which is obviously pretty significant. And then it drops by 1.8 points to 0.22% after 81-100 days.
And it also seems like some bulls*** considering this wasn't witnessed anywhere at all.
" 'People that read with pictures think that it's simply about a mask' - Dana Loesch" - Ban Cow Gas
"Truth is treason in the empire of lies." - Dr. Ron Paul
Big Tech IS the empire of lies
TEXIT